forkyfork Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 you mean the nam was overdone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2017 Author Share Posted February 15, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. while its been better this winter inside 48 it can still throw up false hopes. Flow a little flatter out ahead of the ULL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Was looking at 18z ugh lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Still some nice upslope snows for the resorts to start. Good for PD business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Yup. Night and day from 18z.You mean I won't get my 16"? Damn, I be pissed. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 00z actually looks a little better for my area than 18z...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 minute ago, Lava Rock said: You mean I won't get my 16"? Damn, I be pissed. Lol Maybe you get 15" this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Yeah this proves the 18z was likely on crack. We can probably just about close the books on any chance of a significant event for folks in SNE....save maybe extreme NE MA where there still remains a slim shot IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNurse Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 47 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Sad. Is this a DJT tweet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2017 Author Share Posted February 15, 2017 I would say NE MA has a good shot at some accumulating snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 00z actually looks a little better for my area than 18z...lol Or maybe not...looked like it was sending me an inch or two on the reach around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Run is still not bad for the southern portion of New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 minute ago, WeatherNurse said: Is this a DJT tweet? Don't even know what that is supposed to mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Just now, dryslot said: I would say NE MA has a good shot at some accumulating snow Yes, they do...but chance of a significant event are a lot less than chance of accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Starting around 03z on Thursday it looks pretty good in E MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Or maybe not...looked like it was sending me an inch or two on the reach around Stay safe and protect yourself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2017 Author Share Posted February 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yes, they do...but chance of a significant event are a lot less than chance of accumulating snow. Looked around 1" on this Nam run there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Thats actually a good invt signal for ema. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 It's why we wait for other guidance. I still have doubts on this solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's why we wait for other guidance. I still have doubts on this solution. Yeah I expect it to trend further northeast each run now. Maybe others tick a bit SW enough to give a little for NE MA...but I have doubts about 10" of snow there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2017 Author Share Posted February 15, 2017 I have doubts on the Nam for this event, That's quite the fluctuations run to run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I expect it to trend further northeast each run now. Maybe others tick a bit SW enough to give a little for NE MA...but I have doubts about 10" of snow there. I'd like to know what the hell got into that nam run lol. Too bad the strip sack got called back on a holding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: I'd like to know what the hell got into that nam run lol. Too bad the strip sack got called back on a holding. Prob some convective B.S. with the southern stream interaction...who knows. The Euro ensembles were actually pretty decent so I'd hold out in NE areas for perhaps an advisory type event...we know these things can give some big surprises too. But further south we shouldn't get sucked in...maybe a coating to an inch or two refresher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 This is run was not that appreciably different than the 18z. Jesus It had less Q PF into eastern mass but you're talking about 25 or 50 mile cut off there so it's not something you should totally ignore just yet. probably going to be an nowcast it's too close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Pretty good run east of a LEB-ASH line here. That inverted trough pretty much stalls across SW NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: I have doubts on the Nam every run. That's quite the fluctuations run to run FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Prob some convective B.S. with the southern stream interaction...who knows. The Euro ensembles were actually pretty decent so I'd hold out in NE areas for perhaps an advisory type event...we know these things can give some big surprises too. But further south we shouldn't get sucked in...maybe a coating to an inch or two refresher. The rpm coming around to an advisory for Essex county. I think an inch or two is possible for Boston even with a RPM solution. As that inv trough swings down, might have a brief period of good snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 4km Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The rpm coming around to an advisory for Essex county. I think an inch or two is possible for Boston even with a RPM solution. As that inv trough swings down, might have a brief period of good snows. Agreed...that's the period to watch. I mentioned that back on the 12z run when describing the RGEM...that it had the look of perhaps a decent band swinging down even though QPF itself wasn't that good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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