CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 And then many maybe end as flakes or straight snow. If that was like 40 miles more east, Will would have a heart attack. Yeah no kidding. I bet that would be like 18" in Norfolk CT at 1400ft through MRG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 The second low might have Rina or part of it to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Down to 980mb over SW Nova Scotia Lol.. I'm implementing an "GFS Weenie warning" effective for 18z.. guaranteed to show an absolute bomb which will cause 1000 users to be on at 00z tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 The wunderground Euro snowfall maps are really weenie-ish...in the first event they give me like 7" of snow. Those are going to be a nightmare this winter with all the weenies hugging them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Big winds at the coast probably especially given warm SSTs Why would SSTs affect the wind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Yeah this verbatim would be close to a 1 footer from Norfolk CT to MRG while the rest of us get pelted by drops Heh, this run is an all-timer relative to calendar - period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Thats about as perfect a track we can get up this way for a storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Storm 2 would have a damaging effect to trees left with foliage.. Good thing Pete's trees have been bare for months now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Yeah no kidding. I bet that would be like 18" in Norfolk CT at 1400ft through MRG. actually looks like you can track some of hurricane rina getting infused in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Yeah no kidding. I bet that would be like 18" in Norfolk CT at 1400ft through MRG. Wow...just took a look. This run is quite interesting for portions of nW CT way up in the hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 The second low might have Rina or part of it to work with. yeah looks that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Why would SSTs affect the wind? because the ocean contact with the atmosphere adds heat, destablizing the column, such that said heat rises and "turns-over" the atmosphere where downward motion compensating for said upward motion mixes down any low level jet velocities. it's a good way to get a lot of damage to Situate and Hull, the Cape and Islands this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 actually looks like you can track some of hurricane rina getting infused in that. Yeah the Euro is doing a terrible job with Rina though... it degenerates the thing basically into a blog of moisture and convection even though the thing is probably headed to cat 3 or cat 4 status down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 because the ocean contact with the atmosphere adds heat, destablizing the column, such that said heat rises and "turns-over" the atmosphere where downward motion compensating for said upward motion mixes down any low level jet velocities. it's a good way to get a lot of damage to Situate and Hull, the Cape and Islands this time of year. Cool. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Here comes Debbie Downer... this wx porn of a run with a super phase looks awfully nice but I doubt it's going to happen lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Here comes Debbie Downer... this wx porn of a run with a super phase looks awfully nice but I doubt it's going to happen lol You mean a perfectly phased bomb at 132 hours out won't happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 You mean a perfectly phased bomb at 132 hours out won't happen? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 You mean a perfectly phased bomb at 132 hours out won't happen? Its to good so its totally wrong, Jackpot this far out is never good........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Its to good so its totally wrong, Jackpot this far out is never good........lol Boxing day???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 You mean a perfectly phased bomb at 132 hours out won't happen? I don't see a lot of phasing here at 132 hours from what I am looking at... This is an open wave with an intense vorticity plug riding over the top of strong lower level thermal/thicknes packing, and BOOM. That feeds back height falls off cyclogen physics, and then the whole structure psuedo-closes off because of that; but doens't really close off of course because it keeps trucking right along in the environmental flow. Of course... I'm thinking of phasing in the sense of stream frequencies postively super-imposing. Maybe by phasing in the current context we mean something else? Edit: Oh wait. never mind... I didn't at first see that pesky bugger in the SW - lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Boxing day???? Like getting back to back hurricanes in New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 thought this was a joke but just looked at Rina and wow wasnt expecting that!!! I think that may have alot to do with how this storm plays out Yeah the Euro is doing a terrible job with Rina though... it degenerates the thing basically into a blog of moisture and convection even though the thing is probably headed to cat 3 or cat 4 status down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Its to good so its totally wrong, Jackpot this far out is never good........lol Always time for it to trend east so we can all get in on the action... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Next storm kills Pete and up through NNE. I think that storm has the risk of coming close. I just wet myself. Looking at that track with H7/H85 RH maps... that's a Taconics/Berkshires/Green Mountain crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Its to good so its totally wrong, Jackpot this far out is never good........lol Actually, 132 hours out isn't too ridiculous... It's when the D9 or D10 shows a perfect scenario that you can win millions gambling against it. 132 ... that's D5.5.. .Yeah, not ideal for the ECM... It's a cusp bomb for this particular model. If this were D4.5 we could feel a whole lot better about it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Always time for it to trend east so we can all get in on the action... Well, That could be as wrapped up and west as it is now, If it weakens it could very well go east but its pretty far out right now so it is something to keep an eye on at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Always time for it to trend east so we can all get in on the action... And time to trend west, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 FWIW it looks like the ORH area would mix/change over at 03z Friday. 1000-850 CT line is just to his se, and 950 0C temp is practically over him. It may be brief as the DS tries to move in from the wsw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I can't wait to see wunderground euro maps later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 And time to trend west, lol. There are some pretty substantial heights over the davis straight, don't see it coming that much more west. Won't matter for your area anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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