hawkeye_wx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Definitely a bit of a south shift from the 00z GFS... now even bringing good snow down into central Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Back to Bowme's I-80 special if that's right. GFS and RGEM in tandem. What can go wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 GFS and RGEM in tandem. What can go wrong? GR rule? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Let's lock in the RGEM, ok? pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 GR rule? lol, yes. pass Completely understand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Yeah, I'll pass on the 00z NAM. I want at least 3-5" and an advisory or nothing. Nuisance snow is a nuisance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 GFS for SEMI = No good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 00z/18z GFS comparison... heaviest QPF south for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Fluffy 1-2". Yippie Ki Yea (you know the rest) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 For those on the north side. We need to hope that todays system weakens quicker. That is the only thing i can think of that is keeping this system from staying further north and ior on a more easterly track upon reaching the MS river. Have no blocking so that thankfully is not a issue and thus why i would not write it off yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 The one thing we definitely have going for us up north is LOT just issued a WSW; what happened the last time they issued a warning? The top storm amounts ended up shifting north a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 nice runs to push that snowband Southward... thinking 3-4" here possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Yeah, I'll pass on the 00z NAM. I want at least 3-5" and an advisory or nothing. Nuisance snow is a nuisance. The NAM would still be 3-5" with a N-S gradient. And this will hardly be the nuisance type snow the other snows have been this season. Temps in the teens, this will be an advisory snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Caplan set the line at 5.5" at ORD and I took the over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Brutal run for the DTW crew. It would just be a repeat of todays clipper nuisance snow. Loling so hard right now. Where is the Spring/Severe weather speculation thread.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Meteorologist Mike Hoffman I'm tweaking the snow forecast map a bit...moving the 4"-7" area a bit farther south. While the models have been consistent for the last 2 days in bringing the heaviest part of this storm right over the heart of Michiana, some of them, especially our own FutureTrak model have shifting it slightly south this evening. And, when I look back across Nebraska and South Dakota this evening, it appears ...that the snow is breaking out in an area slightly farther south than expected. the biggest change is in some areas south of US-30, where I am bringing you into the 4"-7" area. There is a 3"-5" area both north and south of this band, and we'll have to watch for any additional shifting in the path... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Brutal run for the DTW crew. It would just be a repeat of todays clipper nuisance snow. Loling so hard right now. Where is the Spring/Severe weather speculation thread.? The 00z runs are nowhere near a repeat of todays clipper. Todays clipper had about 0.03-0.08" liquid throughout metro-Detroit (and 0.5-1.5" snow). The 00z models show 0.2-0.3" qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Brutal run for the DTW crew. It would just be a repeat of todays clipper nuisance snow. ...what run are you looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 As a gentle reminder, the thread below is open for business. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/31819-winter-1112-complaint-thread/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 00z GEM is even worse here... The 0.2"-0.3" on the NAM/GFS would be fairly generous if it's correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 What's your call for LAF and OKK Hoosier? Still think travel may get quite hazardous around here tomorrow... I'm thinking 1-3" of snow/sleet although I'm leaning toward mainly snow at this point. 3" might be a little optimistic but I'm allowing for a possible southward tick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 That row of counties right under LOT's warning will be interesting to watch. Could see them needing an upgrade eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 The NAM would still be 3-5" with a N-S gradient. And this will hardly be the nuisance type snow the other snows have been this season. Temps in the teens, this will be an advisory snowfall. Best hope is for the EURO to hold. Do have that in your favor as it has not shifted around as much as the others the past few days. It's 12z ensembles were as well in total agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Really uncertain about Eastern Indiana into Western and Central Ohio. Still seems like a band of icing is definitely possible, maybe border line warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 The EURO better not cave to the southern solutions. If it does, I will treat it with no more confidence than the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Whats the Over/Under on DTW's amount? Im thinking 3.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I'm thinking 1-3" of snow/sleet although I'm leaning toward mainly snow at this point. 3" might be a little optimistic but I'm allowing for a possible southward tick. I guess I gotta agree at this point. Interesting runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Caplan set the line at 5.5" at ORD and I took the over. He just made the 6-10" call...with his microcast again showing 10+ south of I-80. Dunno about that, but I think the 6+ call for Northern Illinois is looking good right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 The EURO better not cave to the southern solutions. If it does, I will treat it with no more confidence than the other models. It is possible. Typically though the ensembles will hint at it and that did not happen today. We'll see anyways. I am not leaving anything off the table. Thus all remains possible. So don't get your hopes up and don't get steamed. Wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 That row of counties right under LOT's warning will be interesting to watch. Could see them needing an upgrade eventually. This. Can def see the next row getting upgraded in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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