Powerball Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 And also better wave separtion. But I'm still not confident that will happen. The storm behind the weekend storm is starting to look a bit more interesting. Personally I think I'll be rooting for the lead system to track as far northwest as possible as that should open the door to a farther northwest track for the system afterward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Johndee going all out. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Gotta give JB credit if it blows up. Nobody saw this coming................... What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 lol Johndee is a northwoods hype machine, but even he said this winter was going to be a dumpster fire back in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Gotta give JB credit if it blows up. Nobody saw this coming................... He never said anything about a big storm, he only said the coldest air nationwide, colder than the last 2 years, which is ludicrous. JB doesn't deserve any credit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 JB was mentioning the January 1978 storm a while back I think. Even if this storm pans out, it has a looong way to go to get to something resembling 1978 on the models. I think a more appropriate comparison (in terms of setup) may be the January 5, 2014 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 JB was mentioning the January 1978 storm a while back I think. Even if this storm pans out, it has a looong way to go to get to something resembling 1978 on the models. I think a more appropriate comparison (in terms of setup) may be the January 5, 2014 storm. he did bring it up a week or so again....but since then has been going with a gulf to midatlantic coast track. Btw, euro says what storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 JB was mentioning the January 1978 storm a while back I think. Even if this storm pans out, it has a looong way to go to get to something resembling 1978 on the models. I think a more appropriate comparison (in terms of setup) may be the January 5, 2014 storm. still too generous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 JB was mentioning the January 1978 storm a while back I think. Even if this storm pans out, it has a looong way to go to get to something resembling 1978 on the models. I think a more appropriate comparison (in terms of setup) may be the January 5, 2014 storm. Doesn't he do that once or twice every season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Doesn't he do that once or twice every season? Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Doesn't he do that once or twice every season? do what you gotta do to keep weenies like angrysummons and buckeye paying the mortgage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Here's January 5, 2014 and the upcoming setup as progged by the GFS. We'll have to see how it trends but as modeled right now, the 2014 storm was one of the first that came to mind. I definitely think it's a way better comparison than 1978, though that is not saying a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 do what you gotta do to keep weenies like angrysummons and buckeye paying the mortgage 19.99 x 3 (months) = 60 bucks. Easily worth the entertainment value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Here's January 5, 2014 and the upcoming setup as progged by the GFS. We'll have to see how it trends but as modeled right now, the 2014 storm was one of the first that came to mind. I definitely think it's a way better comparison than 1978, though that is not saying a lot. 010515.png Untitled.png This time though, we actually have a decent STJ at play also. So a stronger/wetter storm than 1/5/14 also wouldn't surprise me, if everything lines up just right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Super hyped for this pattern. Hotels booked. Johndee going all out. The lakes definitely have the opportunity to get burred if that air does come down. with all lakes open for business and still pretty warm. I gotta laugh at john dee, he kinda reminds me of a LES hyped up Joe B especially for the keweenaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 19.99 x 3 (months) = 60 bucks. Easily worth the entertainment value. it's your money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Warm Lakes: Combined with this: = very happy winter sport fans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 that'll be a fun pattern with no snow cover At least I now live in a snowbelt region...although the storm busted with just a dusting today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Warm Lakes: Combined with this: = very happy winter sport fans That's sexy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 boring dry cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 12z ECMWF ensemble mean looks decent...I'd imagine a number of the individual members have something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 boring dry cold Here's to a boring winter and an active spring.. right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 boring FYP to reflect the entire month of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 FYP to reflect the entire month of December. At least we had big systems to track in December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 boring dry cold 12z GFS had several Clippers on it. Won't be totally boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 JB was mentioning the January 1978 storm a while back I think. Even if this storm pans out, it has a looong way to go to get to something resembling 1978 on the models. I think a more appropriate comparison (in terms of setup) may be the January 5, 2014 storm. Lonnie Fisher at IWX mentioned a jan. '78 anlog in his disco this morning. Maybe this is where JB was getting it: TEMPERATURES WILL BE TURNING COLDER EARLY NEXT WEEK. NCEP/WPC MODELS AND OTHER MODELS WERE HAVING A HARD TIME HANDLING UPSTREAM BLOCKING WITH ANOMALOUSLY STRONG FLOW DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC PER CPC/GFS ANALOGS. SO LOTS OF ENERGY WILL BE CUTTING UNDER THE UPSTREAM RIDGE/BLOCK. THE ANALOG CORRELATION COEFFICIENT WAS VERY HIGH...ALMOST 0.95...SO THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN APPEARS MORE STABLE. AN ANALOG FROM JANUARY OF 1978 HAS SHOWN UP FOR THE PAST 3 NIGHTS IN THIS PATTERN. AN ANALOG FROM JANUARY 1998 WAS ALSO IN THE 10 TEN WHICH SUGGESTS A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN BEYOND THE END OF THE PERIOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 disaster pattern Kill it with fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 At least we had big systems to track in December We could have hurricanes, tornadoes and frogs raining from the sky and the month would still suck at +10F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 We could have hurricanes, tornadoes and frogs raining from the sky and the month would still suck at +10F. Pretty sure most people hate -20˚C departures as well, aside from you. You've had 3 straight winters of money in the bank (like the folks in New England). If you want that kind of cold, move to Yellowknife. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 We could have hurricanes, tornadoes and frogs raining from the sky and the month would still suck at +10F. Ah, ok... you're one of those snow-or-GTFO guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.