Hoosier Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 00z RGEM meteogram for IND Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Snowfall rates picking up now. Getting close to a solid SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 00z RGEM meteogram for IND Big fight at 21z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 DVN radar loaded too (minus the last frame that shows a completely blank radar) ... looks like the LE streamers that just kept pouring in the other morning....but obviously from the other direction and obviously not LE .... you know what I mean lol lol, I got it. Took me a sec, but I got it! We'll call it the DVN streamer/seeder/feeder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 The column must be fully saturated again here. Ripping pretty good again. Snow had been pretty light here, even with some decent radar returns overhead. Starting to accumulate nicely again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Fine grain snow coming down in my area. Cars and driveways/sidewalks starting to cover up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 lol, I got it. Took me a sec, but I got it! We'll call it the DVN streamer/seeder/feeder. I think Alek mentioned it earlier....but the snow is sticking to everything....every little branch and twig....nada for winds and the lower ratio really making for some scenic pics this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Snowfall rates picking up now. Getting close to a solid -SN. fyp? Fine grain snow coming down in my area. Cars and driveways/sidewalks starting to cover up. Yeah, I'm more in Snowstorms' camp. Lightest of the accumulating snows falling here. Faint dusting on the deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 LOT's thoughts: .DISCUSSION...942 PM CSTTHE ONLY CHANGES TO HEADLINES THIS EVENING WAS TO EXTEND THEWINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FAR NORTHERN ILLINOIS UNTIL NOONSUNDAY. STRONGLY CONSIDERED A BLIZZARD WARNING FOR PARTS OF EASTCENTRAL IL INTO NORTHWEST IN FOR LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVE...BUTGIVEN DIFFERENCES IN TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF POTENTIAL BLIZZARDCONDITIONS IN GUIDANCE AND MAYBE A SLIGHT TREND TO DELAY THEARCTIC FRONT...HAVE OPTED TO ALLOW THE OVERNIGHT SHIFT ANOTHERLOOK. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS THUS FAR HAVE BEEN GENEARLLY ONTRACK...EVEN THOUGH INTENSE BANDING HAS NOT BEEN CONSISTENTLYSEEN THUS FAR. THE GOING FORECAST DOES ANTICIPATE SOME OF THATHEAVIER SNOW DEVELOPING IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS TO MEET THESTORM TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...AND WE DO EXPECT THAT TO OCCUR. SONO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO MAXIMUM SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.IN THE NEAR TERM...STEADY SNOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA IN A VERYPERSISTENT SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST CORRIDOR COLLOCATED WITH THEMID-LEVEL STATIONARY FRONT. WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 2-3INCHES HAVE BEEN RECEIVED UNDER THIS...WITH A MAX OF 4.6 INCHES INCRYSTAL LAKE. SEEING A BLOSSOMING OF REFLECTIVITY ACROSS WESTERNIL AS A SATELLITE AND UPPER AIR EVIDENT SPEED MAX MOVES ALONG THEELEVATED BOUNDARY. SHORT TERM GUIDANCE AND ENSEMBLES ARE ALL INGOOD AGREEMENT WITH SHOWING BANDED POTENTIAL THROUGH THE 3 AM TIMEPERIOD...AND OBSERVED DVN SOUNDING AND MODEL CROSS SECTIONSINDICATE SOME POCKETS OF EITHER ELEVATED STEEPER LAPSE RATES ORWEAKLY NEGATIVE EPV. MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALSO SUPPORT SLIGHTGRADUAL COOLING ALOFT TO HELP IMPROVE SNOW RATIOS SOME...WHICHHAVE BEEN AVERAGE THUS FAR IN THE 10:1 TO 13:1 RANGE. THE THERMALPROFILES WHICH REMAIN NEAR THE HALF INCH PWAT OBSERVED THIS EVE ATDVN AND ILX SUPPORT LARGE AGGREGATE FLAKE GROWTH...AND THEPRESENT LIGHT LOW-LEVEL WINDS ALONG THE SLOW-MOVING SURFACEBOUNDARY SHOULD ALSO HELP FOR RATES TO BUMP UP JUST A BIT UNDERANY HEAVIER AXES OF SNOW. HAVE TIGHTENED THE GRADIENT OF FORECASTSNOWFALL AMOUNTS ON BOTH SIDES FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT...WITHVERY LITTLE EXPECTED IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST PRIOR TO DAYBREAK.GOING INTO SUNDAY...THERE MAY BE A LULL AROUND DAYBREAK INTO EARLYMORNING BETWEEN THE PRESENT TIMING OF THE MID-LEVEL FORCING ANDTHE PRIMARY LOW DEVELOPMENT. SO SNOW MAY BE SOMEWHAT LIGHT...BUTSHOULD BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING AND INTO THEAFTERNOON DUE TO THE FACTORS MENTIONED IN PREV AFD. HOW FAR NORTHAND WEST THE PRECIP SHIELD WILL SPREAD IS SOMEWHAT DISAGREEDUPON...