CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 The 2/3 date does have some support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 nice post Don. I wonder how that big drought effects spring and summer-blowtorch through July like last year? Although it's early to be considering the spring/summer, a continuation of the drought would probably bias odds in favor of another warmer than normal summer and possibly part of spring, as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Although it's early to be considering the spring/summer, a continuation of the drought would probably bias odds in favor of another warmer than normal summer and possibly part of spring, as well. I agree as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 No need to caution me Don its always a concern, especially this year. most of us have said over and over patterns do not make it snow. That being said, I like our chances. I agree, Ginxy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Although it's early to be considering the spring/summer, a continuation of the drought would probably bias odds in favor of another warmer than normal summer and possibly part of spring, as well.Possibly another Dust Bowl? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 wondering if we'll get some light snow as the warm up commences and before the cutter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 The 2/3 date does have some support. only 10 days away. Little scooter will be driving by the time the pattern change to snowy commences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 only 10 days away. Little scooter will be driving by the time the pattern change to snowy commences. Well we all know the caveats. There is Also early next week light snow possibly. Just saying this date has support . Just something to keep on the back burner . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Well we all know the caveats. There is Also early next week light snow possibly. Just saying this date has support . Just something to keep on the back burner . I agree the date has support, aside of the post frontal thing and maybe whatever Monday - Tuesday turns into it's all we've got. The unfortunate part is it's 10 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 wondering if we'll get some light snow as the warm up commences and before the cutter? perfect for the Beast skiing GTG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 Possibly another Dust Bowl? Feb 1934 analog? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 The euro ensembles sort of cutoff the low off of SOCAL and heights rise over the PAC NW, The result id the warm weather getting pinched off. Kind of a big change to see 5 days out, but I;m sure the SW cutoff has something to do with it. Lets hope it is right. That can easily come back again at 00z if the energy gets ejected into the SW US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 What a cold first 10 days of Feb on the ec ens...dayum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 No way you've already moved forward to girls with legs open facing twds the street at outdoor restaurant weather I should have known you miss-quote that - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 The 2/3 date does have some support. eh, just a-ball bustin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I was wondering if someone could give a brief laymans explanation of a triple point low. I've heard the term used several times over the years but don't know what it means exactly. Trying to get caught up on my meteorlogical terms during these slow times...lol. Is it when a low forms on a warm front which limits warm air intrusion? Some kind of occlusion, or am I way off base? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 perfect for the Beast skiing GTG hmmm...hopefully, that works out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I was wondering if someone could give a brief laymans explanation of a triple point low. I've heard the term used several times over the years but don't know what it means exactly. Trying to get caught up on my meteorlogical terms during these slow times...lol. Is it when a low forms on a warm front which limits warm air intrusion? Some kind of occlusion, or am I way off base? Thanks Check it out. http://theweatherprediction.com/habyhints2/530/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Check it out. http://theweatherprediction.com/habyhints2/530/ Thank you kindly for the link. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Thank you kindly for the link. It's a good site if you have questions. Tons of stuff in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 The 2/3 date does have some support. Let's hope. We could end up with another case of suppression depression on 2/3. Ugh I hate this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Let's hope. We could end up with another case of suppression depression on 2/3. Ugh I hate this winter. Yeah. Nothing much more you can add. I almost hate mentioning or because everyone complains about day 10 stuff, but just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Yeah. Nothing much more you can add. I almost hate mentioning or because everyone complains about day 10 stuff, but just saying. I'm sure eduggs will remember this exchange and punish you for it come 2/4. lol. Seriously though we should have some chances. We've just been robbed at the craps table over the past 3 weeks with a pattern that really was on the verge of delivering (sorry nzucker) and we just crapped out with ill-timed shortwaves. The MJO means business and we are in a generally favorable Pacific regime for east coast troughiness through 2/15 I think. It may be an early Morch though so let's try to cash in while we can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I'm sure eduggs will remember this exchange and punish you for it come 2/4. lol. Seriously though we should have some chances. We've just been robbed at the craps table over the past 3 weeks with a pattern that really was on the verge of delivering (sorry nzucker) and we just crapped out with ill-timed shortwaves. The MJO means business and we are in a generally favorable Pacific regime for east coast troughiness through 2/15 I think. It may be an early Morch though so let's try to cash in while we can. Yeah I remain optimistic for Feb. If I'm wrong eduggs can harass me all he wants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Next week has the look of a mess for the far interior at least. Even taking the normal GFS resolution into account...it still has an icy look. The GFS and Euro are night and day and one does have to think about euro cutoff bias near CA. However, that was hypothesized a couple of weeks ago and it turned out to be correct so who knows. Verbatim most of us get a little snow or ice anyways it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Weeklies look good through week 3 and hints of Morch week 4 with lower heights near AK and out west. However, signs of a west based -NAO too during week 4. That might help us out as verbatim temps are near normal per weeklies...maybe a hair above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I'm sure eduggs will remember this exchange and punish you for it come 2/4. lol. Seriously though we should have some chances. We've just been robbed at the craps table over the past 3 weeks with a pattern that really was on the verge of delivering (sorry nzucker) and we just crapped out with ill-timed shortwaves. The MJO means business and we are in a generally favorable Pacific regime for east coast troughiness through 2/15 I think. It may be an early Morch though so let's try to cash in while we can. Lol Shabbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 Yeah I remain optimistic for Feb. If I'm wrong eduggs can harass me all he wants. I am going to harass the crap out of you though if Morch turns into a prolific month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Next week has the look of a mess for the far interior at least. Even taking the normal GFS resolution into account...it still has an icy look. The GFS and Euro are night and day and one does have to think about euro cutoff bias near CA. However, that was hypothesized a couple of weeks ago and it turned out to be correct so who knows. Verbatim most of us get a little snow or ice anyways it seems.Nice We will take heavy ice inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I am going to harass the crap out of you though if Morch turns into a prolific month Well like I said...it may be a yo-yo. Just saying what the models show. Personally, I think it will be a little warmer than normal, but who's to say we can't have a good 1-2 week period? However don't put me in the camp of March never snowing again like Kevin is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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