mattie g Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 i know it's "fun" to track but we go through the same hand wringing in every event. id like to think that this winter will magically stop sucking but it seems unlikely at this point. at least till the bethesdaboy onslaught in feb. This winter has been pretty easy to deal with from my perspective: 1) I like snow 2) I like true warmth as much as I like snow 3) There has never been a real snow threat that has been pulled out from under our feet 4) There has been a good amount of mild (and relatively warm) weather 5) There's been very little cold, dry weather No snow potential to get disappointed about missing, with mild weather instead I'm good with that. If the BBpocalypse comes off, then this winter will end up epic overall with major warm and massive snow. Book it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 unrounded highs are back on their way up starting today. And with the lengthening days, things are looking up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 unrounded highs are back on their way up starting today. Yeah baby!!!! Bring on the warmth!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 i know it's "fun" to track but we go through the same hand wringing in every event. id like to think that this winter will magically stop sucking but it seems unlikely at this point. at least till the bethesdaboy onslaught in feb. there was no hand wringing as far as I could tell....I think other than the idea of some CAD for DC metro, especially the favored places to the west, everybody thought the idea of getting snow, if not a longshot, was/is unlikely to work out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 there was no hand wringing as far as I could tell....I think other than the idea of some CAD for DC metro, especially the favored places to the west, everybody thought the idea of getting snow, if not a longshot, was/is unlikely to work out.... so why did i get **** for saying the exact same things people are now saying today? as a friend you even come off pretty hostile toward me on here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 i don't say it's going to rain to piss off the eternal snow optimists here. if i thought it was going to snow i'd say so. being right it more important to me than "trolling" snow weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 so why did i get **** for saying the exact same things people are now saying today? as a friend you even come off pretty hostile toward me on here... How so?...I made one crack.....You have never missed an opportunity to tell us what we already know and it had gotten annoying....nobody is delusional about what we are up against....it's fine...I am going to be in the other forum anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 You know its pretty bad around here when Matt goes off to SNE and creates a thread there to talk about their snow. traitor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 How so?...I made one crack.....You have never missed an opportunity to tell us what we already know and it had gotten annoying....nobody is delusional about what we are up against....it's fine...I am going to be in the other forum anyway apparently that's not completely true. sorry im so annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 You know its pretty bad around here when Matt goes off to SNE and creates a thread there to talk about their snow. traitor warmista Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 warmista Your point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 You know its pretty bad around here when Matt goes off to SNE and creates a thread there to talk about their snow. traitor that is not what I did...you might want to re-read Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 You know its pretty bad around here when Matt goes off to SNE and creates a thread there to talk about their snow. traitor We havent done much better. Northern NE has done ok, SNE (CT and RI especially) are mainly snowless save for an inch last night. Here's to hoping for something good for all members here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 apparently that's not completely true. sorry im so annoying. it's not a big deal, but I hardly think I was mean to you.....I haven't got the impression that we (cold/snow lovers) are ignorant about what we are facing.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 that is not what I did...you might want to re-read You'd rather be in a forum that is focused on winter and snow chances. Which is not here. Its okay, I understand. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 You'd rather be in a forum that is focused on winter and snow chances. Which is not here. Its okay, I understand. Enjoy! cool...Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 not sure why my posts are getting deleted....oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 not sure why my posts are getting deleted....oh well i deleted mine too.. i read it. who else needs to be involved? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 i deleted mine too.. i read it. who else needs to be involved? it wasn't just directed at you, but that is fine....I'll be in the NE forum for a while...no reason for us to fight....we both want snow...you just enjoy the warmth and I don't...I realize I am in the minority Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Snow chances: Weenie reaction: Warminista response: When a snow chance turns bad: Snow weenies when it finally snows: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 <snip> You know things are getting bad when a set of My Little Pony videos is the best thing in a weather discussion thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 This winter is approaching the "end your life" level, and start thinking about spring. That's cute, we already got a nice squall line to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 What a little white stuff would do for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 On the bright side, the 18z GFS gives NYC /SNE significant snow over the next 10 days. Things were bad enough when no one was really getting any snow. Throw in a gradient type pattern and it's going to feel a lot worse around here. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I've said this several times this winter and it is still a guess since I don't have the science or experience to back it up but I think the Atlantic has to change 1st and lead the way and there are some signs that will happen. The PAC side is a nightmare and no matter what short term changes we get it always wants to snap back into default position with a vortex in the gulf of Alaska and a ridge over the Aleutians. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 On the bright side, the 18z GFS gives NYC /SNE significant snow over the next 10 days. Things were bad enough when no one was really getting any snow. Throw in a gradient type pattern and it's going to feel a lot worse around here. MDstorm It's ok with me. We might be able to back into something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I've said this several times this winter and it is still a guess since I don't have the science or experience to back it up but I think the Atlantic has to change 1st and lead the way and there are some signs that will happen. The PAC side is a nightmare and no matter what short term changes we get it always wants to snap back into default position with a vortex in the gulf of Alaska and a ridge over the Aleutians. The 18z ens mean has the NAO flip about a week from today and strengthening the rest of the run. The Op also does a pretty good number on the torch over the next week as well. Maybe there is hope on the horizon. Saturday seems to be a bit of a mystery at this point. Trends haven't been kind, but it still seems wishy-washy at this point. I wouldn't bet a nickle on snow, but I'd bet good money that if we can get precip in here before sunrise Sat we'd see a good bit of winter precip. Edit: In fact, the GFS meteostar has KOKV with a high temp of 48 for the next 10 days (after this afternoon of course) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 The 18z ens mean has the NAO flip about a week from today and strengthening the rest of the run. The Op also does a pretty good number on the torch over the next week as well. Maybe there is hope on the horizon. Saturday seems to be a bit of a mystery at this point. Trends haven't been kind, but it still seems wishy-washy at this point. I wouldn't bet a nickle on snow, but I'd bet good money that if we can get precip in here before sunrise Sat we'd see a good bit of winter precip. You're in a good spot. Models aren't going to get a wedge at the surface correctly. I'd be more optimistic about the column if we were just slightly above 0 at 850mb as the models might not get damming there either but probably not a 2 degree error. But we need a front running thump early. A slow developer that tries to get organized is going to be a rain storm for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 The 18z ens mean has the NAO flip about a week from today and strengthening the rest of the run. The Op also does a pretty good number on the torch over the next week as well. Maybe there is hope on the horizon. Saturday seems to be a bit of a mystery at this point. Trends haven't been kind, but it still seems wishy-washy at this point. I wouldn't bet a nickle on snow, but I'd bet good money that if we can get precip in here before sunrise Sat we'd see a good bit of winter precip. Edit: In fact, the GFS meteostar has KOKV with a high temp of 48 for the next 10 days (after this afternoon of course) Is it just me, or does the 18z OP show some kind of marginal storm on the 25th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Is it just me, or does the 18z OP show some kind of marginal storm on the 25th? looks like tail end snow possible.. not much and after truncation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.