Meteorological Super Bowl During AFC Championship? 1/23-1/24, Part II

[TalcottWx]

Euro argues for watching for a CCB tomorrow evening over SE MA...perhaps tickling BOS area. That will have to be watched.

How much snow do I get on Euro in Southie. I'm at the bar

[Hoth]

The low right now is about 50 miles west of where the Euro has it at hr 24.  Is it just going to sit there for the next 18 hours?

Where's the low right now? OBX?

[N. OF PIKE]

Now cast in effect

[Hoth]

How much snow do I get on Euro in Southie. I'm at the bar

0.4-0.5 QPF roughly

[WintersComing]

I'd say so glad as can be. Blizzard warnings just south of you and I at the shore...10-15 inches there, with locally higher amounts according to NWS.

 

Geez.....I stop stalking you guys for a couple hours to go have some drinks and all hell breaks loose lol

[WintersComing]

Holy cow.....Are my eyes playing tricks or was the NAM close to being the leader here? lol

[WinterWolf]

No, you are correct. Mentioned that a few posts back... It scored the coup it seems.

[78Blizzard]

Where's the low right now? OBX?

It looks to be in the Norfolk VA area.  The winds there in the last hour backed into the E from the NE, and the winds at Elizabeth City NC in the past hour went from SE to W.  Also pressure in the last hour is unchanged at Elizabeth City, where it had been falling rapidly.

[WintersComing]

What a crazy storm....who would have thought Nammy would pull through

[ryanjn]

http://www.weather.gov/images/box/winter/MaxSnowWeb.png

KBOX's max snowfall...Might bust low in some spots?

[WeatherEmperor]

What a crazy storm....who would have thought Nammy would pull through

Lets be careful.  Pulling through would be like 2 feet in all of southern new england, at least from its first glance.  That said, it is comical that it actually was correct.  I'm still not clear on what totals will be in southern new england / ct / RI / SE mass, and I'm not sure the NAM is clear on that either.

[WintersComing]

Lets be careful.  Pulling through would be like 2 feet in all of southern new england, at least from its first glance.  That said, it is comical that it actually was correct.  I'm still not clear on what totals will be in southern new england / ct / RI / SE mass, and I'm not sure the NAM is clear on that either.

 

Agree......was saying along the lines of track etc.

[WinterWolf]

No, not so much with amounts, but with the idea of this coming north, and not backing down with that idea once it latched on.

[WintersComing]

No, not so much with amounts, but with the idea of this coming north, and not backing down with that idea once it latched on.

 

What he said lol

[8611Blizz]

http://www.weather.gov/images/box/winter/MaxSnowWeb.png

KBOX's max snowfall...Might bust low in some spots?

That's more like it. 

[ryanjn]

ESRL does not look unreasonable. 

[The 4 Seasons]

OKX clearly the most bullish with their latest snowfall and LE projections..

[jm1220]

ESRL does not look unreasonable. 

 

ESRL does not look unreasonable. 

WOW. What a swath there. And storm might still be going on the coast around then. 

[ORH_wxman]

Lol, nice continuity between offices...it's like they just said "screw you" during collaboration and hung up.

[ryanjn]

For the most part I'd say there's finally a consensus on distribution of QPF across SNE. Highest totals along south coast with some bumps in SE MA for Plymouth and possibly Bristol counties. I mean one would hope so about 12-15 hours from the start of the event, but we probably won't know for sure until a few days after. Only then we will be able to truly asses what the hell happened. 

[NeonPeon]

What's weird is I saw a box map that was continuous a couple hrs ago, matched perfectly, but then it reverted. I wonder if it's not intentional.

[TalcottWx]

0.4-0.5 QPF roughly

[ryanjn]

Actually I guess the event has essentially began for SWNE.

[TalcottWx]

Well I said 2-4" forecast liking that now at Logan

[The 4 Seasons]

I think i heard someone say it was a one in a million shot..

[ryanjn]

We got thos above ave SST off the coast kinda like last year. I wonder how much that will enhance QPF as a whole for SNE. Anyone have any thoughts on ocean enhancement for SE MA?

[CNY-LES FREAK]

Trying to figure out why ppl are so worried about dry air eating away at some of the precip, essentially virga, but looking at the DP's throughout NE, their not all that bad, as I thought it would be hrs before the column got saturated and  precip began to fall but that doesnt seem to be the case throughout the area except maybe PVD where its 28/8, which would take some time I'd imagine.

 

Definitely excited to be a part of such an exciting, possibly Historic for some, weather event!  

Gppd Luck to all, especially those on the fringes!

[CNY-LES FREAK]

Wicked dry-slot about to affect DC proper the next couple hrs.

[ice1972]

I expect by morning that the WSW in SCT will be extended north throughout the whole state.....word this storm......it's gonna quietly get it done.....watch

[Morch Madness]

The 3z SREFs remain incredibly bullish