WinterWxLuvr Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 I'd say the gfs ens and the Euro will give us a better idea. Nobody posted the Canadian....must be bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I'd say the gfs ens and the Euro will give us a better idea. Nobody posted the Canadian....must be bad. cmc is east of the gfs, I-95 mix/rain to snow at the end, NW of 95 all snow looks like to my untrained eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I'd say the gfs ens and the Euro will give us a better idea. Nobody posted the Canadian....must be bad. ggem looks okay but it did trend west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I'd say the gfs ens and the Euro will give us a better idea. Nobody posted the Canadian....must be bad. Saw in Se thread the GFS ENS has the low in Johnson City.....not sure what happens from there...maybe a tad east of the Op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Saw in Se thread the GFS ENS has the low in Johnson City.....not sure what happens from there...maybe a tad east of the Op? someone said the way the isobars showed on ensembles that many more members were east than west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 Saw in Se thread the GFS ENS has the low in Johnson City.....not sure what happens from there...maybe a tad east of the Op? How do they get that so fast. I guess that's the mean. That's a good deal east of what I saw on the GFS. It had it in Nashville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 someone said the way the isobars showed on ensembles that many more members were east than west the CMC looked real nice also in SE thread...if that was the most reliable model we'd be getting excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The ensemble mean is pretty ugly..close to the OP but a bit further east but in terms of what its been showing, its not a good shift., but I dont know what individual memebers show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 How do they get that so fast. I guess that's the mean. That's a good deal east of what I saw on the GFS. It had it in Nashville. The folks in the SE thread don't play around...they are probably analyzing the 18z for today right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The ensemble mean is pretty ugly..close to the OP but a bit further east but in terms of what its been showing, its not a good shift., but I dont know what individual memebers show 96hr, I think the 850 zero line is where the green goes to blue The 018 ens mean The track would probably offer freezing rain but is not a good snow one but it is the mean so there are probably members on the east and west side of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 Naturally today the PSU site isn't updating. I'd really like to see the ind members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 The 12z mean is very similar to the 0z mean. Sandwiched between them is the 6z mean which is much different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Im not sure how you come to that conclusion...the 12z mean is significantly more stronger and a bit more amplified...even if the track is not ALL that different, if its stronger and more amplified, its going to be warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Is the xmas eve storm really all rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Euro is NW thru 90 so far.. not sure if that will translate but it looks like it might Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Is the xmas eve storm really all rain? Has its own thread now. The BL looks iffy. QPF is low too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Euro is NW thru 90 so far.. not sure if that will translate but it looks like it might next...way NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Looks like the first storm which could be snow is screwing with the 2nd storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 next...way NW yeah it's pretty ugly.. especially around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 There is still some initial frozen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 There is still some initial frozen... yeah, a bit. pretty big move in the wrong direction for just about everyone though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Well it looks like we may go through entire holiday period with no snow. All 3 snow events from last night 00z Gfs are gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 As least we're not in SE PA and don't believe in clown maps.. went from 8-12 there to like 1" in one Euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 As least we're not in SE PA and don't believe in clown maps.. went from 8-12 there to like 1" in one Euro run. I wonder what DT is thinking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I wonder what DT is thinking? Meow. Joshua 24:15 And if it seem evil unto you to serve the LORD, choose you this day whom ye will serve; but as for me and my house, we will serve the LORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Wes wins again. I hope he is happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I wonder what DT is thinking? Considering how much he loves the Euro.. He must be conflicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I wonder what DT is thinking? Doesn't really matter because we all lost again...another snowless holiday period/December in the MA...ho ho ho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 You can see the change in height patterns start showing up early on the GFS. By 72 hours they're obvious. Seems our storm is very sensitive to any small change. With 4 days yet to go, this probably isn't a done deal yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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