JC-CT Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Reservoirs, rivers, groundwater are all normal in all of Ct, total non issue unless you worry obsessively about grass Why do you speak of well-known facts as if they are hypotheticals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 You've got an interesting definition of drought if a dry 2-3 weeks will put you there in a location that probably averages what 40-50" of precip annually? Gasp, a dry few weeks in the summer in New England. I've always thought it was interesting that people would talk about droughts around here as if they are on the scale that happen elsewhere. Even in my driest years I've had over 30" of rain. I think BDL & ORH's driest years have more than 28" of precip. Some places that really experience drought can't get that much rain in their wettest years! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 You've got an interesting definition of drought if a dry 2-3 weeks will put you there in a location that probably averages what 40-50" of precip annually? Gasp, a dry few weeks in the summer in New England.Look, it's dry. It's been a dry stretch overall since May. It's not a drought yet no. The idea is it's been dry, and looks very dry moving forward until Nino rains kick in late fall and winter. Not all of us can live in the mountains of N VT that can squeeze 2 inches of rain out of high, thin cirrus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 13, 2015 Author Share Posted August 13, 2015 Look, it's dry. It's been a dry stretch overall since May. It's not a drought yet no. The idea is it's been dry, and looks very dry moving forward until Nino rains kick in late fall and winter. Not all of us can live in the mountains of N VT that can squeeze 2 inches of rain out of high, thin cirruswait wut, didn't you just postAll of CT Headed back into drought AWT and As we feared..ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 wait wut, didn't you just post All of CT Headed back into drought AWT and As we feared..ugh Where does that say we are in a drought? If the current dry pattern continues another few weeks we will be in official status. If Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Last 30 days. Dry dry dry over most of Northeast. The idea being if this continues into September.. We burn and drought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 There was definite hyperbole, but a certain poster here probably expects it. I meant to say avg +10 over a 15 day stretch too, but it was hyperbolic nonetheless. The first 15 days of Aug '88 were probably close to averaging +10F for most spots. More like +7/+8 around here, still very impressive (or opressive), but I think Boston's departures, or even PWM's, might've been greater. What I recall from that stretch was not aso much the heat but the dews - day after day in the 70s, including PWM's record TD of 77. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 More like +7/+8 around here, still very impressive (or opressive), but I think Boston's departures, or even PWM's, might've been greater. What I recall from that stretch was not aso much the heat but the dews - day after day in the 70s, including PWM's record TD of 77. I think CON was over +9F. I'm glad I don't remember that stretch. I don't do the dew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Look, it's dry. It's been a dry stretch overall since May. It's not a drought yet no. The idea is it's been dry, and looks very dry moving forward until Nino rains kick in late fall and winter. Not all of us can live in the mountains of N VT that can squeeze 2 inches of rain out of high, thin cirrus Drought seems to be an excessive word choice for what is going on. Especially given what drought means in other parts of the U.S. Look, it's been dry. But what's the impact? Rivers are fine, reservoirs are fine, the water table is fine. Dry does not equal drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Well the extended GFS certainly showing signs of the times in srn Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Tip was right. Holy Euro .Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Well the extended GFS certainly showing signs of the times in srn Canada. It's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Tip was right. Holy Euro .Wow Euro looks like crap. Days of east wind with WF just south. Hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Are in-ground sprinklers illegal in CT? If not, anyone (like myself) who insists on a green lawn, has no excuse to let their lawn "burn". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Euro looks like crap. Days of east wind with WF just south. Hope not. Depends on what level one refers too... It's definitely looking over played in the lower troposphere given that flow aloft. Looks "TOO" strong with BD given that construct. I'd also suggest for the lay-persons to take the Euro's idea of feebly migrating weak impulses through the 40th parallel like that with a specious regard (to put it nicely), in general. The Euro hates eastern heights and will erode them with very little provocation.. Not saying an inferno is in route, but I see this run as no different in terms of oscillating features, like discussed awhile ago. ... Problem is, "big heat," particularly when it starts to challenge climo needs a few things to go right, and these permutations run to run lowers the confidence in the dailies. Time will tell... I'm still banking on AN and leaving amplitude in the wind for the time being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Depends on what level one refers too... It's definitely looking over played in the lower troposphere given that flow aloft. Looks "TOO" strong with BD given that construct. I'd also suggest for the lay-persons to take the Euro's idea of feebly migrating weak impulses through the 40th parallel like that with a specious regard (to put it nicely), in general. The Euro hates eastern heights and will erode them with very little provocation.. Not saying an inferno is in route, but I see this run as no different in terms of oscillating features, like discussed awhile ago. ... Problem is, "big heat," particularly when it starts to challenge climo needs a few things to go right, and these permutations run to run lowers the confidence in the dailies. Time will tell... I'm still banking on AN and leaving amplitude in the wind for the time being. it's been doing this at that range for a long time... you seem to be the only person in this subforum who notices forecast from last sunday valid this coming sunday. overdone with the trof to the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 vs current forecast: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 It overdoes everything in the LR...the heat too. I think we all know it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 It overdoes everything in the LR...the heat too. I think we all know it.i'm talking about this specific bias of blowing up a trof over se canada and hanging a BD front down to nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 I think CON was over +9F. I'm glad I don't remember that stretch. I don't do the dew. PWM was +9.1 for 8/1-15/88, but +10.1 for 2-13. Their avg minimum 3-13 was 70.1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Torch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 GFS is doing that too though. It troughs out so much that it sends the BDF to DC. Itś definitely something to ponder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 13, 2015 Author Share Posted August 13, 2015 It overdoes everything in the LR...the heat too. I think we all know it. Yea ENS has continued to be the way to go for anything post 5, been that way since last July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 13, 2015 Author Share Posted August 13, 2015 GFS is doing that too though. It troughs out so much that it sends the BDF to DC. Itś definitely something to ponder. Op runs post 5 have been spurious for a very long time in that regard, nothing earth shattering really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 None of the ENS have it..Until they do..you get rid of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 13, 2015 Author Share Posted August 13, 2015 None of the ENS have it..Until they do..you get rid of it true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Op runs post 5 have been spurious for a very long time in that regard, nothing earth shattering really Ensembles have it too. It hopefully will do two things. Either do the GFS and shive it to DC, or just have it washout overhead and not pull a euro with clouds and ocnl showrs. For someone like myself who is on vaca...I care. Luckily itś far enough out to not make for a concern either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 None of the ENS have it..Until they do..you get rid of it They all have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 They all have it. None of them have a cool HP building in from E canada. All show above normal..so the idea of a cool pattern mid week seems preposterous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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