mahk_webstah Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Lol, me too...as I said, I don't think the northeast folks know what a blizzard really is...neither do I haha. Really?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 47 dBZ returns in Jasper County...good God... Had 61 to 64 earlier on the images I posted.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Update from IND office.. They finally gave in to lowering snow totals around LAF.. The problem is that AFD talking about diminishing totals came an hour before the updated forecasts with 4-8" of snow. Makes no sense. Anyway, I will mosey along as to not spoil the show for those enjoying the snow. For me this is another bitter pill to swallow. FML Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Sleet has been the story for me for the entire storm. Just a brief burst early on with the first wave. It really has been an epic disappointment. We had an hour and a half of heavy snow yesterday, but since since it's been all sleet other than a few flakes mixed in from time to time. But correction, it's been an epic sleet storm. Sucks that it wasn't snow, but nothing we can do about it now. Embrace the sleet, it's the only sleet you got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cubfan61201 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I think we're over 8" here by now. The heaviest snows didn't start till about 1pm, so that's averaging a little over an inch per hour. There have been times when the rates were even higher, but we've had some lighter periods mixed in as well. There's a band of very heavy snow rotating northwestward right at us. That's the band that nailed Peoria. Hopefully it pivots over us and stalls for awhile. The heaviest begins to wane after 11pm, but light to moderate snows continue past sunrise. Looks like another 7-9" on the way if this next band performs well. Looks like a pocket of yellow on the radar NE of Galesburg heading towards us.. Probably pass to your south--but you should be in the heavier green bands easily. I agree...I think we have 8 inches here as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 GRR update: .SHORT TERM...(942 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011) (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY) WE HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST THIS EVENING ONLY TO ADD SOME THUNDER TO THE FORECAST FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-96. OTHERWISE NO OTHER MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FCST FOR NOW. WV IMAGERY SHOWS THE STRENGTHENING UPPER ENERGY MOVING OUT OF MO AND INTO THE IL AREA. STRONG DRY SLOT WAS SURGING NORTHWARD QUICKLY. ON THE REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY THIS COULD BE SEEN NICELY. THE TREND OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO HAS BEEN FOR A MORE NE TREND TO THE NRN EDGE OF THE DRY SLOT...AND THIS SHOULD BECOME MORE ENE. THIS STILL COULD FLIRT WITH THE EXTREME SRN PORTION OF THE CWFA...HOWEVER WE THINK IT WILL NOT SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECT THE FCST FOR NOW. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. IN THE CLOSE PROXIMITY JUST NORTH OF THE DRY SLOT...SOME THUNDER AND LIGHTNING HAS BEEN REPORTED ACROSS IL. MODELS SHOW THE SLANTWISE INSTABILITY NICELY IN ELEVATED EPV PROGS WITH NEGATIVE VALUES IN THAT VICINITY. THAT AREA OF NEGATIVE EPV IS FCST TO MOVE ACROSS SRN LOWER MI BETWEEN 03Z AND 09Z TONIGHT...COINCIDENT WITH THE HEAVIER SNOW EXPECTED. THUS WE HAVE ADDED THUNDER TO THE GRIDS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-96. CONDITIONS ARE QUITE NASTY ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF THE CWFA WITH THE SNOW STILL SPREADING ACROSS THE NORTH AND THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS WHERE 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR HAVE BEEN OCCURRING ARE NEAR THE MI/IN BORDER AND ARE MOVING NORTH. THE WINDS PICKED UP QUICKLY THIS EVENING...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS APPEARING TO BE DOWNWIND OF THE NE TRAJECTORY OFF OF SAGINAW BAY. ALL OF THESE THINGS CONTINUE TO POINT TOWARD A PERIOD OF NEAR BLIZZARD TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR THE AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kaosfere Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Just had a huge crack of thunder in the Chicago Loop. We officially have thundersnow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 hoping for some thunder here just took a walk around the subdivision and it is wicked/not made for human life out there right now 15 mi south of madison wi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iowahawkeyedave Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Looks like another gravity wave north of Davenport on radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Lightning and thunder, power still out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cubfan61201 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Thundering here in Rock Island! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 No video will do justice of what is taking place outside right now...the most incredible conditions I've ever seen...