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July 2013 Observations and Discussions


bluewave

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Seems like the pattern is repeating to some degree from late June to ealry July before the first WAR expansion July 4th. 

Should see things progress 7/21 - 7/27 as warm/humid and wet.  Looks overall above normal.  It'll be interesting to time the next WAR expansion - guidance has been hinting some of the heat out west spills east into the Plains and troughing into the NW may lead to another linkage of the w ridge and WAR should we get the expansion early august.

 

starting monday the 18z gfs shows a string of 70f dewpoint days

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On the hottest day in Central Park history -- July 9, 1936, what were the dew point temperatures that day?

Probably pretty low because that heat was aided by the Dust Bowl and the poor farming practices that largely contributed to that event.

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A really impressive +6 (83.2) at LGA through the 19th of July. 

 

Hottest Julys at LGA

 

83.2.....2013...so far

82.8.....2010

81.9.... 1999

81.3.....1955

80.8.....1993...1966

80.7.....2006

80.6....1994

80.4.... 2012..2011

80.3...1952

80.0...2008

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A really impressive +6 (83.2) at LGA through the 19th of July. 

 

Hottest Julys at LGA

 

83.2.....2013...so far

82.8.....2010

81.9.... 1999

81.3.....1955

80.8.....1993...1966

80.7.....2006

80.6....1994

80.4.... 2012..2011

80.3...1952

80.0...2008

Been keeping records here for 35 years... currently running a mean of 81.9 for the month. Warmest month is 80.5 set in July of 1999... will be interesting to see where we finish up.

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More/bigger breaks in the clouds will allow for some decent heating the next 2 - 3 hours.  Still may get some mid, perhaos upper 90s for many in the area.   Outside chance tomorrow for some of the hotter spots then we have temps closer to normal mon/tue before more humid flow develops by wed - fri. 

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Been keeping records here for 35 years... currently running a mean of 81.9 for the month. Warmest month is 80.5 set in July of 1999... will be interesting to see where we finish up.

 

 

Don how did July 88, 91, 93, 95, 2010, 2011 fare?  What part of SI are you in? 

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Don how did July 88, 91, 93, 95, 2010, 2011 fare?  What part of SI are you in? 

Top five for warmth are 1999, 2010, 2011, 1994 and 1993. The other years you listed with the exception of 1991, were also top ten. Im in Travis which is west shore across the river from new jersey.

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Top five for warmth are 1999, 2010, 2011, 1994 and 1993. The other years you listed with the exception of 1991, were also top ten. Im in Travis which is west shore across the river from new jersey.

 

Thanks, Don.  We were in Annadale for a number of years between Brooklyn and NJ.  We'll see how the last 10 days progress, but we should remain overall above normal by way of humid flow and higher mins more so than maxes.

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The Euro has three waves of low pressure over the next 10 days as the WAR will be too strong

to allow the fronts from the west to clear the coast. The GFS has a similar pattern with a very

moist flow and high dewpoints for the next 10 days. Warm daily mins should be the main

contribution to above normal temps. Any days with enough sun could wind up in the mid

to upper 80's.

 

 

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The Euro has three waves of low pressure over the next 10 days as the WAR will be too strong

to allow the fronts from the west to clear the coast. The GFS has a similar pattern with a very

moist flow and high dewpoints for the next 10 days. Warm daily mins should be the main

contribution to above normal temps. Any days with enough sun could wind up in the mid

to upper 80's.

 

attachicon.gifGeopotential3250032hPa32and32Temperature32at3285032hPa_North32America_120.gif

 

attachicon.gifM7D7.gif

 

At least that's better than what we had in the past 72 hours. :)

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my area had a light shower that wet the ground late last evening...It felt like a steam bath after that...my gut feeling is we see some severe storms later in the day...Where they develop is the question?...

my gut feeling turned out to be gas...I'm getting a shower now and had some lightning before...

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