Atomixwx Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 ^^^^ ughhh lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Global warming? Lol JK. But, if we have two well above normal temperature winters something is going on around here. Someone go whip up a positive PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Global warming? Lol JK. But, if we have two well above normal temperature winters something is going on around here. Someone go whip up a positive PNA. So long as the Pacific remains unfavorable, this will be the case of the weather. Mild to warm, dry with just transient cold shots that never take hold. Regardless of the state of the NAO. Been looking around and the consensus does seem to be that end of this month, we start winter. At least there's that. Last year, there was nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 12z Euro (also the UKMET) is interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 12z Euro (also the UKMET) is interesting. Damn. So much for the Euro torch. Also; URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 253 PM EST THU DEC 6 2012 .A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED AROUND SUNRISE ON FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY CLOSE TO FREEZING...SO PROBLEMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MINOR. HOWEVER...A WIDE AREA ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA WILL HAVE A 2 TO 3 HOUR WINDOW WHEN RAIN WILL BEGIN AS FREEZING RAIN AND COULD CAUSE A GLAZE OF ICE ON TREES...SIDEWALKS AND OTHER COLDER OBJECTS. ROAD SURFACES MAY STAY MILD ENOUGH TO KEEP ICE FROM FORMING ON ALL BUT THE BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. PAZ018-019-025>028-034-035-070400- /O.NEW.KCTP.ZR.Y.0002.121207T0900Z-121207T1400Z/ NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA- BEDFORD-FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILIPSBURG...STATE COLLEGE...ALTOONA... HUNTINGDON...MOUNT UNION...LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...BEDFORD... MCCONNELLSBURG 253 PM EST THU DEC 6 2012 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EST FRIDAY. * LOCATIONS...THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPES...ICE ACCUMULATION. * ACCUMULATIONS...A THIN GLAZE OF ICE IS EXPECTED...MAINLY ON COLDER OBJECTS AND TREES AND SIDEWALKS. ROAD SURFACES MAY STAY MILD ENOUGH THAT ONLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MAY RECEIVE A GLAZE OF ICE. * TIMING...RAIN WILL REACH THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS JUST BEFORE SUNRISE AND CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO THE NORTHEASTERN MOUNTAINS SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. THE TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP FAST ENOUGH TO MAKE JUST A BRIEF WINDOW OF 2 OR 3 HOURS OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS...A SLIPPERY MORNING COMMUTE IS POSSIBLE. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...AROUND FREEZING WHEN THE RAIN STARTS...BUT WARMING QUICKLY INTO THE LOWER AND MID 30S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Uhoh...still some fair skies and down to 28 already. Could get a little interesting tmrw morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Uhoh...still some fair skies and down to 28 already. Could get a little interesting tmrw morning. Do you hold onto cold air pretty long like we do here? That's what concerns me for my drive to work tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Just dipped below 18° here, coldest night so far this season. Penn congratulations!!! Nice going!! Your first duty as a Mod - A foot of snow please!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Yea Jamie, It says its 33 at airport right now and its 27.7 here with frosty crisp grass. Dews are low too...all in the mid to low 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Just dipped below 18° here, coldest night so far this season. A belated congratulations on the green, Jeff! It definitely felt cold this morning, but I still have not turned on the heat in my apartment. I was also staring at the State College climatology chalkboard in the sixth-floor computer lab in Walker Building here at Penn State today and noticed that November's mean temperature was a little over two degrees below normal. It did not *seem* below normal to me, which may just be the subtle differences in climate between here and back "home" in Illinois (where, incidentally, upper teens would be rather typical for an early-December morning). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Yea Jamie, It says its 33 at airport right now and its 27.7 here with frosty crisp grass. Dews are low too...all in the mid to low 20s. We are at 23.8 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 25.5 degrees here...frost on all vehicles. Does anyone think we will get some ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 29/25 here at MU, likely not to have any problems here. It's places where it's below 25° right now that are going to have some issues. Like Jamie^^ and this guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Damn, this is more than just a nuisance event if the NWS verifies: Freezing rain likely after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Total nighttime ice accumulation of around a 0.1 of an inch possible. Friday Freezing rain before 9am, then rain. Patchy fog after 11am. High near 41. