Hoosier Posted October 17, 2017 Author Share Posted October 17, 2017 15 minutes ago, Stebo said: Going to keep on rolling, low of 48 or 49 this morning, all they need is 66 for the above normal to hit. Already at 62. Yesterday was actually +0.5 to be more precise, but it shows up as +1 in the F6. Should be able to get the streak to at least 40 days. After that who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 Just now, Hoosier said: Yesterday was actually +0.5 to be more precise, but it shows up as +1 in the F6. Should be able to get the streak to at least 40 days. After that who knows. I think it ends around 40, too much cold air starting to infiltrate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 57 minutes ago, Stebo said: Going to keep on rolling, low of 48 or 49 this morning, all they need is 66 for the above normal to hit. Already at 62. ORD normal for today is 62/42. Since today's low was 48, the high only needs to hit 57. This already happened...so they've banked another above normal day today...crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 Just now, beavis1729 said: ORD normal for today is 62/42. Since today's low was 48, the high only needs to hit 57. This already happened...so they've banked another above normal day today...crazy. That's what I get for doing math the minute I wake up No wonder the numbers weren't making sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 23 hours ago, josh_4184 said: My areas picked up some decent moisture as well amazing what 500' in elevation change can do especially in winter. Still not ready for the cold and snow yet either. Have a lot of leaves to pick up. We are past peak now and with the wind over the weekend a lot drop. A few days to try out would be great. Yeah, it hasn't been the nicest fall for fall colors. Dry, warm/hot, and lots of wind right when the change occurs. Orographic lift is yet another meteorological phenomenon that fascinates me about the weather! Hence why some day, I REALLY want to live on the Tug Hill plateau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 18 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Yesterday the sky was pretty neat before sunset. The overcast briefly broke Beautiful picture! I always enjoy your pictures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 17, 2017 Author Share Posted October 17, 2017 3 hours ago, Stebo said: I think it ends around 40, too much cold air starting to infiltrate. Yeah, 41 or 42 is probably a good call at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 2 hours ago, Angrysummons said: uh oh, tropical development starting to pop in during the longer ranges. You know the model mayhem that creates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 What kind of model mayhem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 Looks like later next week some may be seeing their first flakes of the season. With the typhoon re-curving, similar incident occurred a couple years ago albeit towards end of November where we got hammered with LES. Obviously wont be the case being end of October but always nice to see the white stuff even though I'm not ready for it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 Colours were a bit more dull this fall but still plenty of beauty out there. Here's a shot from up near Haliburton ON. Always a beautiful leaf change up near Algonquin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishforsnow Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 9 hours ago, harrisale said: Colours were a bit more dull this fall but still plenty of beauty out there. Here's a shot from up near Haliburton ON. Always a beautiful leaf change up near Algonquin. Same thing here in the Keweenaw. Combo of warmer weather and above precip has dulled them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 18, 2017 Author Share Posted October 18, 2017 I'm not sure about the length of this cooldown next week. There are indications of a flip back above average before Halloween. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 Fall Colors trying their best here in town. 10/18/2017. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: I'm not sure about the length of this cooldown next week. There are indications of a flip back above average before Halloween. Yep looking more and more transient as we get closer to the cooldown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 73 today - Pales to last yrs 80 ------This wx is incredible. Sucking up this week long VitD bonanza like the vegetation did the rains last week. Music to my ears next weeks cool down is short. I purchased a new set of clubs and the courses are going to be in Primo conditions for awhile yet. Lets get that flip to cold when it matters. Baby steps down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 3 hours ago, Stebo said: Yep looking more and more transient as we get closer to the cooldown. I don't even need below normal. Ill take average with showers/rain everyday. Pretty tired of the consistent sun and warmth. Haha I will admit my bias though because I work outdoors and I'm looking forward to the offseason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 Not to sound rude, but when you all are talking about the so called transient blast of colder air to come, it does not come across that way to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 19, 2017 Author Share Posted October 19, 2017 41 minutes ago, Jim Martin said: Not to sound rude, but when you all are talking about the so called transient blast of colder air to come, it does not come across that way to me. Not rude at all. It looks like it may not last more than 4 or 5 days tops but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 19, 2017 Author Share Posted October 19, 2017 10 years since this severe weather outbreak https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/27708-october-17-18-2007-severe-weather-outbreak/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 51 minutes ago, Jim Martin said: Not to sound rude, but when you all are talking about the so called transient blast of colder air to come, it does not come across that way to me. It is more of a longevity thing than a magnitude thing. It will be significant but quick hitting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 Not this region but one of only a handful of times this has ever happened in the country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 19, 2017 Author Share Posted October 19, 2017 42 minutes ago, Stebo said: Not this region but one of only a handful of times this has ever happened in the country Cool. I know it happened in some areas on 11/11/1911. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: Cool. I know it happened in some areas on 11/11/1911. Beat me to it! I think oklahoma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 9 hours ago, Jim Martin said: Not to sound rude, but when you all are talking about the so called transient blast of colder air to come, it does not come across that way to me. Gfs overdoing it per usual with its 2m temps. Highs will barely be below average as the average high will be in the mid 50s by next week. Overnight lows may very well be around normal, then we flip back to a milder pattern for the rest of November per GFS ensembles and CFS weeklies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 Not to sound rude either, but having a few days in the low 50s is hardly noteworthy for late October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 27 minutes ago, rainsucks said: Not to sound rude either, but having a few days in the low 50s is hardly noteworthy for late October. ...except when we're sitting at +7.8° (FWA), +8.4° (LOT), +7.3° (DTX), and expected increase that in the next couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 Tis the season. From DVN.. Monday through next Wednesday... Latest 00z run suite of medium range models are handling digging upper jet intrusions and L/W trof phasing differently for a lack of confidence in details this far out. But the general idea is the development of a high amplitude upper trof acrs the upper midwest and even much of the mid conus next week, will allow for the spilling down of much colder air out of Canada Tuesday and possibly later in the week as well/re- enforcing shot. Highs in the 40s possible by Wed, with tue night through Wed nigh lows well down in the 30s even with cloud cover. Afternoon into early evening instability showers possible as well, with rain-snow mix parameters possible not all that far aloft a few of those days if showers persist. The Models still got to get a handle on phasing issues and timing next week for more confidence on temps/precip trends at this point, but the signal is there. ..12.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 1 hour ago, rainsucks said: Gfs overdoing it per usual with its 2m temps. Highs will barely be below average as the average high will be in the mid 50s by next week. Overnight lows may very well be around normal, then we flip back to a milder pattern for the rest of November per GFS ensembles and CFS weeklies. did you move out of Illinois? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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