GrandmasterB Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 So... long range SREFs and NAM on our side so far tonight. Better than nothing I guess! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 My god....he is just dry humping the King....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Theyre all saying the NAM and GFS are slow and caving to the Euro. The NAM is far from caving to the EURO...although it is the 78-84 NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Theyre all saying the NAM and GFS are slow and caving to the Euro. Verbatim the NAM would not be caving to the ECM. Precip gets way further north here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Verbatim the NAM would not be caving to the ECM. Precip gets way further north here thanks for the pbp...and the hope... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 My god....he is just dry humping the King....... I wouldn't even listen.....I am sure he is finding everything wrong with the NAM as Richmond flips to Rain/Sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 #NAM'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Guys come on, long range NAM is literally meaningless. It's completely wrong almost 100% of the time. Still nice to look at though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Guys come on, long range NAM is literally meaningless. It's completely wrong almost 100% of the time. Still nice to look at though Ha, yeah, pretty much. Still, doesn't change that what the radio guys are saying doesn't appear correct, at least to my amateur eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I wouldn't even listen.....I am sure he is finding everything wrong with the NAM as Richmond flips to Rain/Sleet. everyone is talking bout the NAM...but he is whisper quiet now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Take with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Don't worry guys, the 78-84 hour NAM has our back lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Don't worry guys, the 78-84 hour NAM has our back lol. so.....as i'm chewing on my LARGE salt block... does it offer any pause that it just came that far north....despite its credibility/verification scores....could it be starting a trend. Radioheads are saying it looks decent at 500mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Don't worry guys, the 78-84 hour NAM has our back lol.Id rather have Sarah Palin be my psychologist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 They're looking at the 0z GFS as it comes out. Says at 54 it's playing catchup to the Euro, and tomorrow it'll fully match it. At 60, it's way south and west of the 18z GFS. Impossible. Gfs doesn't run for 30 minutes??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 They're looking at the 0z GFS as it comes out. Says at 54 it's playing catchup to the Euro, and tomorrow it'll fully match it. At 60, it's way south and west of the 18z GFS. GFS has yet to intialize...... they are looking at 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Damn I wish the NAM wasn't useless at that range... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 they also seem to think that the northern edge is not being modelled correctly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Beats me. Don't they come out at different times depending on source? they are discussing 18z will just said it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD 0213Z WED JAN 20 2016 THE 00Z NAM BEGAN AND IS RUNNING ON TIME.. 00Z RAOB RECAP... 72518/ALY - PURGE TEMPS AND HUNIDITY 813 TO 700 AND 247 TO 196MB..WET BULB EFFECT. 91413/YAP - PURGE TEMPS AND HUNIDITY 798 TO 766MB..WET BULB EFFECT. 76458/MZT - 10158; FLIGHT EQUIP PROBLEMS.. 76654/MZL - 10158; FLIGHT EQUIP PROBLEMS.. 76692/HYY - 10159; NOT AVAILABLE.. A REGIONAL CRITICAL WEATHER DAY...CWD...WILL BE DECLARED AT 1200Z THUR JAN 21 2016 AND EXTEND THROUGH 1200Z SUN JAN 24 2016 DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR THE MID ATLANTIC AND THE NORTHEAST COASTAL STATES.. THE FOLLOWING NWS REGIONS ARE IMPACTED BY THIS CWD...EASTERN. NCEP/NWSTG AND THE NCF ARE ALSO PARTICIPATING IN THIS CWD TO ENSURE A RELIABLE FLOW OF WEATHER DATA ALL SCHEDULED SOFTWARE/HARDWARE/NETWORK CHANGES FOR THE IMPACTED OFFICES WILL BE POSTPONED UNTIL THE CWD HAS ENDED. ANY EMERGENCY CHANGES WILL BE EVALUATED AND APPROVED BY THE LOCAL/REGIONAL MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. NWS OFFICES SHOULD CONTACT THEIR REGIONAL OFFICES FOR FURTHER QUESTIONS ABOUT THIS CWD. SHRUELL/SDM/NCO/NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I think the event in February 2014 had about 9.5", at least at the coop site. Yeah, I think you're right, that number sounds familiar. I was remembering it as around 8". I think second place was in the 6-8" range, and third was probably 5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 They're looking at the 0z GFS as it comes out. Says at 54 it's playing catchup to the Euro, and tomorrow it'll fully match it. At 60, it's way south and west of the 18z GFS. GFS is out yet??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 They're at 84, low pressure is near LA coast. At 18z it was in central Alabama. Definitely slower, which does go to the Euro. DT says it's very close to the Euro so far, not quite there yet. I must be listening to a different show????????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Is there a 500mb chart release maybe? If it's the 18z they're taking about why are they acting like it's just now out? I'm really confused guys, sorry. 0z GFS has not started....it is confusing because DT is finding everything to hump the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 HOLY **** I WAS LISTENING TO A SHOW FROM 2011. WHAT THE F?!?! I'm gonna go edit all u posts guys, sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Haha.. That is some good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 HOLY **** I WAS LISTENING TO A SHOW FROM 2011. WHAT THE F?!?! I'm gonna go edit all u posts guys, sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 HOLY **** I WAS LISTENING TO A SHOW FROM 2011. WHAT THE F?!?! I'm gonna go edit all u posts guys, sorry. OMG LOLLLLL!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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