ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Starting to get a bit better organized over SNE but the real stuff is racing NE in PA...however much of that stuff can rip into the area before about 11z, it will make the difference between maybe 2" and 4-5" for some areas in the interior between Ray in NE MA and ORH over to Berkshires. Maybe 3" Ray and 4" up to Lawrence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 FWIW, NCAR ensemble ticked colder with this run. Difference of 1-2" for parts of northern MA. Big difference around the PWM area too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Steadier snow now, .5" so far. 26/19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: FWIW, NCAR ensemble ticked colder with this run. Difference of 1-2" for parts of northern MA. Big difference around the PWM area too. The rap has been ticking colder too. The biggest trend I see on guidance late this evening though for SNE is a better precip burst. It is looking more robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: The rap has been ticking colder too. The biggest trend I see on guidance late this evening though for SNE is a better precip burst. It is looking more robust. Still a very dry snow here right on the water. Good sign for inlanders. Central NH into SW ME seems great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The rap has been ticking colder too. The biggest trend I see on guidance late this evening though for SNE is a better precip burst. It is looking more robust. Given that SW LLJ, we should really start to increase the mid level f-gen in the coming hours. You've been eyeing that 09z-12z window for a while now, and that looks like the money shot for the global models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Given that SW LLJ, we should really start to increase the mid level f-gen in the coming hours. You've been eyeing that 09z-12z window for a while now, and that looks like the money shot for the global models. I'm not shocked at the better trend since this was a huge WAA surge. I mentioned to Scott earlier that it's kind of hard to displace like 12-13C of mid-level temp in 12 hours in a saturated column and not have some consequences. Doesnt mean everyone will benefit but some of the posters here will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Get a couple inches down in Foxboro so I can throw snow in the air tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I'm not shocked at the better trend since this was a huge WAA surge. I mentioned to Scott earlier that it's kind of hard to displace like 12-13C of mid-level temp in 12 hours in a saturated column and not have some consequences. Doesnt mean everyone will will benefit but some of the posters here will. HRRR seems to be keying on 10z or so for the best look overall for the region. Starts going sour from south to north in a hurry from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Not going out to measure but i would yes somewhere around an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Such little flakes. Makes me wish we had those massive flakes (the 3inch diameter + variety) from early this year. Those were massive and piled up quickly. Anyways, maybe 1/2-3/4 an inch here in W BOS. Good night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 FWIW, NCAR ensemble ticked colder with this run. Difference of 1-2" for parts of northern MA. Big difference around the PWM area too.Still looking good for 6-8" for GYX area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Just now, Lava Rock said: Still looking good for 6-8" for GYX area? Probably closer to the 6", but I don't see any reason to jump ship from the forecast at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin W Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 1/2" and dryslotted for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Looks like close to an inch? Pretty nice out. The meaty stuff coming for 5-6a it seems. On track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Looks like close to an inch? Pretty nice out. The meaty stuff coming for 5-6a it seems. On track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like close to an inch? Pretty nice out. The meaty stuff coming for 5-6a it seems. On track. Fun commute coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Fun commute coming up. We be at home. This first burst went nicely here. Well as I was hoping anyways. The lull now and then the meat. The lull was something I wanted to avoid in order to help slow warming a bit with the processes of lift and wetbulbing but alas. The meaty stuff seems to be going as planned with this area of lift I mentioned a couple of days ago. How the radar would probably blossom for a good 3-4 hr burst where the interior gets most of its snow.looks good for 90 north and inland for a solid few to several inches and maybe a 5+ spot in and up by NH border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: We be at home. This first burst went nicely here. Well as I was hoping anyways. The lull now and then the meat. The lull was something I wanted to avoid in order to help slow warming a bit with the processes of lift and wetbulbing but alas. The meaty stuff seems to be going as planned with this area of lift I mentioned a couple of days ago. How the radar would probably blossom for a good 3-4 hr burst where the interior gets most of its snow.looks good for 90 north and inland for a solid few to several inches and maybe a 5+ spot in and up by NH border. We have our first midnight shift then get to drive home trying not to nod off in a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: We have our first midnight shift then get to drive home trying not to nod off in a snowstorm. I'm sure you weenies will be plenty awake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Pretty perfect dendrites out there right now. We're just hitting an inch and there's no way there is 0.10" liquid in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 We got a coating of snow before the changeover occurred. It is currently 40F with a SE wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 1.2. Nice snow growth now . 29.4. Next 3 hours will be critical here in the forecast. Cautiously optimistic in 2.5-3 but watching that changeover line . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin W Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Coming down nicely now. Flakes have increased in size too. About 3/4" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 I'm eye-balling a couple inches now with decent rate, but smallish flakes. The HRRR shows it snowing heavily to near 8:00, into rain by 9:00 with preceip well out out here by 10:000. Bottom line, looks like a brief changeover. 25.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Pretty Large flakes now . 29.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Extremely light snow and maybe a half inch. Arggh not what I was hoping to wake up to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 9 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Extremely light snow and maybe a half inch. Arggh not what I was hoping to wake up to. lots of time. The newest HRRR really begins the northward march of the changeover between 4:00 and 5:00. It does appear to hold onto the cold a smidge longer than it had--at least in GC where the change if any might be shorter. But in the big scheme of things no difference. Great rate, but still smallish flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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