WeatherNC Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 New MD up for E NC/SE VA, watch unlikely... MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2371 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0356 PM CST WED DEC 07 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/NORTHEAST NC AND SOUTHEAST VA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 072156Z - 072330Z MONITORING FOR INCREASING CONVECTIVE TRENDS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED/ENHANCED POCKETS OF WIND DAMAGE/PERHAPS A TORNADO IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN ADVANCING LOW-TOPPED CONVECTIVE LINE ACROSS NC/SOUTHERN VA. AS A POTENT UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE/TREND TOWARD A MORE NEGATIVE TILT OVER THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS VICINITY...SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT/APPRECIABLE SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS ARE NOTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF NC INTO VA COINCIDENT WITH A RELATIVELY MOIST WARM SECTOR /AROUND 60F SURFACE DEWPOINTS/. THE INFLUENCES OF CONSIDERABLE FORCING FOR ASCENT/DEEPENING PHASE OF THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY CONTRIBUTING TO A NARROW BUT QUASI-SHARP CONVECTIVE LINE IN VICINITY OF THE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CAROLINAS THIS AFTERNOON. EVEN WITHOUT AN APPRECIABLE INCREASE IN UPDRAFT DEPTH AND/OR LIGHTNING PRODUCTION AMID WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT...CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE/PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO MAY BE POSSIBLE GIVEN A HIGH DEGREE OF ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR. THIS WOULD ESPECIALLY BE THE CASE SHOULD SOME ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION/STORM-SCALE EVOLUTIONS BECOME EVIDENT. ..GUYER.. 12/07/2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Nice I get off at 7 wonder if the line will get here before then......hope it gets here right at 7 love driving in a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Thunder! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Started snowin about 10 min ago in Boone NC getting pretty heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Moderate to heavy snow, and it's sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Nice I get off at 7 wonder if the line will get here before then......hope it gets here right at 7 love driving in a good storm. Forward progression roughly 33 miles an hr based its passing through the FAY area, starting to congeal a bit, and about 60 miles out, so yeah, just after 7 seems like a safe bet. Be nice to hear some thunder, been awhile. Just in time to go pick the wife up from work too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jalba Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 thundering here now, very dark clouds heading this way. Brad on twitter says there's graupel coming down in some of these areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I'm going to go water the road tonight. Never underestimate a man and his water hose.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Boy by the look of the twc radar, north Georgia is shafted again the loop showed as soon as it crossed the border is disappated? Shafted? Not sure why you say that...very marginal situation needlessly enhanced by FFC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schlontz Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 thundering here now, very dark clouds heading this way. Brad on twitter says there's graupel coming down in some of these areas. It was a pleasant way to wake me up from my nap. Who needs winter weather when you can have thunderstorms instead? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Moderate to heavy snow, and it's sticking. Nice little slug of precip coming through you now...be interesting to see how much you get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD Addict Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Really coming down now...starting to accumulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 pretty decent gusts blowing thru SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 532 PM EST WED DEC 7 2011 NCZ087-096-099-109-110-SCZ053-054-056-072315- BLADEN-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-COASTAL HORRY-COLUMBUS-INLAND BRUNSWICK-INLAND HORRY-ROBESON- 532 PM EST WED DEC 7 2011 ...A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL MOVE ACROSS COASTAL HORRY AND GEORGETOWN COUNTIES...BRUNSWICK...BLADEN... COLUMBUS AND EASTERN ROBESON COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EST... AT 528 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS EXTENDING FROM TOLARSVILLE AND TAR HEEL...SOUTH THROUGH BLADENBORO...EVERGREEN...CERRO GORDO...CHERRY GROVE...GREEN SEA...ADRIAN...RED HILL AND FORESTBROOK...TO NEAR GARDEN CITY...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARDS INCLUDE... GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. DEAD OR WEAKENED TREE LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN. LIGHTWEIGHT DEBRIS LIKE YARD FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS COULD BE PICKED UP BY THE WIND AND MOVED AROUND AS WELL. NO THUNDER OR LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED WITH THESE SHOWERS. SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE ELIZABETHTOWN...