dendrite Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 Jamstec says we reintroduce drought this summer JAMSTEC out early this month: Global blowtorch June-Aug w/ drought potential possible parts of Midwest/Eastern US. Sweet. Let's have a hot, low dew summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 Sweet. Let's have a hot, low dew summer. lol if Jamstec is right its warm and dry, hmmm Coc a doodle doo? Kiss severe goodbye Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2016 Author Share Posted April 15, 2016 Sweet. Let's have a hot, low dew summer. Can envision a lot of those 97-100/55 type days if that's right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 was july 2013 a low dew month? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 Can envision a lot of those 97-100/55 type days if that's right Where? Kansas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 Can envision a lot of those 97-100/55 type days if that's right is that +1.3 C or F? on that Jamstec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 was july 2013 a low dew month? lol was August, lol , how about June with its 10 inches of rain. Not even close to what Jamstec shows JJA, try again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 june was barely above normal temp wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 The last few summers have been warm overall. Been a persistent ridge just off the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 New England is a tough place to live if you have a heat fetish...maybe except the CT River Valley at times. So many of those heat domes run into brick walls near NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 The last few summers have been warm overall. Been a persistent ridge just off the east coast. Warmth hasn't made it up here as much. Compared to 1981-2010 averages, the local co-op JJA temps: 2011....+0.67....Max..91 2012....+1.78....Max..92 2013....+0.84....Max..91 2014....+0.14....Max..90 2015.....-0.37....Max..89 I'd call it 4 near normal met summers and one AN but not remarkably so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 Warmth hasn't made it up here as much. Compared to 1981-2010 averages, the local co-op JJA temps: 2011....+0.67....Max..91 2012....+1.78....Max..92 2013....+0.84....Max..91 2014....+0.14....Max..90 2015.....-0.37....Max..89 I'd call it 4 near normal met summers and one AN but not remarkably so. Summer 2014 was not far from normal at BOS I would say. June 2015 was darn chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 Then we go limp bizkit Tuesday for a couple of days. Maybe some convective graupel or shsn? After we could really warm up, but that polar pig is right over the border. Gotta watch for BDF potential. that's my thing ... it almost seems like the models (excuse the anthropogenics) are trying to ride both seasons at the same time. "can't figure this f thing out so f it - both happen at the same time! ...problem solved" that's a sick gradient there along the border states on the la-la range Euro's 00z operational, D10 depiction. I mean, +13 C to - 10C over like 100 miles... I can understand that at a point or two, but it's like between 100 and 80 W -worth of distance there. My guess for correction is that the Euro is way too deep with it "Day After Tomorrow" vortex over central-eastern Canada in that D7-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 80s to end the month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 80s to end the month? i would almost have to argue, yes .. .based on any "336 hour" operational GFS - sure... odds are whatever happens will be opposite of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2016 Author Share Posted April 15, 2016 Sure looks like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 Sure looks like it pretty colors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 i would almost have to argue, yes .. .based on any "336 hour" operational GFS - sure... odds are whatever happens will be opposite of that i was joking with the GFS, but not one ENS GEFS GEPS EPS have 80 degree days to end the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2016 Author Share Posted April 15, 2016 Incorrect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 i was joking with the GFS, but not one ENS GEFS GEPS EPS have 80 degree days to end the month right - i was with you on the GFS. tongue in cheek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 can't we just say seasonably mild and dry?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 I'd put money on BDL hitting 80F before the month is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 I'd put money on BDL hitting 80F before the month is over. I'm pretty confident they'll hit 90F this June too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 can't we just say seasonably mild and dry?? if Kevin wishes hard enough ... the models seem to kiss his azz. this is high temperatures clearing 80 F for everyone on this type of layout... granded, it's D10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 I'm pretty confident they'll hit 90F this June too.Right. I mean I was the one who posted the 80+ stats yesterday. 80 is NBD for BDL and given the extended H5 look I'd easily take my chances on them squeezing in at least one dsd day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 I'd put money on BDL hitting 80F before the month is over.big big heat to end the month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 just in case the bottom 1 percentile takes place ... what qualifies as 'big heat' i've referred to this term before, my self, but that was temperature nearing triple digits pretty explicitly in what i was posting - the Sonoran heat-release stuff. ...which i won't get into now... but, that was also a JJA thing... obviously there has been heat in April and May - but big heat for this time of year...what - say, knock 5 off? in 1976 there were four consecutive days in the Merrimack Valley that exceeded 90 in April that year, and one of those days was 96 or 97 - I know, I saw the data. I think in all fairness that would be big heat when giving a nod to climate in April/May. thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 in 1976 there were four consecutive days in the Merrimack Valley that exceeded 90 in April that year, and one of those days was 96 or 97 - I know, I saw the data. I think in all fairness that would be big heat when giving a nod to climate in April/May. And that in the 3rd week of April, not at the end. Then 26 years (less one day) it happened again, with very similar temp sequences thru SNE, though the 2002 heat didn't do much past S. Maine. For central Maine, big heat in April came in 1990 and 2009, one day visits only, each on the 28th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 And that in the 3rd week of April, not at the end. Then 26 years (less one day) it happened again, with very similar temp sequences thru SNE, though the 2002 heat didn't do much past S. Maine. For central Maine, big heat in April came in 1990 and 2009, one day visits only, each on the 28th. 1976 spring break freshmen year, 92 degrees decided to run into the Atlantic and dive, every really freeze your brain? I have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2016 Author Share Posted April 15, 2016 Right. I mean I was the one who posted the 80+ stats yesterday. 80 is NBD for BDL and given the extended H5 look I'd easily take my chances on them squeezing in at least one dsd day.Ginx says not even close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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