weathafella Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I believe that to be an artifact of modeling. They are having trouble with the interaction of the streams, and it will likely consolidate into one low closer in. JMHO. I agree but I’m not sure the closer in one is the choIce. Hopefully yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: I agree but I’m not sure the closer in one is the choIce. Hopefully yes. See my previous post...depends on n stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: YES. Double-barrel lows are skin to inverted troughs...usually the model trying to communicate difficulty resolving something more than a viable solution. Yeah, The models can't resolve where it wants to place the lowest pressure, But that could be a convective issue in this case which i hate because that usually ends up unfavorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, snow1 said: Ukie is way east! Oh well. Hopefully Monday reverses things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Well. It goes without saying but the CMC is the last model you want to put your hopes and dreams into. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 So we’re hearing uncle is east. Double barreled or single? Can someone post H5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Ok so what’s the next threat after this disastrous mess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Thunderblizzard said: UKMET Thank you. It would be good to know where it was before 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, Thunderblizzard said: UKMET That is a huge shift east lol... jeehse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Big shift on the ukie. Wow. The euro will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, JBinStoughton said: Ok so what’s the next threat after this disastrous mess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, Hazey said: Big shift on the ukie. Wow. The euro will be interesting. Hard to imagine it does anything but jog east, at a minimum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Northern stream was weaker on ukie too. So all the guidance is seeing that tonight. It doesn't mean it will stay that way...but that is a piece to watch tomorrow and especially Monday. Gotta get up early so not waiting around for euro, but it will likely show a similar trend in the N stream. Hopefully it's more muted though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 I think the 0z uncle is similar to 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Thank you. It would be good to know where it was before 120. Here's 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Obviously all the models are keying in on a similar feature to produce solutions that are all east to varying degrees, that’s a bad sign IMO. That Northern Stream might end this threat before it really gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 7 minutes ago, JBinStoughton said: Ok so whxxxat’s the next threat after this di24sastrous mess? Big cold , then cutter. Then Spring training King will be east Tonite Here is hoping this comes back a bit next 24-36 The ukie Is underRated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 I just looked st 12z euro-it’s nearly identical wrt the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Wouldn't it be funny if it shifted further east next runs and it ends up being congrats Nick?...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Obviously all the models are keying in on a similar feature to produce solutions that are all east to varying degrees, that’s a bad sign IMO. That Northern Stream might end this threat before it really gets going. I call BS on this trend. N stream will come in stronger, as has been the case all season....maybe not a huge storm, but we will get moderate...at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I call BS on this trend. N stream will come in stronger, as has been the case all season....maybe not a high storm, but we will get moderate...at least. Certainly possible... we need to hope that trend continues. On the flip side... id rather it go to crap now as opposed to Tuesday night after folks have spent 3 days tracking and analyzing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Ya, i wouldnt be confident in anything with this system Looks great at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I call BS on this trend. N stream will come in stronger, as has been the case all season....maybe not a huge storm, but we will get moderate...at least. Pretty hard to bite on 200mi + east/west swings on the models from one run to the next and say that's going to be the outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 NAVGEM is a huge hit. 968 over or just inside the bm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 How reliable is the navgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 FWIW... NAVGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, snow1 said: How reliable is the navgem About as reliable as my azz. Ukie is a piece of sh*t too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, snow1 said: How reliable is the navgem My opinion is it has improved quite a bit but it’s still a cut below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Thunderblizzard said: FWIW... NAVGEM Show the 6 hour prior with the 968 near the bm please. I’m mobile so it’s hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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