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...MURRELLS INLET...MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...RED HILL...SOCASTEE...SURFSIDE BEACH...WHITEVILLE AND ABBOTTSBURG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Nice little slug of precip coming through you now...be interesting to see how much you get I'm currently battling a basement flood and haven't looked outside in around thirty minutes, so I'm betting there's a surprise awaiting me when I do. FWIW, the water table has finally recovered it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Now very heavy wind driven snow in Boone, everything solid white in minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Really coming down now...starting to accumulate. Same here. Big 'ole heavy fat flakes. A little Appalachian Applesauce for the dinner hour. Now at 30.2 and sticking to everything. Quick hitter but I'll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Thunder and lightning from a passing storm to my south. Cold winds blowing in from the west off the mountain now. Rain showers still hanging around in Wilkes with temps near 44 and dropping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Light snow now falling in Weaverville. Winds are mixing down & it is howling out there now. Looking at the radar not so good for the Asheville area but. CAD & Joe could score 1-2" from this last slug of moisture coming thru. Then the flow to follow but looking at the RUC it looks pretty shallow & short lived to my untrained eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Watch coming for NE NC/SE VA MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2372 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0442 PM CST WED DEC 07 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...NERN NC/SERN VA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON VALID 072242Z - 072315Z A WW WILL BE COORDINATED SHORTLY BETWEEN THE SPC AND AFFECTED WFOS IN NERN NC AND SERN VA. REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY ACROSS NC/SRN VA INDICATED A LINE OF LOW-TOPPED SHOWERS /A FEW EMBEDDED LIGHTNING STRIKES NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER/ HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED/INTENSIFIED SINCE 2155Z... ESPECIALLY WITH NWD EXTENT TOWARD SRN VA. LIGHTNING DATA ALSO SHOWED ADDITIONAL STRIKES OVER WRN NC...IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE LEADING EDGE OF STRONGER ASCENT WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE SRN APPALACHIANS. GIVEN RECENT SEVERE AND NEAR-SEVERE WIND GUST REPORTS OVER SRN NC...CONCERN EXISTS FOR FURTHER STORM INTENSIFICATION AS THE STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT ACROSS WRN NC REACHES THE ONGOING LINE OF CONVECTION AND WARM SECTOR. GIVEN AREA WSR-88D VAD PROFILERS SHOWING 50-60 KT AT 0.5-1 KM AGL COMBINED WITH THE FORWARD SPEED OF THE LINE AT 40 KT...A THREAT FOR STRONG... DAMAGING WIND GUSTS EXISTS DESPITE LIMITED LIGHTNING PRODUCTION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jalba Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 http://www.twitvid.com/7VADN This is as this strong storm was moving through Alexander County. It definitely wasn't just rain, and very gusty. Turn the volume down a bit at the beginning, didn't think my phone could record that loud! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Heavy graupel. Found the primary source of the water in my basement. It's literally bubbling through a crack in the concrete floor. Not what I needed to deal with tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Heavy graupel. Found the primary source of the water in my basement. It's literally bubbling through a crack in the concrete floor. Not what I needed to deal with tonight. Sorry I have been through that hours before I was supposed to leave on a vacation. It is no fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 http://www.twitvid.com/7VADN This is as this strong storm was moving through Alexander County. It definitely wasn't just rain, and very gusty. Turn the volume down a bit at the beginning, didn't think my phone could record that loud! Your not kidding. I heard thunder in northern Wilkes County from that. Boone was reporting snow but then went to thunder/rain and now back to snow from those isolated storms moving through the foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Same here. Big 'ole heavy fat flakes. A little Appalachian Applesauce for the dinner hour. Now at 30.2 and sticking to everything. Quick hitter but I'll take it! YOu make me sick!.................................... Not, really....I'm happy for you Joe! The sooner you get tired of snow the sooner you can head out to Tahiti, and you can send your unwanted dregs down this way Still haven't made it into the 30's yet, but now the sun is down it won't be long. 41.3. Sure felt good today. Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 YOu make me sick!.................................... Not, really....I'm happy for you Joe! The sooner you get tired of snow the sooner you can head out to Tahiti, and you can send your unwanted dregs down this way Still haven't made it into the 30's yet, but now the sun is down it won't be long. 41.3. Sure felt good today. Tony LOL. The way this winter looks like it's shaping up I might not have to go anywhere..................Na.....We'll go somewhere. We're thinking Dubai,.....seriously! Wonder what they would think about a hillbilly?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Holy smokes....Very heavy snow in Weaverville now! Half dollar size flakes have whitened the cars & ground in a matter of 5 minutes. Will try to post some pics later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Happy for you snow lovers that are getting some! Only picked up .14" rain in that warned line that passed through, but it came down hard and fast for about 5 minutes. Winds only gusted to around 30 or so. Looks like a couple more less intense bands to pass through during the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Southern end of line leaving me unhappy about this event..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 LOL. The way this winter looks like it's shaping up I might not have to go anywhere..................Na.....We'll go somewhere. We're thinking Dubai,.....seriously! Wonder what they would think about a hillbilly?? Yeah, I think that is where they have that huge indoor ski slope. Just don't try to smuggle in shine via your water bottle! And cut down on your twang some, lol. YOu'll be ok. I bet you still get 50 inches or more before it is all over. Might not get your hundred, but then again you could get it all in one storm Going to be an interesting year, I think.... I hope, I think ........T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 .8" at my last measurement. Still snowing lightly, and still above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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