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May 2016 Obs


Isopycnic

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Got down to 41.5 at the house this morning. There are pockets of upper 30s around. We need to enjoy each cool spell we get this late spring. We all know (usually) when it does flip to hot it stays there until September.

 

**So far I've only ran the AC three time; and that was basically to get rid of humidity.    

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It got down to 68 this morning here. :yikes:

 

The cooler air never made it down this far south, so we've been stuck with mid-summer temps.  Looks like we may at least get some rain tomorrow, which would be welcome, though it looks like highs near 90 and lows near 70 should continue to occur for the foreseeable future.

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Sounds like boring rain today.

 

NEAR TERM /through tonight/...
As of 330 AM Tuesday...

Strong low-level warm moist air advection, on the western periphery
of the retreating high over the Western Atlantic will surge
northward in an arch across the western Piedmont of NC and into
central/eastern VA through the afternoon. This will support highest
rain chances across the NW piedmont this morning with elevated
showers spreading eastward into the central/eastern piedmont by
midday and then into the northern/central Coastal Plain by the
afternoon, during which time additional forcing in the form of weak
upper level disturbances moving atop a northward retreating warm
front will support surface base convection amidst weak
destabilization of 500-1000 j/kg of SBCAPE. While 30 to 40kts of
bulk shear is more than sufficient, weak instability along with weak
lapse rates aloft will limit severe threat.

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Sounds like boring rain today.

 

NEAR TERM /through tonight/...

As of 330 AM Tuesday...

Strong low-level warm moist air advection, on the western periphery

of the retreating high over the Western Atlantic will surge

northward in an arch across the western Piedmont of NC and into

central/eastern VA through the afternoon. This will support highest

rain chances across the NW piedmont this morning with elevated

showers spreading eastward into the central/eastern piedmont by

midday and then into the northern/central Coastal Plain by the

afternoon, during which time additional forcing in the form of weak

upper level disturbances moving atop a northward retreating warm

front will support surface base convection amidst weak

destabilization of 500-1000 j/kg of SBCAPE. While 30 to 40kts of

bulk shear is more than sufficient, weak instability along with weak

lapse rates aloft will limit severe threat.

Is that anything like plain rain?
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The circled area can not buy a good rain. Only a trace here and radar looks awful. So much for this event.

MBY is just outside your circled area, below the K where Lexington co and Calhoun co meet up. I have had 15 drops of rain today. Yes....I counted them as they fell   <_<   My yard is crunchy  :(

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Certainly wasn't boring driving in that monsoon just now all the way from near PNC Arena into Clayton. Soon as I got my wife inside and settled, it started getting to us here. I-40, Tryon Road and 70 were ponding up really bad.

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The circled area can not buy a good rain. Only a trace here and radar looks awful. So much for this event.

 

I got a few sprinkles.  I thought the simulated forecast was odd that it was going to develop north of us, then south of us.  Sure enough, that's what it did. 

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MBY is just outside your circled area, below the K where Lexington co and Calhoun co meet up. I have had 15 drops of rain today. Yes....I counted them as they fell   <_<   My yard is crunchy  :(

Im near the border between the medium and dark blue in far NE Richland Co. Had a few bursts of heavy rain this am.

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