Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Really struggling to accum here. Grassy surfaces have a frosting look and that is only in exposed areas. Under trees nothing is accum. Streets are clear. Steady light snows all am. I see some heavier echoes s of li. Maybe I'll get clipped. My 3-4in call imby will bust. Maybe 1/2in thus far. So maybe 1in when all said and done. That southern vort screwed us. A few days ago I made a comment about watching for that piece of energy coming out of the nw as the models got a better handle on it. But I did not expect it to effect this system so negatively. If timing were a bit better with these s/w we could have had a bigger deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I've had it. I'd be happy with 70 and sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 0.3" with a w.e. of 0.03", barely any left now. At least Feb didn't get shutout Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 11, 2012 Author Share Posted February 11, 2012 I've had it. I'd be happy with 70 and sun. I agree. But you know when the next threat materializes, we'll both be sucked right back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Some BINOVC here ATTM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 You should im hoping its a good year for storms also.. I think it's time I add the countdown to May 1st ticker in my sig. Not sure how to get into your sig though from a phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 i still want snow. true weenies never say die give me more snow ill take a 60 and sunny so long as the next day is 33 and paste Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Lol......worldwide guidance save for cmc ftl? Yeah it seemed like all guidance struggled with these 2 pieces of energy and which one would become dominant. Playing it conservative was the way to go imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Really struggling to accum here. Grassy surfaces have a frosting look and that is only in exposed areas. Under trees nothing is accum. Streets are clear. Steady light snows all am. I see some heavier echoes s of li. Maybe I'll get clipped. My 3-4in call imby will bust. Maybe 1/2in thus far. So maybe 1in when all said and done. That southern vort screwed us. A few days ago I made a comment about watching for that piece of energy coming out of the nw as the models got a better handle on it. But I did not expect it to effect this system so negatively. If timing were a bit better with these s/w we could have had a bigger deal. don't give up yet bob you should have moderate snow for next couple hours ...maybe even a period of S+ with that band just off L.I not sure what your temps are but if this was falling at nite you'd prolly accumulate better. prolly squeeze out 2 in KTAN IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I wonder what the payback is this winter. You know..inch per hour of time spent weeneeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 this is a mighty struggle out here. snowing at a really good clip but just not heavy enough to overcome 33F and putrid ground temps. there's about an inch on my car...1/2 inch on the deck and the trees/ground.. but that's about all. few back roads snow covered, but most just wet. this will be more of a 1-3 type of thing here unless we really rip soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 LOL complete failure across the model world, Tippy hit on the head last night. Funny thing is, I will get more snow tonight from the ULL then last night and this morning. Partly sunny, flurries 37 degrees. LOL LOL LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 You should im hoping its a good year for storms also.. I'll do it up when I get home from work tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 48 hours ago weenies were freaking out as the nam showed 6-12" and the gfs showed 3-6" after. Besides a few days with flurries, today included, its been exactly 3 weeks since I even coated the ground. This morning there was a very light coating...if that counts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 i still want snow. true weenies never say die give me more snow ill take a 60 and sunny so long as the next day is 33 and paste Don't give up. We still have Feb. 19th through all of March to get something Really Big, if you don't mind warmer days interspersed. Euro ENS showing some -NAO signals week of the 19th. So, it's not over yet. 32F OVC/ Few BINOVC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 this is a mighty struggle out here. snowing at a really good clip but just not heavy enough to overcome 33F and putrid ground temps. there's about an inch on my car...1/2 inch on the deck and the trees/ground.. but that's about all. few back roads snow covered, but most just wet. this will be more of a 1-3 type of thing here unless we really rip soon. very sad that the cape may even get shafted i would think thou if this wasn't related to the feb sun and just warm ground temps that your car would have 4 on the hood by the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 What was yours again? My call was for you to have sun dimly visible with snow falling. Good thing you are at 980' otherwise you might not have a coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 very sad that the cape may even get shafted i would think thou if this wasn't related to the feb sun and just warm ground temps that your car would have 4 on the hood by the end well its funny if you look out the window and just dont' look down it's really ripping pretty good...lol but going back and forth between 3/4 and 1.5 mile type stuff with temps above freezing is just killing this. it's doing a little better right now given everything is finally firmly coated with some accumulation but that has taken forever to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Everyone busted. Absolutely everyone. It's hard not to when every major model failed in some dramatic way inside of 24h i didnt watch too closely other than checking the 12z run of the GFS and GEMs daily this past week, as well as the 12z and 00z of the euro....never looked at the NAM. iu dont think this was too much of a major fail by the models, i didnt examine closely but a very quick take, there wasnt much to suggest going over 2 inches anywhere other than on the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 i still want snow. true weenies never say die give me more snow ill take a 60 and sunny so long as the next day is 33 and paste This. No snowpack this year obviously so lets have a late feb/March with 3 days of 60s followed by a snowstorm then repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 it's totally like a spring storm too...areas under the trees are basically dripping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 LOL complete failure across the model world, Tippy hit on the head last night. Funny thing is, I will get more snow tonight from the ULL then last night and this morning. Partly sunny, flurries 37 degrees. LOL LOL LOL You're not getting anything tonight..none of us are..look forward to the 2 light events during the work week and then maybe one big bomb late next weekend and then spring arrives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 i didnt watch too closely other than checking the 12z run of the GFS and GEMs daily this past week, as well as the 12z and 00z of the euro....never looked at the NAM. iu dont think this was too much of a major fail by the models, i didnt examine closely but a very quick take, there wasnt much to suggest going over 2 inches anywhere other than on the cape. yes to call this a major fail by models is a emotional knee jerk or exaggeration or both so the system was a LITTLE further SE (euro) with it's precip shield and BL temps appear'd to be more of a problem then thought (in areas that got the qpf) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 well its funny if you look out the window and just dont' look down it's really ripping pretty good...lol but going back and forth between 3/4 and 1.5 mile type stuff with temps above freezing is just killing this. it's doing a little better right now given everything is finally firmly coated with some accumulation but that has taken forever to happen. Yeah the rates are probably hurting it. This one sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 box made the right move dropping the advisory regardless of what the actual totals end up as because road conditions are fine. they might get a little snow covered here this afternoon but not enough to really warrant concern i don't think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 i didnt watch too closely other than checking the 12z run of the GFS and GEMs daily this past week, as well as the 12z and 00z of the euro....never looked at the NAM. iu dont think this was too much of a major fail by the models, i didnt examine closely but a very quick take, there wasnt much to suggest going over 2 inches anywhere other than on the cape. I think there was some evidence. Even the euro had .35" up to BOS one run. 12z gfs had a few runs with .5 out west of BOS..and their ensembles were west. Not to mention the sref fail...even last nights run gave me 90% chance of 1" and 5% of 4". Last nights run had the 5% 8" probs on the cape...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 My call was for you to have sun dimly visible with snow falling. Good thing you are at 980' otherwise you might not have a coating. He lives at 1000' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 yes to call this a major fail by models is a emotional knee jerk or exaggeration or both so the system was a LITTLE further SE (euro) with it's precip shield and BL temps appear'd to be more of a problem then thought (in areas that got the qpf) I think parts of the Cape aren't far off from actual progress temps, but rates aren't high enough. Where it could be colder like in Bobs area, the QPF isn't there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I honestly wonder how early we'll all leaf out this year. This could be one of the earliest leaf outs we've ever had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Progged temps I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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