Wmsptwx Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Impressive MCS...also good this should limit discrete development also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 nice to have some regular posters in the path of this thing for first hand reports Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midwest buildit Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 so we are currently in morrisson ill deciding wich way to go. and hello im new to the forums, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Both the NMMB and ARW show dual MCS potential, which you many times see on days like this. (Ala 8/23/07, 8/4/08, 6/18/10, etc) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Getting juicy here with nearly full sun. Up to 82/71. Mid and even some upper 70 dews just to the south are poised to blast north as surface flow picks up this afternoon. Looking like a high wind event for much of the QCA. I thought about heading to Iowa earlier, but the early evolution into a complex looks to have won out. As others have pointed out we could see some sups fire along that retreating boundary that will lift back north later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 looks like all systems go for at least a couple hours of near full sun during peak heating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Was about to post that Alek. Already getting some filtered sun out here in dupage co. Full sun looks good for 2-4hrs. 3hrs I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Gil Sebenste http://weather.admin.niu.edu/forecast.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Springfield IL already reporting 85 with a dewpoint of 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Both the NMMB and ARW show dual MCS potential, which you many times see on days like this. (Ala 8/23/07, 8/4/08, 6/18/10, etc) Yeah the band of tstorms sticking out behind the main line looks somewhat similar to what happened on 6/18/10. On that day the trailing band of storms separated and evolved into another MCS as you know. Today: 6/18/10: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Currently 78f with dews at 70° Think we'll touch 88f with dews low to mid 70s with the incoming full sun exposure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Gil Sebenste http://weather.admin.niu.edu/forecast.txt " Wind profilesindicate a nearly unidirectional wind profile," Whaaaaaat? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 nearly full sun already downtown, really like seeing some of the mid-upper 70 dews upstream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 you stayed in NWI? Yeah. I don't fancy chasing derechos when they're coming to me, and I think that's what we'll be dealing with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 nearly full sun already downtown, really like seeing some of the mid-upper 70 dews upstream no kidding I think the models will win out with the mid to upper 70s dewpoints easily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Just a quick question, are those chasing going after supercell/tornado development, or just lining up for the MCS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CHI_Weather Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 So is this becoming more of a heavy wind threat? 80mph+ winds; derecho? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 The latest mesoanalysis update already shows significantly improved thermodynamics across the threat area, and the full sunshine is only just beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Just a quick question, are those chasing going after supercell/tornado development, or just lining up for the MCS?I'm focusing on south-central and southeast Iowa for at least a few rogue supercells. I don't think I'd want to intercept a derecho, especially at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 That storm north of Des Moines looks to be morphing into an HP supercell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Dews at 71° and rising here in dupage county with spots blue sky clearing not far looking west. 87f 75° looks reasonable by 3pm IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 I'm focusing on south-central and southeast Iowa for at least a few rogue supercells. I don't think I'd want to intercept a derecho, especially at night. Quincy, do you think that a few could fire along the boundary? It looks ripe if they could just get a few to pop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Strong inflow developing on that HP cell west of Des Moines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 That storm north of Des Moines looks to be morphing into an HP supercell. that was a killer merger...the whole complex looks to be taking a nice step up in overall organization Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 " Wind profilesindicate a nearly unidirectional wind profile," Whaaaaaat? lol Yeah I'm not sure what he meant. There's not a ton of turning above the lowest 2 km or so but it's pretty decent overall, especially in areas that have that SE flow at the sfc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Houston, we have a problem west of Des Moines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 that was a killer merger...the whole complex looks to be taking a nice step up in overall organization Yeah Roland and McCallsburg look to be directly in the path if this HP supercell drops anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Sun breaking out now in Racine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbotc Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 Houston, we have a problem west of Des Moines. T Warned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 30, 2014 Share Posted June 30, 2014 The storm near Casey, Iowa started spinning! They issued a tornado warning. Looks like this rotation is very near I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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