2001kx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Nice little event for our area. HPC 4" probs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Time for a new thread ahead of tonight's snow event. Looking good for 3-5" for true central PA, less south and east. It was -2° when I left for work this morning...probably dropped another degree or two since then. Last subzero reading of the year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 i had 24f at 12am then dropped all the way to 4f as winds slackened and skies cleared. also picked up 0.2" of snow overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I reached a low of 5.6* Reading a good bit that for most of the northern 2/3rds of PA get a thumping tonight...sounds like a lot of you might experience some very heavy rates for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 True central fellas, noticed the nam is trying to fire the secondary sooner stealing some of your precip. Something to watch, but it is the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 True central fellas, noticed the nam is trying to fire the secondary sooner stealing some of your precip. Something to watch, but it is the nam. Yes,from I-81 east it looks like it's getting wetter, qpf-wise. NAM is .4 to .5 here and east. Sorry, I know this is a winter board, and sometimes I troll, but I really don't want this one. I wish the best qpf was back in true central for you guys who DO want snow. I'd gladly sit on the sidelines for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 True central fellas, noticed the nam is trying to fire the secondary sooner stealing some of your precip. Something to watch, but it is the nam. UNV qpf in the last five runs of the NAM: 2/16 12Z: .24 2/16 18Z: .21 2/17 0Z: .27 2/17 6Z: .24 2/17 12Z: .25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Should have said "it would have been slightly better" if it hadn't transferred some precip. NAM has been consistant on a 2 to 3 inch event for a lot of true central PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 UNV qpf in the last five runs of the NAM: 2/16 12Z: .24 2/16 18Z: .21 2/17 0Z: .27 2/17 6Z: .24 2/17 12Z: .25 Yeah, I wouldn't be concerned about a lack of moisture; there's good transport from the Gulf up towards PA along isentropic surfaces. As a result, PWAT values get close to 0.5 inches. The forcing will be OK but fairly transient. We get into a weakening frontogenetic circulation Tuesday morning in the left exit region of the subtropical jet as it moves over the mid-atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Heavywx, would you agree 2 to 3 looks good for IPT, UNV and environs? FIG I think 3 to 5 looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Yes,from I-81 east it looks like it's getting wetter, qpf-wise. NAM is .4 to .5 here and east. Sorry, I know this is a winter board, and sometimes I troll, but I really don't want this one. I wish the best qpf was back in true central for you guys who DO want snow. I'd gladly sit on the sidelines for this one. Plenty of room on the bench for you......many of us arent done yet....sorry your job sucks in the snow...but it affects all of us in one way or another....still want more. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Heavywx, would you agree 2 to 3 looks good for IPT, UNV and environs? FIG I think 3 to 5 looks good. Yeah, that sounds reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Heavywx, would you agree 2 to 3 looks good for IPT, UNV and environs? FIG I think 3 to 5 looks good. Yeah, that sounds reasonable. Yeah, I'd take the 3-5 to MAG and I (I-99 corridor) and I think 2-3's good for UNV. Really, at this point if UNV manages to eek out 4 would anyone notice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Yeah, I'd take the 3-5 to MAG and I (I-99 corridor) and I think 2-3's good for UNV. Really, at this point if UNV manages to eek out 4 would anyone notice? I just cleaned off my car yesterday, so yeah, I'd notice! Also, if I'm not mistaken, ratios could be decent with this (12:1?), so 0.25-0.3 qpf could equate to 3-4 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I just cleaned off my car yesterday, so yeah, I'd notice! Also, if I'm not mistaken, ratios could be decent with this (12:1?), so 0.25-0.3 qpf could equate to 3-4 inches. Do you think Pittsburgh could receive 6 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Do you think Pittsburgh could receive 6 inches? I think it's unlikely. Not impossible, but definitely unlikely. More like 3-5 inches, I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I just cleaned off my car yesterday, so yeah, I'd notice! Also, if I'm not mistaken, ratios could be decent with this (12:1?), so 0.25-0.3 qpf could equate to 3-4 inches. Depending on how long we are in the main band. Otherwise, ratios will probably be around climo. My car is still buried under 10-12" of snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Depending on how long we are in the main band. Otherwise, ratios will probably be around climo. My car is still buried under 10-12" of snow... Fair enough. And yeah, un-burying my car was definitely a process. Took about 20 minutes. The front was buried up to the hood in a drift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Do any of you guys know what euro is showing for central pa? Whatever it is would prbly be close to my forecast lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 UNV qpf in the last five runs of the NAM: 2/16 12Z: .24 2/16 18Z: .21 2/17 0Z: .27 2/17 6Z: .24 2/17 12Z: .25 Jamie you're becoming quite the forum mythbuster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Do you think Pittsburgh could receive 6 inches? seems to me like it will be here and gone too quickly for that much of an accumulation... but a solid 3-4 hours of decent rates there tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I am having a serious albedo effect on my outdoor temperature sensor... it is not in direct sunlight but the sun reflecting off of the snow has it currently reading 47 degrees... it feels warm out but not nearly that warm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexP Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Winter Weather Advisories up now for LSV. Advisory is for 2-5 inches overnight into tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Jamie you're becoming quite the forum mythbuster It is a little different of a setup on the last NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Looks like we get all of our precip. in a matter of 3 to 4 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I am having a serious albedo effect on my outdoor temperature sensor... it is not in direct sunlight but the sun reflecting off of the snow has it currently reading 47 degrees... it feels warm out but not nearly that warm lol I'm having the same issue with mine during the afternoon. Reflects off a large snow pile a few feet away. Had a reading of 42° the other day while icicles were actively forming. CTP updated the snowfall map...pushes the 4-6" area farther into Centre County. 6hr snowfall maps total 5.8" for State College. I think 4-5" might be a good average across the county. Hopefully a solid event to really push some of the general public over the edge WRT snow and cold this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Another map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Saturdays storm had neighbors helping out. One guy had the biggest snow thrower I have ever seen. He was going through the plow piles and tossing that over the side of the road. Another one had a quad and widened our road. The biggest problem is the snow days the schools have had. The school districts are hoping for state relief for the 180days required. The last time this happened was about 10years ago. Clear cold day, near 20 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I'm having the same issue with mine during the afternoon. Reflects off a large snow pile a few feet away. Had a reading of 42° the other day while icicles were actively forming. CTP updated the snowfall map...pushes the 4-6" area farther into Centre County. 6hr snowfall maps total 5.8" for State College. I think 4-5" might be a good average across the county. Hopefully a solid event to really push some of the general public over the edge WRT snow and cold this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I'm having the same issue with mine during the afternoon. Reflects off a large snow pile a few feet away. Had a reading of 42° the other day while icicles were actively forming. CTP updated the snowfall map...pushes the 4-6" area farther into Centre County. 6hr snowfall maps total 5.8" for State College. I think 4-5" might be a good average across the county. Hopefully a solid event to really push some of the general public over the edge WRT snow and cold this winter. Two particular meteorologists at AccuWx not exactly known for either hype nor love of cold/snow are pretty bullish this morning about a snowstorm next week, Paul Pastelok and Joe Lundberg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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