TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Not expecting much other than maybe some slop at the very beginning from this upcoming storm. Also wouldn't shock me if we didnt even see that. Times are tough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Not expecting much other than maybe some slop at the very beginning from this upcoming storm. Also wouldn't shock me if we didnt even see that. Times are tough Man you ooze depression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Man you ooze depression. Lol yeah. I'll be honest, its getting to me a bit. Nothing you can really do though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Great article in the Post today about DC and snowfall through December. The numbers carry the same theme down there, if December snow is grim the vast majority of years underperform. There are always those that don't follow the majority, but odds are long. Winter is just setting up, plenty of time to go. Odds mean diddly if we get blitzed for several months but hard to ignore history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Lol yeah. I'll be honest, its getting to me a bit. Nothing you can really do though. Honestly. I'm punting the next week or so down here in the tropics of Mass. I'm hopeful for the 7th and beyond, however. Just taking a break for a week helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Lol yeah. I'll be honest, its getting to me a bit. Nothing you can really do though. Just sit back and think about why you avg, what you avg. You can't have 60+ every season. It is about time to regress a bit. That said, I don't mind the look around here over the next 2-3 weeks or so. You'll drive yourself batsh*t crazy looking at every op run and the ups and downs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 i'm really liking the 7th 8th dealio for a nice blanket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 https://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Honestly. I'm punting the next week or so down here in the tropics of Mass. I'm hopeful for the 7th and beyond, however. Just taking a break for a week helps. Yeah the writing is on the wall I think for this upcoming event. Save for a huge change tonight or tomorrow I'm probably going to take a bit of a break until we actually have a real threat around here. Enjoy the rest of my time off before I head back to work on monday then school a few weeks later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Nice to see clippers on guidance again. I miss those little nickles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Lol @ punting on 3rd down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 i'm really liking the 7th 8th dealio for a nice blanket. That is your one to kick off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 The arctic clipper last winter, I think it was in Jan, was one of my fave events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 14.4F here Bottom dropping out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Just sit back and think about why you avg, what you avg. You can't have 60+ every season. It is about time to regress a bit. That said, I don't mind the look around here over the next 2-3 weeks or so. You'll drive yourself batsh*t crazy looking at every op run and the ups and downs. Yeah I think the last few winters are probably skewing reality a bit.A break may be good if I can bring myself to do that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Yeah I think the last few winters are probably skewing reality a bit.A break may be good if I can bring myself to do that lol You'll get yours. We got some stuff coming down the pipeline after Sunday. Plenty of winter left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Wankum is a clown. The guy is talking about wind chills Tuesday morning..lol. Who cares about wind chills 7 days from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 That clipper reminds me of one of those fluff bombs ala the Friday after MLK in 2011. After that we had a great pack and then 1/26 blew down the door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 The models show the clipper bombing out just a little too late for Eastern SNE to cash in, but I think future runs will show otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 The models show the clipper bombing out just a little too late for Eastern SNE to cash in, but I think future runs will show otherwise. Earth shattering take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Lol Scott, you said the pattern will start to favor snowfall over rainfall, after this 3-5th event the pattern supports snow. arctic clipper bringing in the cold hammer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Lol Scott, you said the pattern will start to favor snowfall over rainfall, after this 3-5th event the pattern supports snow. arctic clipper bringing in the cold hammer. Pretty sure I never said those exact words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Pretty sure I never said those exact words. ok so you didn't say those exact words, I'm sorry, but you did say the pattern will produce chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 ok so you didn't say those exact words, I'm sorry, but you did say the pattern will produce chances. That I did. Little difference there..lol. But yes, with the cold will come chances for the region. And once again, latitude is probably favored..IE the further north, that better the chance. So, lets not all expect 30" at the end of week 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Scott what is your overall idea towards the Clipper the models are showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Good call on the change btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Scott what is your overall idea towards the Clipper the models are showing? He answered it in the model discussion thread..... It's light years away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 13.1F. Pattern shmattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Scott what is your overall idea towards the Clipper the models are showing? Well there is a s/w sort of sliding down the ridge and sharpening a bit over the Plains, but I really urge people to not get hopes up for this quite yet. It could easily be mid level clouds and flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 I like the clipper look right now as modeled. There's some good stuff going for it provided it stays on guidance. But as Scott already said, it could easily morph into garbage given it is 8 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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