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Feb 28 potential ice discussion


ORH_wxman

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here in the edge of the honest to God God's Country , (not the liberal, nearly socialist self-proclaimed GC farther southwest in MA) we're looking for a few rain events and mild weather to launch into the first spring month known as March.

Hopefully today the rain falls heavily enough to wash away some of the excessive fresh snow that has fallen in the past several days.

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GYX touting a colder storm, taking plain rain out of my forecast. I don't buy it but will take it.

IT NOW LOOKS

LIKE LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH...WITH THE

FORMATION OF A COASTAL LOW LIKELY. THE FORMATION OF A COASTAL LOW

IS SIGNIFICANT BECAUSE IT WILL ALLOW COLDER AIR TO STAY IN PLACE

LONGER...MAKING FREEZING AND FROZEN PRECIPITATION LIKELY FOR A

LONGER DURATION. IN FACT...SOME MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE

PRECIPITATION MAY STAY ALL SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL

MAINE...WITH FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MOST LIKELY ACROSS NEW

HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHERN MAINE.

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Early morning observations from Stowe...

25F at 800ft in the village

23F at 1,500ft here in the Mountain Operations Center

16F at 3,950ft near top of mtn

A dusting of snow overnight, currently 75% snow and 25% sleet. You can tell its getting warm up there somewhere as these are some icy snow flakes. 1" new in the past 24 hours but thats snow that fell yesterday after the 6am weather/snow report.

Here's a like to temperatures at 3,950ft... should be interesting to watch warming aloft if it happens down to that elevation.

http://www.wrh.noaa....NV1&banner=gmap

I also see Bolton Valley at 2,100ft is showing 21F right now, so it is plenty cold here in the 1-4K foot range for frozen or freezing. We'll certainly be sleet here at the base of the mountain, if the 3,950ft temp stays below freezing, as that water droplet has over 2,400 vertical feet to fall through before it hits here at the base, and over 3,000ft to fall before it hits town.

What is it, usually 1,000ft subfreezing column to get sleet?

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Add some sleet pellets in there now for good measure as the solid precip moves in. Man is the morning rush gonna be a disaster here. Lord have mercy

School delay?

There's one delay in western MA. The later start of precip may allow for folks to get in befroe things get dicey. Although, we have had some passing pingers and I guess zr come through. So we shall see.

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School delay?

There's one delay in western MA. The later start of precip may allow for folks to get in befroe things get dicey. Although, we have had some passing pingers and I guess zr come through. So we shall see.

My son's district has one (only 2 in C/E Mass - same superintendent)

Nothing falling yet, but the sky has that "look"

This drive in might be terribke

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School delay?

There's one delay in western MA. The later start of precip may allow for folks to get in befroe things get dicey. Although, we have had some passing pingers and I guess zr come through. So we shall see.

Yeah..90 min delay...thing is in 90 minutes they won't be any better as the buses get rolling

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