Weathergun Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 12z Euro lows for tonight are 31 for EWR, NYC, and LGA. Freeze warning is for NYC, LI, and Coastal CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 The NAM now has a burst of heavy snow tonight NW of the city. Temps are below freezing west of I-95 by 03z with >0.50" QPF still to fall. Doesn't clear us out till after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Freeze Warning now in NYC proper. I think there's a realistic shot that Central Park will hit freezing or perhaps go just below it. That would be the first April freeze in NYC since April 9, 2007 when the temperature fell to 32°. Even more impressive, it would be the first 32° reading after April 15 since April 17, 1982 when the temperature fell to 32°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 the euro has no snow whatsoever for the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGNJC005-007-021-PAC017-045-091-101-152030-/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0007.140415T1956Z-140415T2030Z/BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDSEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ356 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY... SOUTHWESTERN MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY... SOUTHEASTERN BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... PHILADELPHIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... NORTHEASTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...* UNTIL 430 PM EDT* AT 346 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THE STORM WAS NEAR YEADON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... PHILADELPHIA AROUND 400 PM EDT... WISSINOMING AND TACONY AROUND 405 PM EDT... NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA AND ANDALUSIA AROUND 410 PM EDT... BENSALEM AND FEASTERVILLE AROUND 415 PM EDT... LANGHORN AND BRISTOL AROUND 420 PM EDT... LEVITTOWN AND WOODSIDE AROUND 425 PM EDT...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM MAY CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO LIGHTNING. DO NOTWAIT TO HEAR THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELYINSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 the euro has no snow whatsoever for the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 The front has crossed KFWN and KMGJ. It's just west of the metro corridor. Then the rapid temp drop begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 ecmwf_tsnow_neng_9.pngweatherbell snowmaps are BS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 weatherbell snowmaps are BS My StormVista snow maps show a few inches as well for the Euro. (NW of NYC) The 18z 4k NAM paints an advisory level snowfall in the higher terrain just NW of I-287 tonight. I think the Euro has not been handling things well today at all. It appears to be way too progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 there's a warm layer aloft on bufkit. no good met uses snowmaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 there's a warm layer aloft on bufkit. no good met uses snowmaps In NYC proper yes, we're going to snow out here tonight in the far NW burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 So dark here in Ramsey that the lights in the parking lot have now come on. Awaiting the main line here any moment now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 In NYC proper yes, we're going to snow out here tonight in the far NW burbs.pompton plains is ~25 miles NW of manhattan. that's not "far NW." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 pompton plains is ~25 miles NW of manhattan. that's not "far NW." I was going for 30 miles or so. I live in the Valley, far NW begins in Riverdale at the intersection of 287 and Rt 23 about 2 miles to my north. IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 A few 15z SREF members have rain for part of this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 RAP has some snow too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Nam has 2-4 for nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Nam has 2-4 for nyc awesomeeeeeeeeee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Nam has 2-4 for nyc I am the biggest weenie, but we would be lucky if 1/2" accumulated, its Mid-April... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 LGA may get their 2nd latest 32 degree reading ever, the latest was on 4/17/80, may get to 32 tomorrow AM, the record is 35 from 1980...if JFK makes 32 it will be their latest ever 32, the previous latest was 4/14/50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Nam has 2-4 for nyc The 18z NAM Bufkit shows this too. But I don't believe it. There are warm layers aloft that could cause some sleet to mix in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 The RGEM shows a mixture of either RAPL or RASN from 03-06Z then maybe some light snow 06-08Z or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 SREF mean is skewed, median is a better gauge right now. Mean has an inch but the median is less because a few members are amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Downtown Albany went from 66F at 1pm to 37F currently. The hills west of town are already at freezing. The metro should see a similar drop between now and about 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 I don't think any of us will see accumulations, but we will all see snow/sleet falling for at least a couple hours, probably between 10pm and 1am or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Nice cool air is finally draining in, you could easily notice the change just from leaving your windows open since this morning. I hope it drops into the upper 20s here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Went from 54 at 4:30 to 48 now at 5:45 here near KSWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 I don't think any of us will see accumulations, but we will all see snow/sleet falling for at least a couple hours, probably between 10pm and 1am or so. Already 41/39 here.. I think anyone above 500' has a decent shot of at least a coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 56 to 51 here in 20 min....It would be nice if the HRRR ran... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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