EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Ya this is almost GGEMish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Nice hit through Southern and Central PA cutoff pretty much in the Northern areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Just got smoked. MD line gets the ripping this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 DC weenies are rejoicing right now! Especially BWI north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 So now suppression/cutoff is a worry again. Joy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Yay 3" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I guess it might just be southern PA's year. UNV-IPT may just have to settle for the northern fringe yet again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 12z GFS is a crush job from I-80 south! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I guess it might just be southern PA's year. UNV-IPT may just have to settle for the northern fringe yet again... Like I said, suppression was my worry from the start. Never bet against a long-term trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 At this point there is really no consensuses as to the amounts, other than it will be a lot.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I guess it might just be southern PA's year. UNV-IPT may just have to settle for the northern fringe yet again... Yea, what are ya gonna do. Thought this was finally the regionwide thump, but GFS caves well south. You guys look ok verbatim but are a slight shift south away from fringed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I guess it might just be southern PA's year. UNV-IPT may just have to settle for the northern fringe yet again... Like I said, suppression was my worry from the start. Never bet against a long-term trend. The 26.7 we got in February was a nightmare for State College snowlovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GFS looks a little too far south on this run. Expect these small north/south fluctuations as we get closer to the event. Using GS4 Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 about like our Feb. 13th storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 The 26.7 we got in February was a nightmare for State College snowlovers. Seriously this one's all gravy as far as I'm concerned. If you're worried to the point of complaining about sleet at 6z and getting fringed at 12z maybe it's time to take a little step back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 12z GFS is a crush job from I-80 south! I'd drop that to US 22 and south. We get .45 qpf from Sunday afternoon on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Seriously this one's all gravy as far as I'm concerned. If you're worried about sleet at 6z and getting fringed at 12z maybe it's time to take a little step back! Yeah, definitely. If the Euro is south then time to be concerned. The good thing on our side is the slight north corrections that seem to happen on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 After the storm the GFS has JST at -26. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 The 26.7 we got in February was a nightmare for State College snowlovers. I knew that would come across the wrong way. This has been a great winter! The only thing we're missing is a truly great, truly heavy storm. I know we're not climatologically favored to get 12"+ storms here, but it does happen. And it's happened several times to our south and east this season. Was just hoping maybe we'd finally get that up here to cap off an already awesome season. Still, it can't be ruled out that the GFS is too far south. Perhaps the Euro will hold steady at 12z and be right in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Let's see what OH CANADA has to say now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I'd drop that to US 22 and south. We get .45 qpf from Sunday afternoon on. Yeah. I-80 is a bit of a stretch. US22 to I-81 to I-78 and south are golden on this run. Literally, if you use the IWM graphics...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 After the storm the GFS has JST at -26. lol LOL its temp scale has been really terrible this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I knew that would come across the wrong way. This has been a great winter! The only thing we're missing is a truly great, truly heavy storm. I know we're not climatologically favored to get 12"+ storms here, but it does happen. And it's happened several times to our south and east this season. Was just hoping maybe we'd finally get that up here to cap off an already awesome season. Still, it can't be ruled out that the GFS is too far south. Perhaps the Euro will hold steady at 12z and be right in the end. Yeah...I want it because we are currently at 14th for snowiest winters and I want to move into the top 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I knew that would come across the wrong way. This has been a great winter! The only thing we're missing is a truly great, truly heavy storm. I know we're not climatologically favored to get 12"+ storms here, but it does happen. And it's happened several times to our south and east this season. Was just hoping maybe we'd finally get that up here to cap off an already awesome season. Still, it can't be ruled out that the GFS is too far south. Perhaps the Euro will hold steady at 12z and be right in the end. I know what you meant, a feel good storm where the cut off is just north and south of our area. Unfortunately it looks like we will be playing the northern fringe part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Comedy has returned to our subforum... What makes some of you up north so sure the GFS is correct? We are 3 days out! Models have and will continue to shift around over the coming days. The 6z GFS took away about a foot of snow for me from the 0z run. I didn't come in here and declare any one area a winner or a loser...why? Because it's foolish at this point. Good grief... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 LOL its temp scale has been really terrible this season. Euro was pretty cold too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Comedy has returned to our subforum... What makes some of you up north so sure the GFS is correct? We are 3 days out! Models have and will continue to shift around over the coming days. The 6z GFS took away about a foot of snow for me from the 0z run. I didn't come in here and declare any one area a winner or a loser...why? Because it's foolish at this point. Good grief... The main point is that this is the exact scenario I and others were sort of expecting all along. That is, that the end result would tend towards the southern models (UKMET/Canadian) and away from the northern ones (GFS/Euro). I've been fairly consistent with this--note my posts before the 12z GFS about the UKMET/Canadian being good models, and that they shouldn't be discounted. That all being said, I would expect the GFS to remain south for the next several runs and even drift further south, before inching back north a touch. So my best guess is that where the 12z GFS shows the storm now is pretty much right where it'll end up being. Which isn't bad, I'll definitely take the ~6" of snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Good post Mallow. Although I'd hope we get more than 2.5 inches lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Good post Mallow. Although I'd hope we get more than 2.5 inches lol. Agreed!! That damn Accuwx 12-18" map this morning had me a little excited... coming back down to Earth now Still feel like the mets we have posting here are better than anyone who works at Accu... their entire website basically just uses the latest GFS as a forecast, every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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