Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 if its deeper and more west and still looks bad.....lol1 tick every single run between now and the event and deform city man! You can already see the next one in line digging a bit further west thanks to the bowling ball that destroys sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 if its deeper and more west and still looks bad.....lol what you want ain't happening this year, so get used to the idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 what you want ain't happening this year, so get used to the idea i believe we will get a 1993 type storm in March. Thats what Santa told me anyway when she was sitting on my lap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 I'm just shooting for an inch or 2....it's the best we can ever do with these things anything is a bonus vs. what the models were showing as recently as 12Z-18Z yesterday it's cool how you did a 180 on your thoughts from being up front in the winter cancelers to being up front on the long odds cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 i believe we will get a 1993 type storm in March. Thats what Santa told me anyway when she was sitting on my lap you must have seen the South Pole Santa this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 i believe we will get a 1993 type storm in March. Thats what Santa told me anyway when she was sitting on my lap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 it's cool how you did a 180 on your thoughts from being up front in the winter cancelers to being up front on the long odds cash in. pattern change showed up on the models coming from one of the biggest hedgers on the Board, I'll take that as a compliment though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 pattern change showed up on the models coming from one of the biggest hedgers on the Board, I'll take that as a compliment though not sure what that means but ok. may the luck be with you.. you'll need it with these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 not sure what that means but ok. may the luck be with you.. you'll need it with these. what pattern change? the main things we need(AO and NAO) still suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 This winter in SNE is making me feel good about the possibility of another 2009-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 not sure what that means but ok. may the luck be with you.. you'll need it with these. predicting the unpredictable can get pretty unpredictable on a different note, all the snipping around here gets pretty sad and tiring sticking with wx analysis and guessing would keep this place a lot more rewarding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Have 850's ever been -20 in Savannah? I don't think I've ever seen an 850 map look like that. Side note: if it doesn't snow, this will be a miserable period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 18Z gives around the same 1-2" of powder for the 1st clipper as the NAM fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 predicting the unpredictable can get pretty unpredictable on a different note, all the snipping around here gets pretty sad and tiring sticking with wx analysis and guessing would keep this place a lot more rewarding lol..you have been behind most of the complaining and snipping the past week. But I love ya anyway:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 lol..you have been behind most of the complaining and snipping the past week. But I love ya anyway:) complaining, guilty, just like the rest but I didn't mention complaining as we all do it snipping, ahh no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 sorry dude.. you've been here for like 15 years and are a lawyer. i thought you were intelligent. see, the same sad ap mentality you just can't help yourself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 GFS looks terrible for sunday clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 see, the same sad ap mentality you just can't help yourself i think we need a 3-6 inch winter storm watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 GFS looks terrible for sunday clipper I'm not seeing anything that would qualify as good. I'd be happy to see 578dm heights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 I'm not seeing anything that would qualify as good. I'd be happy to see 578dm heights. we get one good run(last night 00z) and then instead of building on them...the next several runs is a disaster. We havent had 2 good straight runs of anything this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 i think we need a 3-6 inch winter storm watch I'm sticking with my thoughts that we have to get past these 2 clippers to have a chance at something we all want to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 It's either gonna be a surprise or not at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 I'm sticking with my thoughts that we have to get past these 2 clippers to have a chance at something we all want to see We've had a continuous string of clippers....why will things change after these two? Just curious as to the thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 We've had a continuous string of clippers....why will things change after these two? Just curious as to the thinking. because the operationals have all been throwing the SW moisture out our way, and they have been supported by their ensembles timing, strength, exact track are, of course, unknown we haven't seen anything coming out of the SW since the screwgey pattern started, so that's a change we'll see....it may or may not yield us something, but it's different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 we get one good run(last night 00z) and then instead of building on them...the next several runs is a disaster. We havent had 2 good straight runs of anything this year Models are not programmed to come up with a most likely and stick with it until compelling information comes in which would necessitate a change. They are programmed to cover all bases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 It's either gonna be a surprise or not at all Pretty much. Both clippers go through redevelopment. If we are still in the game inside of hr48 then good things can happen at the last minute. Neither one is ideal but not totally awful either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 GFS less amped this go around. Similar to some of the euro members with a low tracking almost due east into WV with cold wedged east of the apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 This winter in SNE is making me feel good about the possibility of another 2009-10 If the predicted Nino, -AO/NAO didnt all FAIL, it might have been us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 I'm sticking with my thoughts that we have to get past these 2 clippers to have a chance at something we all want to see I think one of these clippers produces a 1-3, 2-4 type deal. Then we can see what lies beyond...maybe it will still suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Our 1004mb low over VA is going to be 976mb over Nantucket 18 hrs later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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