tamarack Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's a quick cool shot. Big rebound next week and torched Oct, Warm Oct is fine. Last year Oct was BN and look what followed. Only one location (though 120+ yr records), but the local co-op shows than AN Oct is followed by slightly AN snowfall, BN Oct by BN snow. Novie is just the opposite, and with a stronger signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's a quick cool shot. Big rebound next week and torched Oct, GFS has another one quick on its heels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's a quick cool shot. Big rebound next week and torched Oct, Chamber of Commerce weather the entire month of October then...torch is like highs in the 60s to low 70s for October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS has another one quick on its heels. Growing season ending on Sunday morning or Monday morning? GFS backed off a bit from the ridiculous 6z run but still most of us on Sunday morning have a big high moving in with sub-freezing H85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Chamber of Commerce weather the entire month of October then...torch is like highs in the 60s to low 70s for October. Maybe at 5k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Growing season ending on Sunday morning or Monday morning? GFS backed off a bit from the ridiculous 6z run but still most of us on Sunday morning have a big high moving in with sub-freezing H85. Probably will even if it backs off a bit (which is likely I think due to trough in west). It should still be a good shot. MOS has 37 at OWD this far out. Pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 I cannot wait until this weekend. Oh Lordy...this has never been more welcomed. Good bye summer. Eff you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 Looks frosty on the Euro for Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 I see Kevin is still fighting off the demons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I cannot wait until this weekend. Oh Lordy...this has never been more welcomed. Good bye summer. Eff you. I know we need the rain, but it was a perfect summer in my neck of the woods. Anyhow...the drumbeats are still a way off in the distance, but at least they are being beaten Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted September 20, 2016 Author Share Posted September 20, 2016 Glad to see KWDIT is still broadcasting "years and years" of relentless torching, hot, humid, swampy weather. It's gonna be even more fun as we get closer to winter. I'm just waiting for the moment of conversion...."decades and decades" of endless snow and cold.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Maybe at 5k Your average (going by ORH) on October 10th is 60/43. A +10 torch gives you a COC high of 70F. Obviously it decreases as you go through October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 51 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I see Kevin is still fighting off the demons. lol it's going to be 80-90F through Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's a quick cool shot. Big rebound next week and torched Oct, As I said no more 80's even if we are low 70's in Oct that is fine, maybe torch to you, for me is beautiful fall weather.. up to about November.. then I hate torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 58 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I know we need the rain, but it was a perfect summer in my neck of the woods. Anyhow...the drumbeats are still a way off in the distance, but at least they are being beaten It was great for vacation no doubt. I'm just done with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It was great for vacation no doubt. I'm just done with it. Yeah I feel for ya...up here we've had some dew intrusions from time to time but for the most part we've probably averaged 10F lower dews throughout the summer than a lot of SNE. Granted the mountain valleys are also prone to a little more drying from mixing and compressional heating processes in between the higher ridgelines...then radiational effects at night bring it down a bit. This summer had a decent sensible weather gradient from north to south, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 I had the best vacation weather I'll ever have. Just great weather for each time on break and not even a cloudy day. The good side of drought...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's a quick cool shot. Big rebound next week and torched Oct, It might be an Oct with 1-2 day BN cool shots followed by 4-5 days AN then repeat. That type of patter is probably not too anamolus for Oct in NE though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks frosty on the Euro for Sunday night. agreed ... i'm wondering what that compares to climate zones for first hit... i think that might be early off the top of my head for anything warmer than light blue below? which is to say mid Mass, NW/NE CT/ extreme NW RI and that bend-back region in S NH coastal Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 1 hour ago, Bostonseminole said: As I said no more 80's even if we are low 70's in Oct that is fine, maybe torch to you, for me is beautiful fall weather.. up to about November.. then I hate torch Not so sure. It's definitely a pattern that can do it even in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 Weren't we supposed to see multiple 90s during this stretch at the typical spots according to some posters? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 25 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: agreed ... i'm wondering what that compares to climate zones for first hit... i think that might be early off the top of my head for anything warmer than light blue below? which is to say mid Mass, NW/NE CT/ extreme NW RI and that bend-back region in S NH coastal Maine. Odd to see that green blob in NW Maine. The only US obs location in that green of which I'm aware is Big Black River, and it's more likely a 3a outpost than 4a. I wonder if that 4a is based on Environment Canada obs. perhaps at St.-Jean-Port-Joli on the St. Lawrence. If it's from the border town of St.-Pamphile, I'd be surprised as it's a cold spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 1 hour ago, Bostonseminole said: As I said no more 80's even if we are low 70's in Oct that is fine, maybe torch to you, for me is beautiful fall weather.. up to about November.. then I hate torch Not so sure. It's definitely a pattern that can do it even in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 3 minutes ago, tamarack said: Odd to see that green blob in NW Maine. The only US obs location in that green of which I'm aware is Big Black River, and it's more likely a 3a outpost than 4a. I wonder if that 4a is based on Environment Canada obs. perhaps at St.-Jean-Port-Joli on the St. Lawrence. If it's from the border town of St.-Pamphile, I'd be surprised as it's a cold spot. Big Black River is pretty recent though, isn't it? It may not have a long enough station history to be in that database they use. I'd bet that spot is contaminated by a station like the bolded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 Yeah 90 is done. But the 11-15 day is pretty warm across the Midwest...could still do some DSD 80+ days in usual spots if the ridging bubbles east. October 2011 loved that. On the other hand, vortex near Newfoundland might try to cut it off at the pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 34 minutes ago, tamarack said: Odd to see that green blob in NW Maine. The only US obs location in that green of which I'm aware is Big Black River, and it's more likely a 3a outpost than 4a. I wonder if that 4a is based on Environment Canada obs. perhaps at St.-Jean-Port-Joli on the St. Lawrence. If it's from the border town of St.-Pamphile, I'd be surprised as it's a cold spot. I wouldn't take that map with more than a grain of salt as a basic guide. That zone "3B" makes very little sense in northern VT as it goes from the Champlain Valley through the Spine and then into NE Vermont. There are like 3 very distinct climate zones there from 4,000ft to 150ft in the Champlain Valley, and then all the elevated hollows of NE/VT. There's no way the vegetation in the northern Champlain Valley is anyway like the more boreal forest hardiness of NE VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 39 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Weren't we supposed to see multiple 90s during this stretch at the typical spots according to some posters? I think the phrase was "a few days in the 90s are possible". The hype is not living up to reality! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I had the best vacation weather I'll ever have. Just great weather for each time on break and not even a cloudy day. The good side of drought...lol. My long weekend down in NE CT I think was funny because we got 2.25" of rainfall in like 18 hours on 3 solid thunderstorms that seemed to last for hours with lightning. Despite the drought I probably saw the heaviest rainfall that area of North Woodstock sees all year long, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 What winter featured nothing but Cape Cod Blizzards? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 20, 2016 Share Posted September 20, 2016 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: What winter featured nothing but Cape Cod Blizzards? You mean as in it never snows anywhere else in New England except Cape Cod? Probably a handful of winters ended up like that over the years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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