earthlight Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 As the pattern suggests Yup, sure does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 What an exciting week of weather this is going to be! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 What an exciting week of weather this is going to be! It beats litchfield and mrg arguing for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 09z SREFs are cold/south...KTOL jackpot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 October can be one of the most varied months for us. Things that can happen in October in SNE - Violent tornadoes (BDL F4) - Hurricanes (1894, for instance) - Flooding (1955 SW CT, Lilli remnants, etc) - Snowstorms (1979, 1987, etc) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 09z SREFs are cold/south...KTOL jackpot? 2m temps on the srefs are 3-5c even though they are further south with the 850 line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 09z SREFs are cold/south...KTOL jackpot? I might be wrong but i think this storm is outside there window right now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 09z SREFs are cold/south...KTOL jackpot? LOL..that's the last piece of guidance I want in my corner. i hate the sref's..esp at this timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 2m temps on the srefs are 3-5c even though they are further south with the 850 line. i saw that...kind of surprising given the setup, but it is october if you believe the p-type algorithm, it flips anywhere north of HFTD's latitude to snow for the heaviest precip (last 6 hours of that frame) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Over/under Tip's upcoming War and Peace post having more than 200 words? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I wonder if we can muster up some type of storm potential around the beginning of the second week of November or so. The NAO is forecasted to shoot rather positive around the first week of November after dipping negative around this period then forecasted to dip into the negative once again. Seems like the NAO is going to be varying quite a bit over the next few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Over/under Tip's upcoming War and Peace post having more than 200 words? Definitely over... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Over/under Tip's upcoming War and Peace post having more than 200 words? Typing for over 10 mins, Over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 i saw that...kind of surprising given the setup, but it is october has more to do with the smoothed mean. there are some warmer gfs type members in there and a handful of cooler ones. end result is 2-5 c 2m temps, really not bad at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 has more to do with the smoothed mean. there are some warmer gfs type members in there and a handful of cooler ones. end result is 2-5 c 2m temps, really not bad at this range. thanks for the clarification, makes sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Tip passed out after seeing the euro weenie snow progs on Wunderground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Over/under Tip's upcoming War and Peace post having more than 200 words? 13 minutes...so that's about 6 paragraphs now. the bigger question is, how many people will commit suicide after reading it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 13 minutes...so that's about 6 paragraphs now. the bigger question is, how many people will commit suicide after reading it? He may be hanging from the rafters and didn't turn off his computer before tipping the chair Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Euro looks like its going to be good again for interior SNE/CNE...through 78h now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Euro looks like its going to be good again for interior SNE/CNE...through 78h now. It looks a tad cooler and maybe further south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 It looks a tad cooler and maybe further south? Yeah through 84, def a shade cooler. That would be a big help for my area and perhaps into even the CP near Ray and maybe down to NE CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 It has the sfc 32F line into N ORH county by 06z Friday with very good precip over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Looks nice at hr 90. It's a bit weaker, but also further south which helps. Good vvs right along the Pike and 50 miles either side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 It looks a tad cooler and maybe further south? Its weaker then 0z so its slightly south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 13 minutes...so that's about 6 paragraphs now. the bigger question is, how many people will commit suicide after reading it? John's mom yelling down into basement "john honey..Are you coming up for lunch?" Silence except for the low murmur of Comfortably numb bifurcating up to the first floor from the basement "John dear..john..are you down there?" Your grilled cheese is getting cold" All she hears are the lyrics" And my hands felt just like 2 balloons" emanating from below "Johnny, johny, sweetie,, please come up, If you don't come up this minute, I'm taking away your Dungeons and Dragons game" Still nothing. except.. We are only coming thru in waves..I cannot put my finger on it now. i have become Comfortably Numb. She ventures down in the basement and screams OH MY GOD.. JOHN And discovers he's hung himself with his "Trust me I'm a meteorologist Shirt" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Euro looks like it's ready for something big down the coast at hr 96, but could be further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 It looks a tad cooler and maybe further south? it's also weaker...which is probably good for some but bad for others...at first glance seems to lack those good height falls which would have helped the more marginal locales - i.e. the BL might be more a problem for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Yeah through 84, def a shade cooler. That would be a big help for my area and perhaps into even the CP near Ray and maybe down to NE CT. I think the problem with the Euro is that the sfc reflection is weak enough that we won't be able to advect cooler/drier air now as much. The NAM is stronger and you see the ageostrophic flow rip and crash the BL temps. Euro is a nice track but I don't think it's strong enough or dynamic enough to please most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 it's also weaker...which is probably good for some but bad for others...at first glance seems to lack those good height falls which would have helped the more marginal locales - i.e. the BL might be more a problem for some. lol I posted the same thing basically. I think the Euro is a bit disappointing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I think the problem with the Euro is that the sfc reflection is weak enough that we won't be able to advect cooler/drier air now as much. The NAM is stronger and you see the ageostrophic flow rip and crash the BL temps. Euro is a nice track but I don't think it's strong enough or dynamic enough to please most of us. Look at the vortmax track at 84h compared to the NAM...NAM went sort of insane with it...its probably wrong. I'd lean a little more tepid like the Euro/GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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