Organizing Low Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Good signal for maybe 3-4 hours of upslope snow this evening and tonight on the backside of this puppy. There's some residual synoptic moisture associated with a weak deformation zone (now over BUF area) that should lift across upstate NY and then into northern VT. Couple that with NW flow and CAA... I'm thinking we could see a nice 1-3" snowfall to top this off. If we could pull another couple inches out of upslope later, it would be a nice 4-6" event with some ice inbetween. switched back to snow in ottawa just now in the last 15 mins, coming down at a decent clip after 8 hours of frzra interesting event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Having some sleet in here as well, 32.2/32. On an OT note, we should have a moment of silence for Juan Epstein. Juan will not be coming down for breakfast. Signed Epstein's mother. He won't be Welcome Back here in the corporal plane... I loved that show.Anyway, looks like the high today at home was 37.9F or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 pouring heavy fat flakes now, temp 32 visibilty under 1/2 mile bordering 1/4 mile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Nice OL! I think we'll see a period of snow late this evening here as well. Hopefully we can freshen up things with an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Nice OL! I think we'll see a period of snow late this evening here as well. Hopefully we can freshen up things with an inch or two. no ice pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Still CAD at home. 45 here and about 60, 6 miles to my south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Still CAD at home. 45 here and about 60, 6 miles to my south. scott if we had a seasonably cold antecedent airmass...do you think a large chunk of the area would look like ryan's mt. sunapee pic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 no ice pics? We honestly didn't get much ice... maybe a tenth of an inch on the trees, at any elevation from 800ft to 4,000ft. Nothing remarkable at least. Basically at the mountain it was a classic SWFE with 3-4" of dense snow, packed down by sleet, and then crusted over with some ZR. Precipitation shut-off fairly quickly at like 9:30am when the moisture train was still pouring ZR/IP in NH and ME. We were always modeled to get less QPF so that makes sense. I'd imagine we ended up with around 1/2"-2/3" QPF so far with a good majority of it falling as snow/sleet. We were sleeting up at the mountain today when it was pouring in town... with SEly winds into the east face of Mansfield we usually get a little upslope cooling which prolonged the sleet locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Big time icing here around 800ft. My way home from work takes me from 400ft at the base of my hill in town up to 800ft and then back down to 615ft where I live. At the peak it looked like a mini Dec 08 with branches down in the road and trees hanging precariously low just above the roof of my truck. There's still some glaze left here, but it's 34F. It's one of those deals where the tall pines in my back yard are full of thick ice near their tops, but they're just wet at the bottom. I'd presume it's still 32-33F at the top of my hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Big time icing here around 800ft. My way home from work takes me from 400ft at the base of my hill in town up to 800ft and then back down to 615ft where I live. At the peak it looked like a mini Dec 08 with branches down in the road and trees hanging precariously low just above the roof of my truck. There's still some glaze left here, but it's 34F. It's one of those deals where the tall pines in my back yard are full of thick ice near their tops, but they're just wet at the bottom. I'd presume it's still 32-33F at the top of my hill. I would imagine as the pic Ryan took showed, the 1500-2K level got smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Still dense fog and 36-37° F here. Amazingly, I have not mixed out yet. Very atypical for my location as CAD almost never happens here on the west slope of the Berks. However, I should mix out soon as the front is likely where that line of showers is E of Albany. Looks like this feature is convective due to elevated instability. Interesting day IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Still dense fog and 36-37° F here. Amazingly, I have not mixed out yet. Very atypical for my location as CAD almost never happens here on the west slope of the Berks. However, I should mix out soon as the front is likely where that line of showers is E of Albany. Looks like this feature is convective due to elevated instability. Interesting day IMO. Same here..Still locked in at 38.2 . Socked in with fog. Never cad here like this even with snowcover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 It'll be interesting to watch the front come through and literally plow the fog away as if it were snow. I've seen this happen a lot during my met school days in Plymouth, NH. Looks like I'll witness it here shortly along with a quick downpour and wind gust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 scott if we had a seasonably cold antecedent airmass...do you think a large chunk of the area would look like ryan's mt. sunapee pic Well maybe parts of nrn ORH county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 low 40's all day today....can't imagine upper 50's not that far away. meanwhile a squall line approaches W MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 In a normal winter, I'd be thrilled that I'm not torching. With no snow..who cares..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Neat little FROPA here. Went from dead calm and dense fog to heavy rain and strong gusty west winds in a matter of minutes. Fog was just shoved aside by that wind as soon as it hit. Temperature spiking a bit toward 40° F. I think we'll rise a few more before CAA wins out and we drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Same here..Still locked in at 38.2 . Socked in with fog. Never cad here like this even with snowcover Interesting temps in NE CT today. Places as close as SE CT & W RI were in the mid 50s while we hovered in the upper 30s with the exception of a couple of hours near 40°. Over in Union at 1200' though, the temp poked up to 46° for a while. It's still in the low 40s there while surrounding places are in the 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Saranac Lake and Massena are both reporting moderate snow 1/2 mile vis now in northern NY... so the snow is getting closer. NWS is calling for 1-3" here tonight. A little freshening up would be appreciated for tomorrow's sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Riddle me this...anyone...I stay CAD all day with a high of 38.1 and now down to 36.5 with pea soup fog. with no snowpack. Yet when there's deep snowcover OTG we would have had no problem shooting well up into 40's. Can someone explain why we stayed CAD today..with no high, no snowcover..no blocking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Well maybe parts of nrn ORH county. This morning the trees had a nice acretion. Maybe a 1/16 of an inch... looked niceAll gone now of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Birch Bender AWT in NH, from Gene Gene the ice machine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Riddle me this...anyone...I stay CAD all day with a high of 38.1 and now down to 36.5 with pea soup fog. with no snowpack. Yet when there's deep snowcover OTG we would have had no problem shooting well up into 40's. Can someone explain why we stayed CAD today..with no high, no snowcover..no blocking? Yeah, same here. I figured mid 40s at least here today. 37.5 was the high on my crapo thermometer here.36.3F/36 attm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Yeah, same here. I figured mid 40s at least here today. 37.5 was the high on my crapo thermometer here.36.3F/36 attm I really would like a scientific reason why that happened today. Even Union shot up into the mid 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 CAD is hard to predict and often the secondary reflection can really hold the NE wind in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 low went further south i believe. we had rising PNA and negative AO (-2) and HP did have bagginess hanging back NE of maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Kevin, I was CAD too. The models had the front very close by... remember we talked about that the other day? As far as Union..that may be an error. Don't know how they could get that warm, unless a strong downpour temporarily brought down warmer air from aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 CAD is hard to predict and often the secondary reflection can really hold the NE wind in place. Then why would Union get so warm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Kevin, I was CAD too. The models had the front very close by... remember we talked about that the other day? As far as Union..that may be an error. Don't know how they could get that warm, unless a strong downpour temporarily brought down warmer air from aloft. They are still in the low 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 low went further south i believe. we had rising PNA and negative AO (-2) I don't really think that had anythiong to do with it...we still had a primary west of powderfreak...the CAD nuances are often hard to nail down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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