+SN...probably gusting to 45mph if not more, snow vorticies all over the place. going to go back outside now and watch for lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I still think we can pull out a couple inches of pure snow in the wraparound...until then, sleet it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Man is it intense out. This is crazy snow and wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarbondaleWX Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 JimCantore Jim Cantore Lightning and loud thunder on the Magnificent mile right now. Epic !!#blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nevermind Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I'm in a 35dBZ area right now and it sounds like hail hitting the windows the past few minutes.. Very audible. I went outside to measure some drifts. 22-24" right now. To say this is a blinding storm would be an understatement, the minute I turned around facing east to head back into the house it felt like a sandblaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Lightning and thunder, power still out Do you have a generator and/or gas heating? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I still think we can pull out a couple inches of pure snow in the wraparound...until then, sleet it is. Meh. LAF reporting light snow... SPECI KLAF 020224Z AUTO 09023G31KT 1SM -SN BR OVC021 M06/M07 A2956 RMK AO2 PK WND 08041/0156 SNB07 P0000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Had a couple big gusts in the last hour, and lo and behold what I see on radar. You can see the gravity waves oriented parallel to the deformation band just south of Maquoketa, they are propagating away from the convection as you would expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Really?? Nope, really don't...in the northeast, you are lucky to see more than a few reporting stations that record true bliss conditions for 3+ hous, while this one okc to det will probably all meet the criteria. Topography too comes into play...the hills in the east will make true blizzard conditions tougher to meet in the northeast. Northeast may get more snow in their storms, however, they cant hold a candle, IMO, to true bliss conditions experienced in the Midwest...look at the vids alek took. I don't remember seeing anything near that intensity in ny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maumee Bay Turf Center Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Harry what is your thoughts for toledo...plowing sleet now but quickly going to heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northernohio Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 75% snow some sleet mixed here in Bowling Green 25 miles south of Toledo....we had about a 1-2 hr period of all sleet earlier tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 DTX Update: THE OVERALL SITUATION IS UNFOLDING AS EXPECTED WITH ABOUT THE ONLY FORECAST ADJUSTMENT ANTICIPATED BEING TO SHIFT THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST SNOWFALL NORTHWARD TOWARD THE TRI CITIES AND NORTHERN THUMB AND MENTION A RUMBLE OF THUNDER. PLAN TO HOLD THE LINE ON SNOW ACCUMULATION FOR POINTS SOUTH AND MAINTAIN A MODEST MENTION OF MIXED PRECIP NEAR THE OHIO BORDER BUT MOVE UP IN TIME. THE WIND AND BLOWING SNOW LEADING TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS REMAINS ON TRACK THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH A WEAKENING TREND EXPECTED AFTER SUNRISE WEDNESDAY MORNING. UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS ARE QUITE IMPRESSIVE AND SUPPORTIVE OF OUR GOING HEADLINES WITH LOW VISIBILITY AND STRONG WIND GUSTS IN NORTHERN ILLINOIS, PEAK WIND OF 51 KNOTS AT AURORA. CONVECTION HAS BEEN FILLING IN STRONGLY THROUGH THE SOUTH FLANK OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROWAL AND COMMA HEAD COINCIDENT WITH THE STRONGEST DYNAMICS AND STEEPEST MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES, AND WITH A MAGNITUDE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERAL LIGHTNING STRIKES OVER NORTHERN ILLINOIS. BOTH THE 00Z NAM AND LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON THE PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF THIS FORCING AND PROJECT IT TO HOLD TOGETHER WELL ENOUGH THROUGH OUR AREA AS THE TROWAL CONTINUES TO MATURE THROUGH THE OCCLUSION PROCESS OF THIS SYSTEM. CONCERNS RAISED IN THE EARLIER DISCUSSION REMAIN VALID REGARDING MICROPHYSICAL PROPERTIES AREAWIDE AND THE DRY SLOT IMPINGING ON THE DETROIT AREA. HOWEVER, WHILE SNOWFALL TOTALS MAY NOT OVERACHIEVE, THE IMPACT IN COMBINATION WITH THE WIND SUPPORTS THE CONTINUATION OF THE BLIZZARD WARNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RGCentralIL Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Is it just me or is this storm beginning to slow/back fill? The back has been hanging between Carlinville, IL and Springfield, IL for the last hour or so. Good news for boosting the snow totals!