Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    19,007
    Total Members
    49,013
    Most Online
    loganboehmewx
    Newest Member
    loganboehmewx
    Joined

Winter 2013 - 2014 Banter Thread


NEG NAO

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 4.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

we've seen this "control" run show monster solutions all winter. it's probably going to be wrong. what's the point of talking about it?

 

Every single one of the last three storms it showed at this range happened.  It is just that it did not satisfy your requirements in your particular back yard.  South Jersey is getting hammered tonight.  Northern New England got hammered last week.  Maybe us next time.  Who knows?  Why not discuss the potential?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

we've seen this "control" run show monster solutions all winter. it's probably going to be wrong. what's the point of talking about it?

 

The model shows it.

 

People discuss what the models show.

 

Why bother forecasting at all?  Maybe you are in the wrong line of work?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The model shows it.

 

People discuss what the models show.

 

Why bother forecasting at all?  Maybe you are in the wrong line of work?

In fairness it is the 240hr Euro Control model, which is an inferior version of a 10 day model output.   I guess there is no harm in discussing it, but I can see why a professional would find this a waste of time.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

In fairness it is the 240hr Euro Control model, which is an inferior version of a 10 day model output.   I guess there is no harm in discussing it, but I can see why a professional would find this a waste of time.

 

I haven't looked at it either nor do I really care at this point what it shows, but I'm not getting upset at the simple idea of others talking about it.  We have long range forecasts that are seasons away.  There is no harm if some members want to discuss varying models. 

 

Besides, 10 days out haven't verified much worse than 2 days out! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Seems to me that sifting through pages and pages of eventual nothing has got you even more twisted than usual.

you're half right. it's sifting through pages and pages of discussion by people who don't know what they're talking about

Link to comment
Share on other sites

In fairness it is the 240hr Euro Control model, which is an inferior version of a 10 day model output.   I guess there is no harm in discussing it, but I can see why a professional would find this a waste of time.

 

Even the main Euro run has a foot plus as close as Northern CT with this storm, and only because the main run has it too warm here. The ensembles are colder.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah it's for entertainment but i don't wanna hear some 10 day model gives us 2 feet of snow again, not after all the agony we've suffered over the past month.

Snow boots packed up in attic. Snow blower gas cans emptied into vehicles. Snow parkas placed in summer storage. Flannel lined pants packed away. Rain gear to the front closet. Ready for spring.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Euro Control run has a 988 mb low near Hatteras at 228 hrs, with moderate snow falling here. At 234 hrs it has a 956 mb low about 100 miles off of Atlantic City with heavy snow falling here, at 240 hrs it has a 944 mb low just south of Cape Cod with extremely heavy snow here, at 246 hrs it has a 948 mb low just north of Cape Cod with heavy snow still falling, then it is over. QPF over 2 inches. Ok, then.

I want a BECS to close out the Winter. Who's with me?
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Beyond pi$$ed we are getting shafted to the south twice in MARCH! So ridiculous, this pattern sucks, give me 60s already. It wouldn't feel bad if this was going north and we rained but this is too much, awful awful. You can just look at the radar and figure out the moderate to heavy stuff is going to be south of TTN by several miles actually. 

 

This is why I absolutely hate March, it's the worst month of weather because it's always the most disappointing.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...