superjames1992 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The 4 km NAM is adjusting NW, as well (not that that is a surprise). The surface low and heaviest precip are a good 50 miles west of 12z. 999 mb LP west of Waycross at hr 12. 998 mb LP just south of Emerald Isle at hr 15. Looks like the Hi-Res is setting to drop about 10" of snow here in less than six hours. 850 0C isotherm runs from Roanoke Rapids to CLT at hr 15 with RDU definitely not snow at that point (though a lot fell before that). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The 4 km NAM is adjusting NW, as well (not that that is a surprise). The surface low and heaviest precip are a good 50 miles west of 12z. 999 mb LP west of Waycross at hr 12. Looks like the Hi-Res is setting to drop about 10" of snow here in less than six hours. 850 0C isotherm runs from Roanoke Rapids to CLT at hr 15 with RDU definitely not snow at that point (though a lot fell before that). Dang it. We are going to be left with 3 inches with these shifts north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 ALL SORTS OF DYNAMICAL FORCING WILLOCCUR OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NE GA TONIGHT. NO NEED TO GOINTO DETAILS ON THAT.My favorite snippet from the GSP discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 FYI for those of you who aren't checking the obs thread.........the rain/snow line seems to have setup around I-20......all of us here north of I-20 are getting moderate to sometimes heavy snow with sleet mixed in.....I haven't seen any rain reports north of Atlanta. hopefully that may be some good news for all of you upstream from here. - Buck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 4km looks good, looks like as soon as rates let up we flip to sleet, QPF not as crazy as the 12km NAM, looks 1"-1.25" QPF for RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowpressure Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 GSP upping totals in southern Piedmont to 7-11 Yeah, up to 8-12 for Union County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flatpick20 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Notice the dry slot over Upstate SC. maybe the lee side warm bubble that delays the changeover to snow ala March 09 ? Still looks like a solid 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Frank Strait and Accuweather: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Matthew East @eastwx 29s30 seconds ago Based on what I am seeing, a rough line from Spartanburg-Gastonia-Huntersville-Salisbury-High Point-Hillsborough should be near highest accm Matthew East @eastwx 40s41 seconds ago In this corridor, say roughly 75 miles on either side of that line, I think 6"-10" is looking more likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rizzoads Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Oh for anyone who wants to look up their own soundings on the NAM/RAP/GFS/UK, http://vortex.plymouth.edu/grbsnd.html. Thanks for that. I'm about 14 miles SSW of RDU. Looks like we go above freezing at 850 sometime between 6am and 9am. Hopefully we have a ton of snow on the ground already at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Eric Webber: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 4km looks good, looks like as soon as rates let up we flip to sleet, QPF not as crazy as the 12km NAM, looks 1"-1.25" QPF for RDU. Pack I'm due NE of you so we're on that same line. I think with this we just have to wait for the storm itself to see what we get. Hopefully we can end up just over that switch line and really score here. Even some sleet would still have this a major storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I'm in NW Raleigh, about 5 miles N of RDU. If we end up with rain on this, I'm going to be very angry and will gesture rudely at the clouds. Well, if youre doing that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brandon Garrett Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 GSP updated my totals from 3-5 inches to 8-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skbl17 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 FFC's afternoon forecast discussion is out. Highlights: - Little change in accumulations. They're sticking with this map for the most part. - No changes to the winter storm warning at this time. - Temps dropping a bit slower than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 GSP updated my totals from 3-5 inches to 8-10 gotta give a location dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I'm thinking blacksburg is going to need to adjust my totals a bit. 3-5 seems a little too low for me right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 gotta give a location dude did you see the 19z RAP? Stripe of 20" from Charlotte to Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 If you are in the GSP area and totals go up please post. Im still at 4-8" here in Rutherford County.. Igotta give a location dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 If you are in the GSP area and totals go up please post. Im still at 4-8" here in Rutherford County.. Mine went up to 5-9 inches. Point and click shows around 8 inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 GSP office: Accumulations... snow accumulation of 5 to 8 inches across thefoothills and northern upstate of South Carolina. Areas alongand east of the Interstate 77 corridor across Charlotte Metroarea may see values between 10 to 12 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 did you see the 19z RAP? Stripe of 20" from Charlotte to Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 GSP has waxhaw (south Charlotte) at 8-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brandon Garrett Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I live in Roebuck, SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 If you are in the GSP area and totals go up please post. Im still at 4-8" here in Rutherford County.. I'm still in the 4-8 on the grid looking at GSP latest map seems to be a little less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 did you see the 19z RAP? Stripe of 20" from Charlotte to Raleigh. Nope, and now I am. Didn't think I'd get another crack at a foot so soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On the point and click it's 6-10". On the map it's 8-10". Charlotte area is now in 10-14". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Pardon me while I visit the storm banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Strong, I'm at 3-7 from GSP. Been there since last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Pardon me while I visit the storm banter thread. 17 measley inches for me. I guess I'll take it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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