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Lightning and thunder, power still out Hope you don't have to wait a long time. Is it just your apartment complex or throughout the area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 854 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011 DISCUSSION 853 PM CST NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST/HEADLINES. ITS NOT A FIT NIGHT OUT FOR MAN NOR BEAST. BLIZZARD OF 2011 UNDERWAY WITH TREACHEROUS CONDITIONS REPORTED ACROSS THE WFO CHICAGO FORECAST AREA. VISIBILITIES LESS THAN 1/4SM...WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...THUNDER/LIGHTNING IN HEAVY SNOW...SNOWFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF AN INCH PER HOUR HAVE ALL BEEN REPORTED FROM VARIOUS LOCATIONS. REGARDLESS OF HOW MUCH SNOW EVENTUALLY ACCUMULATES...THIS IS A DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING STORM. WATER VAPOR LOOP DEPICTS CLASSIC WINTER STORM ACROSS MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST IL THIS EVENING...WITH SFC LOW ANALYZED OVER FAR SERN IL. WIDE DEFORMATION SNOW BAND EXTENDS FROM NORTHEAST MO/EASTERN IA ACROSS NORTHERN IL INTO FAR NORTHERN IND/MICHIGAN PER REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC. LATEST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO TAKE THIS SYSTEM ACROSS IL AND INTO NORTHERN IN/OH BY 12Z WED...WITH DEFORMATION SNOW BAND AFFECTING FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT. RADAR INDICATES THIS BAND HAS FILLED WITH HIGHER REFLECTIVITIES OF LATE...WITH SEVERAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES NOTED ACROSS SOUTHERN/WESTERN PARTS OF THE IL CWA. BASED ON THIS HAVE NO REASON TO ADJUST SNOW AMOUNTS DOWNWARD AT ALL...AND WILL HOLD A STEADY COURSE WITH THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME. STILL APPEARS GREATEST AMOUNTS WILL BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CHICAGO METRO...WHERE LAKE ENHANCEMENT WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO ADD TO ACCUMULATIONS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A BIG PROBLEM...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH NOT ONLY CAUSING ZERO VISIBILITIES BUT ALSO DAMAGE IN SOME LOCATIONS. RATZER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 pic from 45 mins ago, beginning of blizzard. Now, WOW its really ripping. Need to get offline and go to a window, camera in hand lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Travel advisory map for Indiana is turning pretty red.. http://www.in.gov/dhs/files/travel-advisory-map/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RGCentralIL Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Had a couple big gusts in the last hour, and lo and behold what I see on radar. You can see the gravity waves oriented parallel to the deformation band just south of Maquoketa, they are propagating away from the convection as you would expect. Awesome returns for a snowstorm! Looks like a spring/summertime thunderstorm. This storm is truly awe-inspiring!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 GRR Update .SHORT TERM...(942 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011) (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY) WE HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST THIS EVENING ONLY TO ADD SOME THUNDER TO THE FORECAST FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-96. OTHERWISE NO OTHER MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FCST FOR NOW. WV IMAGERY SHOWS THE STRENGTHENING UPPER ENERGY MOVING OUT OF MO AND INTO THE IL AREA. STRONG DRY SLOT WAS SURGING NORTHWARD QUICKLY. ON THE REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY THIS COULD BE SEEN NICELY. THE TREND OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO HAS BEEN FOR A MORE NE TREND TO THE NRN EDGE OF THE DRY SLOT...AND THIS SHOULD BECOME MORE ENE. THIS STILL COULD FLIRT WITH THE EXTREME SRN PORTION OF THE CWFA...HOWEVER WE THINK IT WILL NOT SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECT THE FCST FOR NOW. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. IN THE CLOSE PROXIMITY JUST NORTH OF THE DRY SLOT...SOME THUNDER AND LIGHTNING HAS BEEN REPORTED ACROSS IL. MODELS SHOW THE SLANTWISE INSTABILITY NICELY IN ELEVATED EPV PROGS WITH NEGATIVE VALUES IN THAT VICINITY. THAT AREA OF NEGATIVE EPV IS FCST TO MOVE ACROSS SRN LOWER MI BETWEEN 03Z AND 09Z TONIGHT...COINCIDENT WITH THE HEAVIER SNOW EXPECTED. THUS WE HAVE ADDED THUNDER TO THE GRIDS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-96. CONDITIONS ARE QUITE NASTY ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF THE CWFA WITH THE SNOW STILL SPREADING ACROSS THE NORTH AND THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS WHERE 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR HAVE BEEN OCCURRING ARE NEAR THE MI/IN BORDER AND ARE MOVING NORTH. THE WINDS PICKED UP QUICKLY THIS EVENING...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS APPEARING TO BE DOWNWIND OF THE NE TRAJECTORY OFF OF SAGINAW BAY. ALL OF THESE THINGS CONTINUE TO POINT TOWARD A PERIOD OF NEAR BLIZZARD TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR THE AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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