CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Not sure I buy that much though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 25mm is quite a bit. Yeah, I wasn't sure of the exact amount, but I knew it was about an inch. If that amount of liquid fell as snow, easily over 6" in spots. The RGEM is basically a nightmare scenario for public works and forecasters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 What time would the snow start? I think early morning and cranks hardest 9-noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 :weenie: :weenie: :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 I'm trying to keep expectations in check. A slushy coating on my car would be great with me. Anything more this early is gravy. Hanging at 38.8F here. Pretty much. Unfortunately expectations have been raised my recent guidance. Still will hope for some slushy flakes, anything more is bonus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 BOX not buying the NAM, GFS, or RGEM: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Hey guys, busy day, but y question is two fold: 1) Should i honestly be expecting a couple of inches of snow? 2) What t imd is this going down? Thanks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 :weenie: :weenie: :weenie: rgemsnow.gif Lol. Just your casual 6-10 inch paste bomb when most people are expecting not even a flake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Drunk post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyLovesSnow Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 BOX not buying the NAM, GFS, or RGEM: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/ is it me or is the one low taking shape now instead of two low's? Precipitation is expanding everywhere. Could this storm get stronger than modeled and also guys if you have a map of the current weather (lows exact location at this exact moment? Link it so I can see? Thanks in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Yeah I'm sure RGEM qpf is overdone some..but you can cut that in half and still get a solid event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Yeah I'm sure RGEM qpf is overdone some..but you can cut that in half and still get a solid event. I was thinking maybe 2".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 :weenie: :weenie: :weenie: rgemsnow.gif algorithm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 I was thinking maybe 2".... I was thinking 0" until about an hour ago. But now I think 2" isn't a bad starting point for interior E MA...even BOS too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 I was thinking maybe 2".... You forgot KSCOOT 95-105" for '14/'15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 algorithm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 BOX not buying the NAM, GFS, or RGEM: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/ Really no incentive to start hoisting numbers right now. People went to bed already expecting no snow. Mine as well wait it out and see how it plays out towards morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 I discussed the latent heat inject/feedback stuff extensively as a reason to monitor now cast carefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 I was thinking 0" until about an hour ago. But now I think 2" isn't a bad starting point for interior E MA...even BOS too. This is rather nuts right now. People may are gonna be cursing left and right tomorrow potentially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 I asked Box if they were buying RGEM NAM GFS, they said watching HRRR RAP. Lol look at 15 min HRRR, crushes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 BOX wouldn't have updated their snow map that quickly anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 algorithm? 10:1 using the RGEM QPF as snow. Basically the map will posted, converted to inches, and then *10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/flash-wv.html A joy to watch. Not sure how much snow parts of Eastern Maine may get considering places south of Houlton look to have been getting hard last 5-6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 MBY Flakes 100% Whitened ground 80% >2" 50% >4" 25% Given the latest model run these seem reasonable. Snowfall spiked accum right where the hvy stuff comes down. ML's are extremely cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Gfs while not as potent as the RGEM would be a general 2-4 inches for a lot of folks in the Boston area and north and south shore, with of course higher amounts possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Yeah I thought about the BB comments on the way home. Not that I would pump the tires up on this aftn, but it seemed like nobody left the door open for even a little snow. Oh boy. What an ignorant comment. He clearly doesn't understand what a cutting edge science meteorology is, and just how chaotic the atmosphere is. It's akin to claiming that he is an awful coach because he hasn't won a SB in a decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 This seems like a very rare occasion (in this day and age of forecasting) when things are really up in the air and the public has no clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 You forgot KSCOOT 95-105" for '14/'15 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 This seems like a very rare occasion (in this day and age of forecasting) when things are really up in the air and the public has no clue Jan 2000 all over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 What an ignorant comment. He clearly doesn't understand with a cutting edge science meteorology is, and just how chaotic the atmosphere is. It's akin to claiming that he is an awful coach because he hasn't won a SB in a decade. Straight up BB trolling. He looks for any possible advantage he can get...I guarantee he has forecasters that he trusts giving him predictions a few days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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