Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, Dotb said: You guys are funny. So if you hired a lawyer to be in Court for you on Tuesday, and he showed up unprepared and said "Hey, I took a couple days off because of the storm...", I'm sure you'd be ok with that? Or if you were selling your house and buying a new one and had movers scheduled, and he/she didn't have your closing documents ready for your new house, resulting in you being homeless. Believe me, I'd love to just be able to close whenever we want, but unfortunately, our schedules aren't dictated by us. They are dictated by courts, contracts and a dozen other people and things that we don't control, but have to be ready for. The choice is made for us. Which is all based upon an assumption that that crap has more power than the nature in which it exists - No, the storm is decides for you whether you wan to believe that or not.. It's simply a matter of whether that decision is yes (manageable event albeit with hardship) or no, something more societal impact level - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Warning just put up for here!! Almost the entire region except the south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Heh... part and parcel to the whole of the same event in my opinion.. Tomorrow's activity is really the onset WAA that eventually transmutes into CCB kinematics spanning some 24s in doing so, as the low first imparts inflow/upglide tomorrow, and then said upglide evolves into a TROWAL as the mid levels close off... It's all going to be pretty seamless between that front side thumping and the backing wind phases.. Some of the guidance has those two phases kind of disjointed. Like we get dryslotted after 8 hours of thump and then as the ULL really explodes to out southeast, the CCB builds back southwest a bit....some of the more favorable guidance sort of congeals them though like you describe...I think if that scenario takes place (a seamless transition), then we're going to see huge totals around here. Much like they are already going to get in southern Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 BOX going with 12-18 for my area... most likely map at 16" !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 RGEM still kind of warm near BOS. Tough call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Some of the guidance has those two phases kind of disjointed. Like we get dryslotted after 8 hours of thump and then as the ULL really explodes to out southeast, the CCB builds back southwest a bit....some of the more favorable guidance sort of congeals them though like you describe...I think if that scenario takes place (a seamless transition), then we're going to see huge totals around here. Much like they are already going to get in southern Maine. I think we get scenario one. Probably dryslotted a bit...or maybe lighter precip for a time until the CCB tries to work in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hambone Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 My phone just posted the winter storm warning for here, blizzard on the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: RGEM still kind of warm near BOS. Tough call. how far does it push the CF inland on RGEM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Just now, Hambone said: My phone just posted the winter storm warning for here, blizzard on the cape. yeap and north shore blizzard watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Blizzard watch for me and Winter Storm Warning. Just popped up on my phone. We back end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Wow Box went warning with 6-10 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: how far does it push the CF inland on RGEM... Verbatim near 495, but not sure I believe that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 A blizzard watch and winter storm warning for the same storm from BOX...now thats a first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Some of the guidance has those two phases kind of disjointed. Like we get dryslotted after 8 hours of thump and then as the ULL really explodes to out southeast, the CCB builds back southwest a bit....some of the more favorable guidance sort of congeals them though like you describe...I think if that scenario takes place (a seamless transition), then we're going to see huge totals around here. Much like they are already going to get in southern Maine. so you think that dry slot is a lull? or you speaking just your area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 I'm not seeing a blizzard watch in our area Jerry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 GFS goes nuts in PYM county-BOS and Essex county monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Yeah the GFS is just crushing eastern areas Monday morning. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Yeah that's crazy for a few hours Monday morning on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Some of the guidance has those two phases kind of disjointed. Like we get dryslotted after 8 hours of thump and then as the ULL really explodes to out southeast, the CCB builds back southwest a bit....some of the more favorable guidance sort of congeals them though like you describe...I think if that scenario takes place (a seamless transition), then we're going to see huge totals around here. Much like they are already going to get in southern Maine. I've seen a radar animation for something like that on this site over the last few months at some point or the other. There was a clear SW to NE motion with embedded decent snow and then ... it sort of slowed down for a moment before a wall came swooshing in from the NE as the 700 MB closed off.. But, yeah ...though that happens... the general idea of the CCB "backing" back SW seems to not be as successful to me more cases. Granted, this whole evolution is a bit unusual for a number of reasons, so I wouldn't bank on it not happening either. Still, I'd feel more comfortable with higher totals if the CCB actually does impact and the seamless idea worked out - so agree there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 It's going to be a nightmare to get anywhere Monday. The AM commute will be an absolute trainwreckI have to get to work. Gonna suck driving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: I have to get to work. Gonna suck driving. Not I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 6 minutes ago, bboughton said: I'm not seeing a blizzard watch in our area Jerry. You're in Suffolk County. This is for Norfolk even tho we may be 2 miles from each other...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 18z GFS looks almost identical to 12z to me... what am I missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: You're in Suffolk County. This is for Norfolk even tho we may be 2 miles from each other...lol I checked Chestnut Hill and Brookline too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 Looking at the mid levels with respect to development and RH...does seem like there may be a lull..esp S of rt 2. However, as the low develops, strong low level convergence may keep snow or rain going and sort of makes up for the brief drying in the mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 minute ago, bboughton said: 18z GFS looks almost identical to 12z to me... what am I missing? The early Monday impact looked more intense right on the coast. Theres admittedly not huge differences from run to run at this point when we're under 24 hours from start time. But there's still a reasonably high-stakes uncertainty regarding Monday morning. 50 miles could make a huge difference and that is well within the margin of error even at 36-42 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Folks that believe they have no choice but to venture out ... ...odds are, if it's bad enough the governor will impose restrictions on travel to all non-essential personnel, and unless you are that (which you know already if you are...), there is "I have no choice" about it. If you venture out in life threatening conditions as a non-essential because you 'think' you have to, and die, there's a definition for that mentality: Darwin Award Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 minute ago, bboughton said: I checked Chestnut Hill and Brookline too. I'm just going by what popped up on the app. I bet it's legit as they get the feed I presume and we'll all see it shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 Look at PVC on the GFS.Hurricane force gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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