Stebo Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Would love to see the 3hr plots http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Hour by hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Looks like this is going to be a great storm for the LAF crew. I expect pictures tommorow from you guys lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 SREF mean for YYZ is about 6.6". That's up about 2" from the 9z run. Huge spread though. From basically nothing to 13". One of the toughest forecasts for us in a long time. Might just ride my initial 5.1" call from yesterday morning to the grave with this storm. Low chance of verifying but this system has been too much of a PITA for me haha.Just going to watch and learn on this one and see what pans out in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I had completely written off the the fgen band making it into Toronto. However, radar upstream continues to show it oozing S and E and the NAM and RGEM at 0z have accounted for these trends. Wouldn't be surprised if there's accumulation, especially north of the 401 by morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Hour by hour. Yeah I figured Meteocentre would update quicker but apparently I'm wrong lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 1984 style Atari graphics and only 12 hr increments, but Indy looks to be all snow at 12z Sun and 0z Mon on the 0z RGEM. I guess there could be something bad in between... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 1984 style Atari graphics and only 12 hr increments, but Indy looks to be all snow at 12z Sun and 0z Mon on the 0z RGEM. I guess there could be something bad in between... At least it's got a snazzy new name. It's now the RDPS dont ya know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Have had solid SN here for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I had completely written off the the fgen band making it into Toronto. However, radar upstream continues to show it oozing S and E and the NAM and RGEM at 0z have accounted for these trends. Wouldn't be surprised if there's accumulation, especially north of the 401 by morning. The 00z RGEM precip chart is much better for our area tomorrow evening. All snow with freezing rain along the north shore of Lake Erie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 At least it's got a snazzy new name. It's now the RDPS dont ya know. I noticed that. And of course the GDPS too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan45 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I had completely written off the the fgen band making it into Toronto. However, radar upstream continues to show it oozing S and E and the NAM and RGEM at 0z have accounted for these trends. Wouldn't be surprised if there's accumulation, especially north of the 401 by morning. Possibly wonder if the system itself could pan out this way? Never know..trying to be optimistic and give us some light here. Haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I had completely written off the the fgen band making it into Toronto. However, radar upstream continues to show it oozing S and E and the NAM and RGEM at 0z have accounted for these trends. Wouldn't be surprised if there's accumulation, especially north of the 401 by morning. I just saw that on the latest RGEM. Wouldn't be surprised if this affected my area of Toronto tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Really only had about a half hour of dry time here before these bands reformed on the northwest edge. Hasn't really added up to much though. Still better than being in that dry, high visibility air we briefly got into. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Looks IND is all snow on the good 0z RDPS p-type maps....or damn close to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 0z RGEM is a bit better for the GTA. Starts off as snow then transitions over to some freezing rain, however areas north of 401 remain as snow, and then rain to end it off. Very temperature dependent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 The 00z RGEM precip chart is much better for our area tomorrow evening. All snow with freezing rain along the north shore of Lake Erie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Thunder-snow and 2-3" hourly rates in the scenario for much of IN, MI, nw OH and sw ON. This may extend into parts of IL ... a wild ride ahead as this storm may not yet be fully captured on models. Track seems to be nailed down to about s IN to nw OH to just west of Toronto. Lake effect merges with tail end of blizzard for IN, MI and ON. Some predicted amounts: ORD 8 more IN 13-25 inches, heaviest around SBN MI 15-30 inches, heaviest around GRR, massive lake effect nw OH 6-12 inches ON about 5 inches in Toronto, trending to 20-30 in Lake Huron and s Ggn Bay, also south Niagara snow belts (wNY 15-30 in mostly LE) The real story for locations east of the track will be flash freeze and occasional SW+ left over from lake effect bands, for Toronto would expect 2-4 inches before brief rain or ice pellet stage Sunday evening then more snow from post-frontal bands. Lake effect will be prodigious given the winds and temperature contrasts. And, this could even get more intense than RGEM or NAM are now showing, as the jet stream is roaring out of the south with these almost unprecedented low thicknesses nearby. LAF could easily see 15" the way this is shaping up. Enjoy (almost nobody else will, talk about social outcasts). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Possibly wonder if the system itself could pan out this way? Never know..trying to be optimistic and give us some light here. Haha. Hoosier mentioned earlier that there's not necessarily a cause and effect relationship between the arctic boundary and the southern stream storm. And I agree. If the main storm is explosive enough, the low level WAA that it generates on its eastern flank would easily push the boundary back north as a warm front, even if it made it down to CLE. So we may do better with the f-gen band but still get screwed with the main storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Looks IND is all snow on the good 0z RDPS p-type maps....or damn close to it. Yeah very close. It tries to mix when the heaviest precip rates come in but maybe mixing would be held at bay in that scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Technically that's overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Actually I was referring to the precip type chart at 24 hours (00z Monday). But yeah, it does change to freezing rain and then rain a few hours after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 noticing an uptick in flake size over the last 15 minutes...otherwise, solid pouring continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Technically that's overnight. Actually I was referring to the precip type chart at 24 hours (00z Monday). But yeah, it does change to freezing rain and then rain a few hours after. Technicalities Either way believe in the south trend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Looks IND is all snow on the good 0z RDPS p-type maps....or damn close to it. Yeah, very close but I think it should stay snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 KC radar starting to fill in. Looks like it may try and start snowing in the city in the next half an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 lol That's the only site in the area that constantly does that. Didn't you know that Alek got a new job recently....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan45 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Hoosier mentioned earlier that there's not necessarily a cause and effect relationship between the arctic boundary and the southern stream storm. And I agree. If the main storm is explosive enough, the low level WAA that it generates on its eastern flank would easily push the boundary back north as a warm front, even if it made it down to CLE. So we may do better with the f-gen band but still get screwed with the main storm. Ugh man..how depressing..when is the next RAP model out? Had a promising SE shift on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Technicalities Either way believe in the south trend! One more round please. Just need a little closer to BUF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 people eagerly anticipating the snow in places like Bloomington, IL and Plymouth, IN must be screaming at their screens. Precip knocking on the door all night but won't move in. Yup. I'm stuck in Bloomington this weekend. Was expecting it no later than 5pm. Just started. 920pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 KC radar starting to fill in. Looks like it may try and start snowing in the city in the next half an hour. Looking better on KBUF radar: http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=BUF&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&type=N0R&zoommode=pan&map.x=400&map.y=240¢erx=400¢ery=240&prevzoom=zoom&num=10&delay=15&scale=1&showlabels=1&smooth=1&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.