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.2 of an inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 .2 of ice is on the cusp of causing serious problems. Be safe driving in the morning everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 We are at 23.8 here. 25° here. Dewpoint is 18-20°. I never know which way these morning ZR events are going to go around here. It seems they either barely amount to anything, or hold on longer than forecast and cause more serious problems. I will not be surprised to see more than a slight coating, especially down in Bellefonte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 The models preformed amazing things tonight. Lets keep it going. Euro storm at 114 looks interesting and 240.. woof woof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Don't forget! If you see freezing rain or sleet, report it to the national severe storms laboratory PING project.. They are putting together new p_type algorithms for the dual_pol radars and they need ground truth data. http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/projects/ping/ ~Snet form a deivce that cannot speel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 34 and light rain in Harrisburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Didn't see any ice accumulation anywhere around bellefonte, pleasant gap, or centre hall this morning. It was 32.5 with light rain when I checked at 5:20am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Just went out to walk the dog here in the Toftrees area of State College. We are hovering around freezing and have light rain. A slick coating of ice is on most leaves and limbs above ground level. Nothing on the ground or cars though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Just went out to walk the dog here in the Toftrees area of State College. We are hovering around freezing and have light rain. A slick coating of ice is on most leaves and limbs above ground level. Nothing on the ground or cars though. I'm working in centre hall, and there is a very thin coating on tree branches. Not doing much at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Don't forget! If you see freezing rain or sleet, report it to the national severe storms laboratory PING project.. They are putting together new p_type algorithms for the dual_pol radars and they need ground truth data. http://www.nssl.noaa.../projects/ping/ ~Snet form a deivce that cannot speel. Done. We had ice on the sidewalk, side streets and cars this am, a thin coat. Was 32.4 when I left this am at 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 I have a song for you all. It goes like this. "Where are you positive PNA, why can't I find you? Why have you gone away? Where is the cold, you used to bring me? Why can't I see snow lay? The PNA is changing, the polar vortex is rearranging..." lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Had a bit of ice on the pines this morning when I woke up to look around 9am. Nothing major to report otherwise, PennDOT was pretty well prepared for it around here putting down salt brine on all the major roads yesterday. European continues to have a tail end wave ride up through PA back in the cold air later Tuesday. I'd say western and central thirds of PA would get a quick 1-2" from it verbatim. GFS doesn't have this and we're too far away yet to get the NAM/SREF take on the matter. Something to keep an eye on though. We seem to settle into an average regime temp wise after that with a couple possible cold shots mixed in. Longer range models have not had the constant retorch and then GLC train the last few runs, instead having a straight across bowling ball type storm track. I suspect that is the result of a forecasted decent -NAO and some relaxation of the -PNA. Most MJO forecast models also suggest finally getting out of the circle and pulsing into Phase 1, which might eventually aid building heights out west. We might not be in the deep freeze but I think we will have our chances for wintry weather as we start to near the holidays. December 500mb anomalies in Phase 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 This weather stinks...35 and rain yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 This mornings ice did cause some problems here. Schools were on a 2 hour delay, there was a rollover accident due to icy roads just up the hill from my house, and a ridgetop on route 309 south of town was treacherous and needed to be salted by PennDot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 I'd sell my soul for this... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 It has been a weird week "weather wise". Monday & part of Tuesday it looked like this. Tues afternoon I was in short sleeves and sweating. Wednesday 0100 am it was 55 degrees. And by 4:00 pm it was 39 degrees, and windy. Picked around 0.34" of rain yesterday. Everyone have a good weekend! Eastern you have to quit posting porn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 I just want a nice WAA snow....a good overunning event. I don't want to have to worry about cut-offs and shifts east...I just want to have a solid 4 to 8 event. That is all I want. Thank you lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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