512high Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: The gfs guidance looks nice. A more organized system. Scott/others.....does this appear to "follow" last storms track? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 Long duration mod event won’t get it done from a I95 major impact standpoint, but inject that trailing energy into the backside even along the coast.....we bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Oh this ones coming and hard at that. Looks like a lot of foreplay over a candlelight dinner, followed by sweet passionate sexytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 Oh lovely, more rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 8 minutes ago, 512high said: Scott/others.....does this appear to "follow" last storms track? Different look to me. Too early to really know which way it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Looks like a lot of foreplay over a candlelight dinner, followed by sweet passionate sexytime. Probably more of an agonizing cold tease up here with maybe a brief dry hump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Probably more of an agonizing cold tease up here with maybe a brief dry hump. Bucket of ice on standby for the blue balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 14 minutes ago, weathafella said: Oh this ones coming and hard at that. Man high tides Wed Thur, slow moving wet system , all I can say is wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 27 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Put this out yesterday evening as my first best guess regarding general impacts. Pike south! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 24 minutes ago, weathafella said: Oh this ones coming and hard at that. It is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 13 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Sorry That was a question I would guess s vt Has some 40" depths Guess most natural totals around 2.5 k are near 4 feet In above mentioned spots Officially we have two 48" depths reported. Brassua Dam and Moosehead, which are roughly the same area anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 8 hours ago, Cold Miser said: I know it is not easy while on the sled with all of your gear on, but if you can grab a few pics that would be great. Between Old Forge and the Tug Hill area in NYS the state trails are open until either 4/1 or 4/15. After that they close them, and then it's only private trails that are open if there is snow. How does the trail system work in Maine as far as who has control of them, and when the closing times are scheduled? I have all kinds of pics, Just don't know which thread to place them in..........lol In a nut shell, Trails open on Dec 15-April 15, But you can still ride off trail until the snow is gone: Maine's Interconnected Trail System (ITS) is provided to snowmobilers through the joint effort of the Maine Snowmobile Association and the Snowmobile Division of the Maine Bureau of Parks and Lands, Department of Conservation under the direction of the MSA Trails Committee. The trails themselves are created through the efforts of the snowmobile clubs, the Snowmobile Division, local municipalities, supporting businesses and the many landowners throughout the state of Maine who generously allow access to sledders. Much of the registration money goes to the Snowmobile Trail Fund of the Department of Conservation, Bureau of Parks and Lands where it is distributed through grants to snowmobile clubs, towns, etc. to develop, construct and maintain snowmobile trails and assist with the purchase of grooming equipment; a portion is credited to the Department of Inland Fisheries & Wildlife for snowmobile enforcement and related expenses, some goes to the state's general fund and, in the case of Maine residents, a percentage is distributed to their municipality. In a number of cases, the municipalities will return those funds to the local snowmobile club to assist with their trail activities. Some of the best food you can eat is stopping at one of the snowmobile club houses along the trails for breakfast or lunch, For most of the time cheap money or donations and great home cooked meals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: It is? Yes UK with a BM crawler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 2 hours ago, allgame830 said: Ummm.... huh..... lol You know what, the euro was crap with The last System. One of the last models to catch on to the widescale Impacts of This. Seems mets knee jerk to rush in and find some perspective to look thru to maintain the euro is their life raft when forecasting but its struggling. Its struggling inside day 3.5 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: You know what, the euro was crap with these last two Systems. One of the last models to catch on to the widescale Impacts of these. Seems mets knee jerk to rush in and find some perspective to look thru to maintain the euro is their life raft when forecasting but its struggling. Its struggling inside day 3.5 . It's been too progressive all winter. Almost every system has seen the Euro correct NW as you get closer to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 Just now, Hoth said: It's been too progressive all winter. Almost every system has seen the Euro correct NW as you get closer to the event. I edited my comment to say the last system but ya ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yes UK with a BM crawler Def sounds like a potential beast, but we will see if potential is realized. You could be head deep at SR. Edit meteocentre Doesnt Have last nite ukie run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 28 minutes ago, Hoth said: Oh lovely, more rain. I would be worried more about suppression than rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 Suppression is real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: I would be worried more about suppression than rain I'm just going by Pope's comments. I thought the antecedent airmass looks cold enough even here, but it is mid-March now and I've had enough unpleasant surprises this month to get my hopes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 31 minutes ago, Hoth said: Oh lovely, more rain. Rain? You had all snow last 2 storms no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: I'm just going by Pope's comments. I thought the antecedent airmass looks cold enough even here, but it is mid-March now and I've had enough unpleasant surprises this month to get my hopes up. In 3 noreasters this month , i have had over 5 inches. Pathetic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 I mean the model criticism is not unwarranted. We did just go through a period of poorer model predictability (given the Pacific jet has been in an equatorward/retracted state for a while that isn't surprising). The Euro still "won" the past week, but around the period of the storm the GFS popped in for one day to win the anomaly correlations (when looking at day 5 progs). At day 3 the GFS crapped itself, but the Ukie bested the Euro. So while overall the model doesn't suck, it's still #1, in this event is did seem to hit a speed bump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: Rain? You had all snow last 2 storms no? Yes, the unpleasant surprise with the last storm was not the precip type, but its lack of persistence and intensity. 3.5" is a bitter pill to swallow when guidance is giving you 1" QPF. I'm just keeping my expectations squarely in check. It certainly could surprise, but CTRV in mid to late March is not a great place for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 7 minutes ago, Snow88 said: I would be worried more about suppression than rain Nah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 Just now, Hoth said: Yes, the unpleasant surprise with the last storm was not the precip type, but its lack of persistence and intensity. 3.5" is a bitter pill to swallow when guidance is giving you 1" QPF. I'm just keeping my expectations squarely in check. It certainly could surprise, but CTRV in mid to late March is not a great place for snow. Yep, for the last storm it had more to do with the bands sitting to the east and west of you. Bad luck. How much did you get in the previous storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Iors the model criticism is not unw arranted. We did just go through a period of poorer model predictability (given the Pacific jet has been in an equatorward/retracted state for a while that isn't surprising). The Euro still "won" the past week, but around the period of the storm the GFS popped in for one day to win the anomaly correlations (when looking at day 5 progs). At day 3 the GFS crapped itself, but the Ukie bested the Euro. So while overall the model doesn't suck, it's still #1, in this event is did seem to hit a speed bump. Both the btv wrf and the nam at 60hrs Out were showing the wide spread impacts of the storm while the euro was picking its nose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 23 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: You know what, the euro was crap with The last System. One of the last models to catch on to the widescale Impacts of This. Seems mets knee jerk to rush in and find some perspective to look thru to maintain the euro is their life raft when forecasting but its struggling. Its struggling inside day 3.5 . Have no idea what the heck you are talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Yep, for the last storm it had more to do with the bands sitting to the east and west of you. Bad luck. How much did you get in the previous storm? I did fine in the middle storm. 11" of paste and the most blinding blue thundersnow I've ever seen. That was a solid event, and with the proper perspective I can say that a double digit snow in March is a big win here, but there's always that "what might have been" thought with the others. An impressive series of storms at a New England wide scale, I just wish we could've done this in February. Could've been up there with Feb '15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Both the btv wrf and the nam at 60hrs Out were showing the wide spread impacts of the storm while the euro was picking its nose Caveat here, is that the NAM doesn't go into those hemispheric calculations because it is only North American domain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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