canderson Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 hes just like Joe Bastardi... very smart meteorologist... but will forecast for what impacts his clients the best then try to spin things when its obvious hes wrong to make it look like he should still be trusted... days ago he said the models were not going to push precip north of mason dixon line and def no snow for new england... this morning he admitted he was wrong with his first map but hes riding the euroAll he does is ride the Euro and pretend it shows a snowstorm for Richmond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 At this point, I'll be pleasantly surprised if we can manage 2" or more out of this in State College. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Not sure if it's weeniecasting or not (probably is), but quite a few in the mid-atl subforum think this will over perform based upon current radar and hi-res models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Not sure if it's weeniecasting or not (probably is), but quite a few in the mid-atl subforum think this will over perform based upon current radar and hi-res models. There is a nice gap between temperatures and dew points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Just to add to the new or weeinies here please don't put a stick in a drift and say you have 2 feet. At least this one down here will be wet so drifting may not be a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Probably going to see a lot of this tomorrow. Wet roads, but arcing power lines: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Not sure if it's weeniecasting or not (probably is), but quite a few in the mid-atl subforum think this will over perform based upon current radar and hi-res models. Just about everything in the Mid Atlantic, Philly, and NYC threads is weeniecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 lol, NYC. Any subregion that pulls out the NAVGEM is an automatic -5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 lol, NYC. Any subregion that pulls out the NAVGEM is an automatic -5. or the JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 check out the HRRR at hour 15 can someone post looks good for the southern people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Just about everything in the Mid Atlantic and NYC threads is weeniecasting. Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 lol, NYC. Any subregion that pulls out the NAVGEM is an automatic -5. If by -5 you mean fingers then I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 The latest CTP map seems to agree with the weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 check out the HRRR at hour 15 can someone post looks good for the southern people on my phone but it looks real good. Although its getting out of its range at that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 http://mysite.verizon.net/vze1aqbof/sitebuildercontent/sitebuilderpictures/LAST.jpg NAM usually is on the extreme high end with precip numbers... thats why they will not go with exactly what it says Nice anywhere between 2 and 16 inches in Franklin County. That's a hell of a gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 From the mid-atlantic subforum: I'm going 12-24" area wide. The power of Single Barrel. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 check out the HRRR at hour 15 can someone post looks good for the southern people you talking about the 21z run? very pretty at 15z... 1-2"/hr rates for that hour 6-7am... morning rush disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I get it, Im going to cry over the storm tomorrow lol. You guys do realize no run was good up here since last friday. Nothing to complain about imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I know it is fairly late in the game to be looking at models, but NAM really moves the greatest accumulations south across all of PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I get it, Im going to cry over the storm tomorrow lol. You guys do realize no run was good up here since last friday. Nothing to complain about imo. I will drive up there and punch you in the mouf if you cry about not cashing in tomorrow and I'm sure a few other guys wouldn't mind carpooling with me. You've had a pretty good season compared to the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Dude I JUST got done saying this is not my storm and said how it didnt look good since last Friday. Do you guys read my posts before answering? Lol hence the nothing to cplain about at the end of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Dude I JUST got done saying this is not my storm and said how it didnt look good since last Friday. Do you guys read my posts before answering? lol relax, it was a joke. However, you do kind of have a history... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I get it, Im going to cry over the storm tomorrow lol. You guys do realize no run was good up here since last friday. Nothing to complain about imo. Good attitude. We're just giving you a hard time. Besides, I've already pegged the 3/18-19 storm as The Williamsport Wallop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I know man, but I have been really trying to turn it around. Good luck to all, hope you cash in big time. Post pics also...and canderson I want my beer..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I know it is fairly late in the game to be looking at models, but NAM really moves the greatest accumulations south across all of PA. are you saying greatest is across south all across PA or NAM moves greatest south from previous runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I get it, Im going to cry over the storm tomorrow lol. You guys do realize no run was good up here since last friday. Nothing to complain about imo. I am still interested in seeing what these wind anomalies do to this storm here in pa so there is at least potential that this is being severely underforecasted... at the same time it could end up over... we shall see :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I am still interested in seeing what these wind anomalies do to this storm here in pa so there is at least potential that this is being severely underforecasted... at the same time it could end up over... we shall see :-) Could you elaborate on what you mean? Always eager to learn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 are you saying greatest is across south all across PA or NAM moves greatest south from previous runs? Not sure it really moves south, but it really cut back on precip a bit. Would make a big difference to folks in the harrisburg area that are really on the fringe right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Those mid altantic guys can say whatever they want... they are about to get crushed. I am jealous as hell! lol You saw that on the 18z GFS too? Storm probably will not happen, but man, if you erased the dates from the longer range GFS runs I would swear they were from mid winter with almost an Arctic Outbreak look to them. Some mets saying we could get one more blast so it may not be completely wrong. If it does happen like that, hopefully we go directly to 65-70 degrees after til May. Good attitude. We're just giving you a hard time. Besides, I've already pegged the 3/18-19 storm as The Williamsport Wallop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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