stormtracker Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Come on Mid Atlantic peeps. Yes, we all know its 100 + hours out and we know Wes is going to kill it....but its something to track. 0z GFS at 132-144 hours looks promising.......and the h5 maps look slightly better with each run. Come on...lets track this 1 to 3 inch powerhouse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Could tripple my current seasonal total, of .5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 OMG look at those southern shortwaves. That stj is the bumpiest thing I've ever seen in my life. In no way is it so flat you can perceive the curvature of the earth when you look at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 OMG look at those southern shortwaves. That stj is the bumpiest thing I've ever seen in my life. In no way is it so flat you can perceive the curvature of the earth when you look at it. It looks primed for some epic overrunning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 wes cant kill this one..that pattern would support an event like this. thats 2-4 inches btw randy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 Can I get somebody other than Mad Cheese killing my thread to reply? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 It looks primed for some epic overrunning. This one will be called 1-3agggedon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Can I get somebody other than Mad Cheese killing my thread to reply? Randy,your awesome BTW. And don't take it personally,, Mad Cheese is the only one who replies to my threads too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 this is easily a 2-5 inch event for DC and then probably an 8-12 incher right before Christmas. Winter Uncancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 this is easily a 2-5 inch event for DC and then probably an 8-12 incher right before Christmas. Winter Uncancel Someone call the paramedics! Ji is not being Ji! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 The AO feels like it's going to be the deal breaker this winter. If we can get it stream a steady supply of cold air into the region we should be gold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Mositure starved, zonal flow wich means downsloping. Meh for now. Models are not doing hot right now soo we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 See Yoda's signature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Can I get somebody other than Mad Cheese killing my thread to reply? Looks like a sig ZR event for central VA, general quarter to half inch of liquid, with the weak surface low tracking through the southern part of the state. 0z GFS in good agreement with the 12z EC, on track across southern VA. Still 6 days out, and a lot will change, but as currently modeled, enjoy the ice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/cobb_gfs/gfs3_kric.dat 5" of snow and then some ZR would make my wife happy that her winter vacation will start 1 day early with no school on Friday. I'd definitely be excited as it would make everything pretty before Christmas again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 Sounds like the Euro has the threat too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 00z euro does have it, but it looks a bit warm for big cities..... edited copyright map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 00z euro does have it, but it looks a bit warm for big cities..... but its also 7 days out, so im sure models will change a bit like they did for mondays storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 00z euro does have it, but it looks a bit warm for big cities..... can't post those maps from accuwx pro jack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 euro ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 euro ice storm 6z GFS looks like Ice as well and then in fantasy la la has a crippling ice bomb around christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 6z GFS looks like Ice as well and then in fantasy la la has a crippling ice bomb around christmas 6z GFS 1-2 inches of snow then ice. Will make the Hood really pretty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 this looks interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 It probably is the first legit winter threat albeit not a big storm but with potential for freezing rain of snow. The track still isn't a good one but with such a weak system and with the block ebig in a much better place, this one has a better chance of ending up as icy or snowy than any other this year. Still, it's not going to have that much moisture with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I like the stormy look of Christmas week. Surely, NoVA will score some snow sometime that week. And it's only 11-14 days away. This could be the "December to Remember". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 It's actually not a bad block for you guys, but verbatim gets squashed. I'd still keep an eye out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Potent little storm as advertized on the 12Z GFS. One of those ones with a very narrow band of decent snow. Right now focused just SW of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 GFS still has it, but I hate how consistent it is on how it looks great in the frames right before it gets us and then bam..it falls apart...but still gives us some snow/ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 It's actually not a bad block for you guys, but verbatim gets squashed. I'd still keep an eye out. The big problem is the upper level energy remains so far north initially that is just get sheared and squashed as it comes east. That seems to be the mo so far this winter, we either have systems squashed or they go to the lakes when the blocking shifts eastward like the Sunday storm. If the 500 in the north stays stronger and we get more precip, we probably have more warming at 850 and end up with the snow look becoming a freezing rain look for DC. That's the dilemma. Farther south closer to the moisture, the weak 500 would be best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 The big problem is the upper level energy remains so far north initially that is just get sheared and squashed as it comes east. That seems to be the mo so far this winter, we either have systems squashed or they go to the lakes when the blocking shifts eastward like the Sunday storm. If the 500 in the north stays stronger and we get more precip, we probably have more warming at 850 and end up with the snow look becoming a freezing rain look for DC. That's the dilemma. Farther south closer to the moisture, the weak 500 would be best. i prefer more precip and we get snow changing to zr like the euro shows. This GFS run is terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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