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE AREAS OF FAR NORTHERN ILGO BACK UNDER THE SNOWFALL /SUCH AS MCHENRY COUNTY TOWARDROCKFORD/. SO HAVE EXTENDED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE TIMEBEING. THERE HAS BEEN A SLIGHT TREND TO SLOW BOTH THE MOSTAPPRECIABLE SNOW TIMING ON SUNDAY AND THE ARCTIC FRONT TIMING TOOAND THAT IS THE MAIN REASON TO HOLD OFF FOR ANY UPGRADE OF A SMALLAREA TO A BLIZZARD WARNING. STILL VERY POTENT WINDS ARRIVE BYEARLY EVE OVER THE SOUTHEAST FORECAST AREA...AND WHILE NOTCOLLOCATED WITH THE STRONGEST SNOWFALL /OR POSSIBLY EVEN ANYSNOWFALL BY SUN EVE/...THE STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION SHOULD CREATEWIDESPREAD BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 fyp? Yeah, I'm more in Snowstorms' camp. Lightest of the accumulating snows falling here. Faint dusting on the deck. Nope, bordering on moderate snow here. Not quite there yet but rates ramping up compared to 1/2 hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 update from LOT says snowfall rates and ratios will increase shortly and into the overnight hours. Should reach forecasted snowfall amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan45 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Thinking this may be a mix no matter what for Burlington/Hamilton. Ah well..can't win them all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 15.5" is my final call for my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maumee Bay Turf Center Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 How does the 00z gfs look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Still liking my call of 7.2" in Detroit for now. Will revise it tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Nope, bordering on moderate snow here. Not quite there yet but rates ramping up compared to 1/2 hour ago. That's odd. Hope it spreads here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Returns ramping up over the east/central GTA. Congrats to the HRRR for nailing this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 How does the 00z gfs look? Farther northwest than its 12z run, but...verbatim, it's probably close to a shellacking for Toledo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 9.7" for mby @ MDW. 6.2" for Bloomington where I am currently stuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Farther northwest than its 12z run, but...verbatim, it's probably close to a shellacking for Toledo. Im a bit worried where I sit, Im well north of Indy but geez were cutting it close on some models. Luckily, not all of the models are as warm. Im guessing 8+ for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Farther northwest than its 12z run, but...verbatim, it's probably close to a shellacking for Toledo. Instantwxmaps show RA/SN line about 75 miles SE of TOL with about 8-12" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maumee Bay Turf Center Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Farther northwest than its 12z run, but...verbatim, it's probably close to a shellacking for Toledo. Thanks. Best of luck to you guys over in chi town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Im a bit worried where I sit, Im well north of Indy but geez were cutting it close on some models. Luckily, not all of the models are as warm. Im guessing 8+ for my area. Yeah, closer to Indy is the battle zone. Gonna be tight it seems. Hopefully heavy rates will make marginal profiles moot. At least 8" for you sounds good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 My call for a max band of 4-8" is going to bust spectacularly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Instantwxmaps show RA/SN line about 75 miles SE of TOL with about 8-12" of snow. this sounding is close to Toledo, at 00z tomorrow. This would drive me nuts if I were there. It probably would be snow, but it will turn out to be lower snow ratios since it is so close to freezing for 4000ft of atmosphere. Obviously it's very close to being rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 15.5" is my final call for my backyard. I'm thinking that total is very possible here too... This band tonight is overachieving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 EDIT: Boy that color scale is smooshed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Snowfall rates picking up now. Getting close to a solid SN. Whereabouts in the city are you exactly? Near the 401? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Im a bit worried where I sit, Im well north of Indy but geez were cutting it close on some models. Luckily, not all of the models are as warm. Im guessing 8+ for my area. Yeah, closer to Indy is the battle zone. Gonna be tight it seems. Hopefully heavy rates will make marginal profiles moot. At least 8" for you sounds good to me. This feels like last years "blizzard" lots of hype for little output. I may break down and begin crying if it rains here tomorrow. We will see how it goes. Drove by the county highway barn today and they have the big V plows out. Surely even with 6" we can see two to four feet drifts in this wind. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 My call for a max band of 4-8" is going to bust spectacularly. What is a max band? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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