SnowGoose69 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Roger that I should also mention the 00Z NAM only being as far west as the 18Z GFS with the NAM's known amplification and west bias at 84 hours probably means the 00Z GFS will be at least a moderate distance south of where the 18Z was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Its either going to be 6" of snow and then a mega ice storm here, or 6" of snow and then 12" of snow. Either way a big problem. What's the problem with option B LOL, we talked about this tonight, amazing, hey the dump trucks we saw tonight carrying all the snow out of the city, where were they going? Weenie ridge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Semper911 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 How the hell did you get the downspouts flowing? Well for one thing it was 34-35 F and sunny for most of the day. I detach the elbow at the base and then rattle the hell out of the downspout until the ice breaks free. Then I bash it into chunks as it comes out the bottom. Then I rattle the hell out of the elbow and the long outward piece until all the long chunks are out. Obviously it only works if is warmish out. I think tomorrow will be another window of opportunity for downspout clearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 lol 5 replies to Wills post in 3 minutes. Popular guy. 00z gfs starting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 Its either going to be 6" of snow and then a mega ice storm here, or 6" of snow and then 12" of snow. Either way a big problem. - that about covers it - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 lol 5 replies to Wills post in 3 minutes. Smart guy. 00z gfs starting... fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 What's. The problem with option B LOL, we talked about this tonight, amazing, hey the dump trucks we saw tonight carrying all the snow out of the city, where were they going? Weenie ridge? As a weenie I say bring on the snow and pile it high. However, realistically I know that eventually one of these storms is heading towards Ontario and the deeper the snow pack (sponge?) on peoples roofs the more people that will be paying the rain piper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I continue to be baffled as to how such a strong low forms in such a poor 500mb setup...this reminds me alot of how the GFS spins up insane closed 500 lows off the East Coast with no support...this time the low is not even closed at 500 though it somehow manages to approach those levels in a confluent pattern....call me crazy but I have a feeling the GEM is onto something with this storm. what about the 1060 high in montana and the impressive WAA out of the gulf in front of it? seems like a recipe for a storm? i could be wrong, i dont know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 As a weenie I say bring on the snow and pile it high. However, realistically I know that eventually one of these storms is heading towards Ontario and the deeper the snow pack (sponge?) on peoples roofs the more people that will be paying the rain piper. Why eventually? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Why eventually? Odds. edit: Climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 GFS is a little more impressive with the Tue overrunning snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 GFS is a little more impressive with the Tue overrunning snows. also seems to have a similar track to the 0z nam, maybe slight less amped. decent snows into NNE by 84 hrs. 0c h85 up to rt 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Well the 00z GFS abandoned the 18z torch run, looks closer to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 90 hrs...0c 850 up to VT/MA border. Heavy snows to the canadian border north of that line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Well the 00z GFS abandoned the 18z torch run, looks closer to 12z. still pretty warm at mid levels for all of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 A sleet bomb for many down here in sne after some pretty good snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Well the 00z GFS abandoned the 18z torch run, looks closer to 12z. 90hr is closer to the 18z with 0C riding the MA/NH border, but it doesn't have that late WAA surge 18z had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 What we need to happen to see the more suppressed solution to become reality is for that shortwave on the backside of the trough to dig more to allow for that ridge out west to become more amplified and rolled over, which would cause more confluence on the north side of the system and cause sne to stay a lot colder! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Epic La Epic lock in the cold solutions, wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 If the EC & GGEM are big hits up here I may chuck one into Kevin's snowbanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 If the EC & GGEM are big hits up here I may chuck one into Kevin's snowbanks. We're in good shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 90hr is closer to the 18z with 0C riding the MA/NH border, but it doesn't have that late WAA surge 18z had. Yeah it's warmer than 12z in the mid levels, but I was referring to the track. That little weak low moving underneath sne is going to cad the crap out of many..maybe even BOS for a time. I've seen it before where winds turn nrly behind the weak low causing the overrunning. You guys look better and better...even if this went south considerably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 A sleet bomb for many down here in sne after some pretty good snows. That will stop at the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 A sleet bomb for many down here in sne after some pretty good snows. Big flip to snow quickly as energy transfers, check soundings, GFS windshield wiper went as far north as it could, heading south, missed ya today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Light snow followed by heavy heavy snow followed by heavy heavy sleet and ice. Works for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 It is time for us to catch you guys down there in our snowpack. Most of you get a net gain and a great crust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 That will stop at the pike. That would be nice. I have a feeling the Pike may delineate those from paint peeling to those with 8"+ perhaps. Hope the euro cools off. I love the CAD signal...that may continue to bode well in the mid levels as we go forward. Sometimes the models turn slightly cooler at 850, once we near the event..or if the low ticks south a hair. However, it still could be a sleet bomb for many. Don't just look at 850 temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 It is time for us to catch you guys down there in our snowpack. Most of you get a net gain and a great crust. I like my pizza with great crust, my snow without thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 A sleet bomb for many down here in sne after some pretty good snows. hour 90 is all rain south of BDL-BOS, no? atleast on the ncep maps its above 0c at the surface and mid levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 That would be nice. I have a feeling the Pike may delineate those from paint peeling to those with 8"+ perhaps. Hope the euro cools off. I love the CAD signal...that may continue to bode well in the mid levels as we go forward. Sometimes the models turn slightly cooler at 850, once we near the event..or if the low ticks south a hair. However, it still could be a sleet bomb for many. Don't just look at 850 temps. Go cold is what I was told by a met who is not so old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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