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Jan 21-22 Coastal Crusher Discussion/Model Thread


earthlight

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So incredibly jealous it's not even funny. Enjoy this guys.

If your going to take something away from the runs so far tonight, it's that there will be a large area of precip with an embedded death band that will wobble and tilt. This will ultimately crush many folks with 10-14" and leave other with maybe half that.

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The GFS almost weakens the banding over the area. The area of heavier QPF doesn't appear to shift much NE, it just shrinks. Not sure what to make of that.

 

I wouldn't get so caught up in the QPF. The bottom line is that the gfs is a great hit around this area, perhaps higher ratios are showing less reflectivity.

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So incredibly jealous it's not even funny. Enjoy this guys. If your going to take something away from the runs so far tonight, it's that there will be a large area of precip with an embedded death band that will wobble and tilt. This will ultimately crush many folks with 10-14" and leave other with maybe half that. gfsNE_700_vvel_021.gifUsing GS4 Tapatalk

Feeling very confident now that coastal areas have a good shot getting thundersnow. Not a weenie statement to figure that out, the banding is going to be insane on LI. 12"+ LI here we come!

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