EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 AOO and JST are 0.3" give or take a hundredth UNV 0.2" H-burg is a whopping 0.86" AVP 0.32" IPT: 0.22" KHGR please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Which probably means about .1 for pit? Yeah, give or take a few hundredths... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Another 2" driveway sweeper on the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Brian beat me On a serious note that's significantly better than what the 12z euro did for especially the southeast parts. Before jumpin off the ledge remember when reading the Philly thread that they focus on Philly and primarily philly only before maybe tossing out other numbers and how other regions do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah, give or take a few hundredths... Lol, and just read mgt gets .75! Shoot me!!! Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Brian beat me On a serious note that's significantly better than what the 12z euro did for especially the southeast parts. Remember when reading the Philly thread that they focus on Philly and primarily philly only before maybe tossing out other numbers and how other regions do before jumpin off the ledge. That's because I used some messy rounding -- you're numbers were more exact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 KHGR please. Hagerstown comes in at a beastly 0.88", 850's fine and surface temps get to about 32-33.. so wet snow most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Hagerstown comes in at a beastly 0.88", 850's fine and surface temps get to about 32-33.. so wet snow most likely. Awesome. Thank you. I still think it will push a bit more NW maybe 25-50 miles or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Awesome. Thank you. I still think it will push a bit more NW maybe 25-50 miles or so. Let's go for 75...that gets me into that .75 thats in mgt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Let's go for 75...that gets me into that .75 thats in mgt. I'd rather not have rain. lol. But, qpf shield shift and temps stay the same then sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Why are you freaking then? You get smashed this run. Heaviest axis been inching East for the past three runs now. Gone from West of I81 to East of I81 and now to about the half way point between I81 and I95. It's getting down to the nitty gritty and time to let the weenies hang free proclaiming " It's my snow." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Decided to throw out a quick prelim map. My thinking for less snow in the Philly region is potential mixing issues for some of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Decided to throw out a quick prelim map. My thinking for less snow in the Philly region is potential mixing issues for some of the storm. I'm thinking pretty much the same. My map is being made currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Alright here is my first call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Decided to throw out a quick prelim map. My thinking for less snow in the Philly region is potential mixing issues for some of the storm. Alright here is my first call. You guys seem to be generous in the eastern sections (Schuylkill County). I hope you guys are right. It won't be the crushing CCB that NNJ and NYC get, but at least it would be a decent snowfall. I just wish that Friday's model depictions would have played out and ALL of Central PA would have gotten into this game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master of Disaster Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Decided to throw out a quick prelim map. My thinking for less snow in the Philly region is potential mixing issues for some of the storm. Excellent map FWIW and not because I am dead center in the 6+ either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 State College boys show LNS with a potential of 6 - 8" with a little mixing then tapering as one goes N & W. Still no WSW. The good ole "Leave it to dayshift to decide". Just no love for us peeps down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 State College boys show LNS with a potential of 6 - 8" with a little mixing then tapering as one goes N & W. Still no WSW. The good ole "Leave it to dayshift to decide". Just no love for us peeps down here. I'm a tad surprised that Chester County is not under the WSW. I've read the Mt. Holly AFD and it seems that Chester County would still be in the banding part. Who knows...things can change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 State College boys show LNS with a potential of 6 - 8" with a little mixing then tapering as one goes N & W. Still no WSW. The good ole "Leave it to dayshift to decide". Just no love for us peeps down here. I'm at a loss here with what State College has in their forecast. Not sure how they can be calling for "1-3" when just about every model is showing a much more significant snow. Even Steve D out of Philly seems like he has gona uber-conservative. Mind-boggling right now with the models trending so well for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm at a loss here with what State College has in their forecast. Not sure how they can be calling for "1-3" when just about every model is showing a much more significant snow. Even Steve D out of Philly seems like he has gona uber-conservative. Mind-boggling right now with the models trending so well for this area. They have time to make adjustments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I know someone told me the other day about the time difference when reading this chart and i guess i'm having a TIA and can't remember...was 13z 9am? http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/cobb_nam/nam_kmdt.dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I know someone told me the other day about the time difference when reading this chart and i guess i'm having a TIA and can't remember...was 13z 9am? http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/cobb_nam/nam_kmdt.dat During standard time, subtract 5 hours from UTC to get EST. It's 4 hours for daylight savings time. In your example, 13z is 8am right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 During standard time, subtract 5 hours from UTC to get EST. It's 4 hours for daylight savings time. In your example, 13z is 8am right now. Thank you.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 In a shocking turn of events, Margusity has decided to take a conservative route with his latest snow map. This may be a first... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 its hard to get big storms back here as you know from your days in state college. 03 / 04 was the winter i had 20+ inches on the ground (most from2-4 / 3-6 / 4-8 type storms) and alot of them.. was the winter we couldnt miss on snow... but ever since then it has been but......winter is not over yet! UNV got a few 10+ storms and was the bullseye several times. Here in State College, it hasn't been awful constantly. For example, the second half of 2006-2007 rocked, about late January on - of course, the people focusing on how the first winter sucked during snow events that year was what convinced me that weather geeks can be flat out mentally ill. Last year was decent but what really killed that for us was March - we were well on our way to 60+ inches even with a normal March but winter went bye-bye all of a sudden. The other thing for us to remember, echoing your last comment, is the fact that it seems that Feb/March are our equivalent of the peak of hurricane season when it comes to shots at big storms. So, we have those two months ahead of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I heard some good stuff on the radio this morning. WXPN out of Philly is saying a slop storm with mostly rain, a little sleet and a little snow; messy but nothing major. One MDT station said 3-6, three others said we'd get a little rain and PHL would get a foot or so of snow. ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawxworld Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 6z NAM and GFS still want to take this east. a little under 36 hours out and still no consensus. Here is south central PA we could see anywhere from nothing to 6 plus inches. Extremely tough forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawxworld Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This looks better: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/sref/09/images/sref_x24_057s.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karl_Racki Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This sucks, sorry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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