South_MountainWX Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Lmao cold rain im not sure you really wana know inside joke! Edit For those of you that forgot bein a while look up john wayne bobbitt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Lmao cold rain im not sure you really wana know inside joke! Edit For those of you that forgot bein a while look up john wayne bobbitt Haha ok, I gotcha now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 18, 2015 Author Share Posted January 18, 2015 Non of the big hitters in here!? Did 12z suck that bad? I thought it was ok, and full of potential! Everybody at church? One big hitter, my bad Brick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 If this storm is gonna happen I need to see some positive "doings" on the models by tomorrow night, preferably sooner. I don't recall exactly without going through the Christmas 2010 thread, but that storm reemerged just a few days out. The maps delta posted do not look good at all for northern and southern stream interaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Time to start putting pre emergent out. Weeds will start popping soon. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 If this storm is gonna happen I need to see some positive "doings" on the models by tomorrow night, preferably sooner. I don't recall exactly without going through the Christmas 2010 thread, but that storm reemerged just a few days out. The maps delta posted do not look good at all for northern and southern stream interaction.The Christmas 2010 storm reemerged about 48-72 hours out, IIRC.I believe in the DGEX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 The Christmas 2010 storm reemerged about 48-72 hours out, IIRC. I believe in the DGEX. Isn't that sort of like believing in leprechauns and the tooth fairy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 The Christmas 2010 storm reemerged about 48-72 hours out, IIRC. I believe in the DGEX. I don't want to get roasted too bad for saying this... but I really think the DGEX does a pretty good job of sniffying out legitimate threats in the 6/7 day time frame. I can tell you this... I've looked at basically every run of it this winter and last nights run was the first one to show a good shot at wintry precip for a lot on this board... On the other hand, each of the global models has given us some false hope numerous times this winter. Maybe a Dgex/CMC combo will prove to be a good one?! Disclaimer: I realize the many technical problems with the Dgex model in the long range... this is just my gut feeling on it the last few years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Isn't that sort of like believing in leprechauns and the tooth fairy? Wait.....what?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Lol the DGEX is COMPLETE trash! It is only used for entertainment and good model porn. The DGEX has never been right and is about as worse as the CRAS model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 LOL, I love the CRAS. Most overamplified model ever invented. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Isn't that sort of like believing in leprechauns and the tooth fairy? You mean the tooth fairy isn't real? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 LOL, I love the CRAS. Most overamplified model ever invented.hey superjames what are you thinking for us in northern NC for the system on friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 You mean the tooth fairy isn't real? It's real if you believe it, just like all my fantasy snow is real in my mind . Euro sounds like it took a step in the right direction so maybe the DGEX is onto something.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Another positive step forward by the Euro. It is going to all come together. If not next weekend then for the last week of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Haha ok, I gotcha now. Some people are visual learners. Here a visual aid to help you remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 ^ Haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 The dgex is kinda like the jma. It can do a good job of sniffing out big dogs. It is best when we're having a good winter with many phasing opportunities. I remember it leading the euro and especially the GFS several times during the winter of 09/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Some people are visual learners. Here a visual aid to help you remember. Haha nice one burns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Timeline of events this week... DGEX keeps monsters coming for next week Gets into NAM range and is still there with still an insane amount of QPF and all/mostly snow Within 60hrs QPF starts to back off or P-Type is Rain Within 36 QPF goes to a small event with drizzle ending as snow/flizzard Within 24hrs it's all 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 I'm confused. What are we talking about? I was completely lost too, but I think I figured it out. Iso began by making a reference to the poster of questionable grammar skills (bobbitt). Then, South_MountainWx completely misunderstood and took it as an allusion to the notorious domestic violence incident. Then, it got crazy and Burns came along to add fuel to the dumpster fire of confusion with his hilarious image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 I was completely lost too, but I think I figured it out. Iso began by making a reference to the poster of questionable grammar skills (bobbitt). Then, South_MountainWx completely misunderstood and took it as an allusion to the notorious domestic violence incident. Then, it got crazy and Burns came along to add fuel to the dumpster fire of confusion with his hilarious image. yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 The dgex is kinda like the jma. It can do a good job of sniffing out big dogs. It is best when we're having a good winter with many phasing opportunities. I remember it leading the euro and especially the GFS several times during the winter of 09/10. Well, the JMA has been onboard with a pretty beastly storm for awhile (granted, I didn't look at today's run). With the DGEX onboard (and the NAVGEM, too), maybe there could be something to it. Of course, the big dogs they show are only good for the northern SE (NC/TN) and would probably shaft GA, SC, & AL. Timeline of events this week... DGEX keeps monsters coming for next week Gets into NAM range and is still there with still an insane amount of QPF and all/mostly snow Within 60hrs QPF starts to back off or P-Type is Rain Within 36 QPF goes to a small event with drizzle ending as snow/flizzard Within 24hrs it's all 0 LOL, did you just do a recap of December 2000? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 :lmao: ................. :cry: I don't wanna wait that long. Does the LORDS model show any snow for me this winter? I know the LORDS ensemble showed a big waycross snowstorm with 12/50 members with 36/50 showing over an inch before the end of winter. The PITA Model shows a massive blizzard for Jamaica. However, it has a tend to suppress storms, so I think you can correct that northwards. The question is whether it ends with a blizzard for Key West or for Waycross. It think we're too far north up here in NC for the January 2061 Superstorm. The PITA Ensemble Mean shows a LP cluster around Havana, so that might be a prime track for Key West. (Yes, I know these LP tracks are basically impossible) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Wow, that is near perfect zonal flow on the east coast. Atlantic is such a winter blocker. Needs to cooperate!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Time to start putting pre emergent out. Weeds will start popping soon. Lol yep, you know the deal WC.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 18z GFS must be a dud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 18z GFS must be a dud. Beyond a dud :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Beyond a dud :/ Awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 It's not that bad...well it's not good either, but not awful. Still suppressed, maybe a little further north. It's still possible for this to come north. My main concern is lack of HP and where our cold air is going to come from. Dynamical Cooling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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