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August 2013 Observations And Discussions


bluewave

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Clouds limiting some stronger departures but still running above normal to close August, allowing monthly departures to return closer to normal.

 

EWR:

8/20: 90/64 (+1)

8/21: 91/68 (+5)

8/22: 79/71 (+0)

8/23: 83/69 (+1)

8/24: 80/62  (-4)

8/25: 84/60 (-3)

8/26: 86/67 (+2)

8/27: 90/72 (+7)

8/28: 86/71 (+5)

8/29: 81/71 (+2)

 

LGA:

8/20: 89/70 (+4)

8/21: 90/74 (+6)

8/22: 79/73 (+0)

8/23: 81/71 (+0)

8/24: 79/64 (-3)

8/25: 83/67 (+0)

8/26: 8470 (+2)

8/27: 86/73 (+5)

8/28: 85/73 (+4)

8/29: 80/71 (+2)

 

NYC:

8/20: 88/68 (+3)

8/21: 90/72 (+6)

8/22: 78/71 (+0)

8/23: 82/71 (+2)

8/24: 80/65 (-1)

8/25: 83/64 (+0)

8/26: 84/68 (+2)

8/27: 87/71 (+5)

8/28: 86/71 (+5)

8/29: 80/71 (+3)

 

JFK:

8/20: 85/68 (+2)
8/21: 88/69 (+4)9
8/22: 80/72 (+2)
8/23: 84/69 (+3)
8/24: 79/64  (-2)
8/25: 81/63 (-2)
8/26: 84/68 (+2)
8/27: 88/72 (+6)
8/28: 85/69 (+3)
8/29: 82/70 (+3)

 

 

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Aug monthly departures thru 8/29 (2 days left)

 

NYC: -1.0

LGA: -0.9

JFK: -0.8

EWR: -1.6

 

 

And to the SW,

 

TTN: -2.2

PHL: -2.4

 

-2.5 in my backyard.

 

Those numbers will probably finish around -2 or a little less, solid cool August.

 

The lack of radiational cooling really affected the major Northeast centers this month. Most outside of KBOS and KNYC will finish -1 to -3 range

 

2afd8na.jpg

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And to the SW,

 

TTN: -2.2

PHL: -2.4

 

-2.5 in my backyard.

 

Those numbers will probably finish around -2 or a little less, solid cool August.

 

The lack of radiational cooling really affected the major Northeast centers this month. Most outside of KBOS and KNYC will finish -1 to -3 range

 

2afd8na.jpg

 

Yeah you can see Newark too had some cooler lows which  kept it cooler overall for the month than nyc/lga etc....  Which site are you using for your departure.

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Sacrus - if you were referring to the maps, they come from the site uofmiami linked. Or were you talking about my departure

 

Yeah you can see Newark too had some cooler lows which  kept it cooler overall for the month than nyc/lga etc....  Which site are you using for your departure.

 

 

Tom is most likely using this site:

 

http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/maps/current/

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Sacrus - if you were referring to the maps, they come from the site uofmiami linked. Or were you talking about my departure

 

 

My backyard departure is based off the normal values for sites nearby:

 

http://climate.rutgers.edu/stateclim_v1/norms/monthly/mean.htm

 

 

The normal values for August for Trenton, New Brunswick, Freehold are all around 73.7-.8. I'm at 71.3 for the month so far.

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I'm amazed at the continued discrepancy between the nam and gfs...nam is completely dry through Sunday and the gfs (most likely overdone ) has on and off rain through Tuesday

 

 

looking to head down the jersey shore this weekend...can I get an accurate forecast...all the ones I am hearing are so sketchy with virtually no details except saying a chance of late shower Sat, better chance on Sunday and even better chance on Monday. In this day and age you would think we have a better read on whats going to happen this weekend. I don't like when mets gets vague with their forecasts and they are certainly in vague mode now

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12z GFS is pretty much a washout from Saturday afternoon through Tuesday with around 2" of rain.

12z Euro has scattered stuff tomorrow. Widespread rain for Sunday morning to early afternoon and then a washout for Monday.

Total rain is 1"-2".

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