sauss06 Posted October 6, 2014 Share Posted October 6, 2014 it was 37 at 650 am Sunday as i headed to our softball tournament. That has to be the earleist date i wore long pants in the fall. usually i wear shorts into November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 9, 2014 Author Share Posted October 9, 2014 Hello EURO...roughly 7:00pm Wednesday, Oct. 15th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 GET YOUR GENERATORS HERE! GENEEEEEEERATTTTTORS HERE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 Dropped to 34° this morning, but avoided a frost once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted October 12, 2014 Share Posted October 12, 2014 We got our first frost of the season here this morning. Was 34 when I woke up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted October 12, 2014 Share Posted October 12, 2014 A light frost and a low of 34° in Lebanon County this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 12, 2014 Share Posted October 12, 2014 Almost broke down and turned on the furnace last night. But survived, looks like I can now go another week - goal is always to try to get to November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 12, 2014 Author Share Posted October 12, 2014 HPC thinks a 2.5" - 5" slug of rain for the Tuesday - Wednesday timeframe, with the heaviest focused on Adams / York / Dauphin / Perry / Cumberland counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Whats the chance of Severe weather the next couple days, anyone have thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 Whats the chance of Severe weather the next couple days, anyone have thoughts? 12z operational NAM and, to a lessen extent, the GFS both show some medium CAPE / high helicity values for Wednesday. Given the rich influx of low level moisture, it would not surprise me to see a few EF-0 / EF-1 tornadoes get spun up over the next 48 hours. Not a widespread thing, localized heavy rain is the bigger threat, but it's definitely a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 So...this weather sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 closing in on 1.5" so far. radar looks healthy and front progression seems slow. I'm going with 3-4" for this area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Hello, heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vogan Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Totaled 3.40" for the event in LSV. Grass is seriously growing again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 We are getting a quick little rain shower here this morning. The temp is 46 as I type, but one of the radars is showing up as snow out in Central PA. Did or is anyone see(ing) any flakes this morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarks green snow Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 It was around 36 this morning at 7:00 with flurries up here in Clarks Green. First flakes of the season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted October 21, 2014 Share Posted October 21, 2014 Still frost free in Bellefonte. Only dropped to 36-37° this morning. My parents in Lebanon County had a low of 31°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted October 24, 2014 Share Posted October 24, 2014 I don't know which office put this out as I saw it posted on Facebook, but if this were winter, and the storm mostly snow, there would have been much wailing and gnashing of teeth over here in the CPA forum...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted October 24, 2014 Share Posted October 24, 2014 I don't know which office put this out as I saw it posted on Facebook, but if this were winter, and the storm mostly snow, there would have been much wailing and gnashing of teeth over here in the CPA forum...lol 10600569_883095331710279_6599361851580224689_n.jpg What an awful graphic. If it had been winter no one would have seen 2-3" of precip and the distribution would likely have been much smoother...those high amounts in NJ in particular were from convective elements we wouldn't have seen in December-February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted October 24, 2014 Share Posted October 24, 2014 What an awful graphic. If it had been winter no one would have seen 2-3" of precip and the distribution would likely have been much smoother...those high amounts in NJ in particular were from convective elements we wouldn't have seen in December-February. My thoughts exactly - coastal waters would be much colder dec-feb and PWAT levels would likely be lower. Some banding with higher rates would be possible but the strong onshore flow from the cooler but not frozen ocean water when those bands produced the 2+" rainfall would have kept the sites near coast in NJ and north likely too warm to be good accumulating snow. Say a good band of snow did develop with rates similar to what we see with good lake effect, the ratios would really throw off this estimate as well. Too many other factors would have needed to come in play for this to even be worth generating and posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 24, 2014 Author Share Posted October 24, 2014 Pitiful graphic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted October 24, 2014 Share Posted October 24, 2014 I don't know which office put this out as I saw it posted on Facebook, but if this were winter, and the storm mostly snow, there would have been much wailing and gnashing of teeth over here in the CPA forum...lol 10600569_883095331710279_6599361851580224689_n.jpg lot of "Ifs"....................And if is a big word........if my Aunt had Balls she'd be my uncle! I think even i could make a better graphic then that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted October 24, 2014 Share Posted October 24, 2014 Our York/Lancaster boys would've been happy!! Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted October 24, 2014 Share Posted October 24, 2014 Looking like mid-upper 70s Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted October 24, 2014 Share Posted October 24, 2014 Looking like mid-upper 70s Tuesday? Yeah if we can manage decent sun with the forecast 850 temps and SW winds, I think 75° is doable at UNV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted October 24, 2014 Share Posted October 24, 2014 30% of the Euro Ensembles give measurable snow to CPA in the Day 8-9 range associated with a potential storm system. Take it FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Well, according to TWC, Penn State students will be blowing away Tuesday. Nice knowing you all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Over half the Euro Ensemble members now have measurable snow for State College Day 8. This should be watched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Over half the Euro Ensemble members now have measurable snow for State College Day 8. This should be watched. Seems like at least some flurries are likely for the higher elevations to the north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 It seems like it's too early to be preparing to collect Tolleris' things after he strokes out on FB... But I'm offering my services if any of you aren't blocked from lashing out at S&S. You just send me a message when they start their crap. Hai. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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