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Severe Threat June 11-13


Hoosier

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Any idea when LOT will pop the tor watch for Chicago? Getting close to go time.

 

Two possibilities. SPC can issue a new watch entirely that includes Chicago, or LOT may choose to expand the current watch into more of their CWA. Depending on how these lead cells evolve, may not be long for either to happen.

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This boundary has to have about the worst possible placement for metro Chicago with it cutting through the city and then se near the lake in NW IN at the moment.

 

Indeed. From my experience, you never ever want to be near or on a boundary. (unless you are a storm chaser) 

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:popcorn:  :lmao:

 

83 
ACUS11 KWNS 122038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122038 
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-122215-
 
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1043
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0338 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013
 
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NERN IL...SRN LAKE MICHIGAN...SWRN
LOWER MI...NRN IND...NWRN OH
 
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 
 
VALID 122038Z - 122215Z
 
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT
 
SUMMARY...A PDS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED BY 22Z. 
TSTMS DEVELOPING ACROSS NERN IA...SWRN WI AND NWRN IL ARE EXPECTED
TO CONGEAL INTO AN ACCELERATING CONVECTIVE SYSTEM AND MOVE ESE
ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS...SOME IN EXCESS OF 65 KTS...ARE LIKELY ALONG
WITH EMBEDDED MESOVORTEX/QLCS TORNADOES.
 
DISCUSSION...TSTMS DEVELOPING IN THE VICINITY OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
OVER NERN IA/SRN WI/NWRN IL WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH CONVECTION EVOLVING INTO A
FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS AS IT MOVES ESE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
INTO NERN IL...NRN IND AND NWRN OH. FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED
WITH A SHORTWAVE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL FURTHER AID IN
UPSCALE GROWTH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  AS STORMS BEGIN TO COALESCE
AROUND A GROWING COLD POOL AN EASTWARD ACCELERATION IS LIKELY.
DAMAGING WINDS...SOME IN EXCESS OF 65 KTS...WILL BE LIKELY ALONG
WITH EMBEDDED QLCS/MESOVORTEX TORNADOES.
 
..BUNTING/CARBIN.. 06/12/2013
 
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1043

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0338 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

 

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NERN IL...SRN LAKE MICHIGAN...SWRN

LOWER MI...NRN IND...NWRN OH

 

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

 

VALID 122038Z - 122215Z

 

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

 

SUMMARY...A PDS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED BY 22Z

TSTMS DEVELOPING ACROSS NERN IA...SWRN WI AND NWRN IL ARE EXPECTED

TO CONGEAL INTO AN ACCELERATING CONVECTIVE SYSTEM AND MOVE ESE

ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING

HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS...SOME IN EXCESS OF 65 KTS...ARE LIKELY ALONG

WITH EMBEDDED MESOVORTEX/QLCS TORNADOES.
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Think TOR is coming soon for Lee County.

 

Literally the minute after you typed that. 

 

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
343 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  LEE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
  SOUTHEASTERN OGLE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
 
* UNTIL 430 PM CDT
 
* AT 342 PM...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
  WAS LOCATED NEAR WALTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
 
  HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND
           GUSTS.
 
  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
 
  IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
           SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
           OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
           EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1043

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0338 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

 

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NERN IL...SRN LAKE MICHIGAN...SWRN

LOWER MI...NRN IND...NWRN OH

 

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

 

VALID 122038Z - 122215Z

 

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

 

SUMMARY...A PDS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED BY 22Z. 

TSTMS DEVELOPING ACROSS NERN IA...SWRN WI AND NWRN IL ARE EXPECTED

TO CONGEAL INTO AN ACCELERATING CONVECTIVE SYSTEM AND MOVE ESE

ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING

HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS...SOME IN EXCESS OF 65 KTS...ARE LIKELY ALONG

WITH EMBEDDED MESOVORTEX/QLCS TORNADOES.

65 knots sounds like a low ball, really

Sent from my HTCONE using Tapatalk 2

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