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Showing results for 'josh'.
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...incoming wrath of Josh in t minus 10...9...8..
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Fall/Winter 2018-19 Complaint/Banter Thread
beavis1729 replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Right...and nothing Josh or IWX are saying is incorrect, with respect to the general public. However, being on a weather board that has a lot of hardcore winter weather fans, I imagined that folks here would enjoy, appreciate, analyze, and hope for winter a lot more than the general public. In other words, winter weenies who are often frustrated with their climo. But I could be wrong, and it appears that I am. -
Winter Outlook 2018-2019
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thanks Josh. I agree with you. Hopefully, December will wind up becoming a big month en route to a fantastic winter for the Detroit area. -
Hey, Josh. It sure is! As you know, being up in elevation has made a HUGE difference. I got so tired of living in the Lake Plain, because every thaw killed the snowpack. Even here, we go 15 to 20 minutes in most directions and there is so much less snow there than here on the Tug. This is a snow lovers paradise.
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Winter Outlook 2018-2019
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thanks Josh. So far, Detroit is off to a pretty good start. It has also had among its 15 wettest years on record. If it remains wet, there will be an opportunity for more snowfall than what I am suggesting. -
November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
bluewave replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Great stat from Josh Timlin. Check out how 1st and 3rd place occurred during the 2010's extreme snowfall period. The last 1” or more of snow in Central Park fell on April 2. If an inch were to accumulate this Thursday, then 2018 would place 3rd for the least number of days between 1” snow events. Records go back to 1869 (149 years). pic.twitter.com/VrHRYLFWvU There you have it. The 3rd shortest break between the end of one snow season and the start of the next in NYC. This includes 149 years of data back to 1869!pic.twitter.com/3YeuVTPi5F 5:15 AM - 16 Nov 2018 -
Good stuff Josh! We missed out on the big band south of here, pattern looks decent moving forward.
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Josh measured 968mb unofficially and got in the eye, so it had a higher pressure than Florence at landfall and still had 120mph winds. Seems the storm was able to shrink on final approach rather than weaken. And the cloud pattern didn't resemble a storm battling a lot of shear.
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Nice charted pressure vs distance relationship/comparison by Josh Morgerman [mention=19]hurricanejosh[/mention] between two of his Kestrel instruments, seperated by 3.7 miles. One left at his original chase location recorded 939.7 mb. It remained inside the eyewall. A second he had inside the hotel at his final chase position that measure 923.2 mb just inside the western periphery of the eye. A difference of 16.5 mb in 3.7 miles or 4.46 mb per mile. That is probably not exact as the pressure drop probably increased from point B to A. At any rate, that aligns pretty well to the last 919 mb center fix by recon at landfall, though central pressure may have actually dropped a mb or two lower as landfall was underway. Regardless, that is an impressively tight pressure gradient. Post analysis should definitely be interesting.
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Well said. Josh was in the same hotel as me during Michael. He's strictly hurricane and typhoons
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Agreed, absolutely, and that's pretty much why I don't chase hurricanes, not unless they come right to me. But that's just me, others feel differently. For some, hurricanes are their one true passion, and chasing tornadoes might just be something to do during the off-season. I've known chasers like that. And of course some (like Josh, I believe) don't bother with tornadoes at all.
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Is Tropical Storm Michael a threat to New England???????
Hoth replied to USCAPEWEATHERAF's topic in New England
The pics on Josh Morgerman's Twitter are unreal. -
I'll say it again, no Cat 2 has a perfectly formed stadium eye fully surrounded by deep convection, WMG eye temp on Dvorak, and produces the kind of "white-out" video footage coming out of Michael. Looks very comparable to other high-end 4 landfalls of recent years such as Maria and Patricia. Oh, and I suppose Cat 2s have pressure in the 920s (not even at the center of the eye) and impress guys like Josh and other chasers who have been in some of the strongest landfalls of the decade. ...but I suspect these are the kind of folks who aren't going to be convinced by data, so I'm wasting my digital breath.
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I'm not sure who to trust. Experienced high end hurricane chaser Josh Morgerman or SENC.
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I'm waiting for SENC to tell us how ridiculous icyclone Josh is being... since him center punching the strongest cyclones in the world for the last 15 years apparently doesn't compare to living in SE NC your whole life.
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I've made that drive before between Panama City and Port St. Joe and your perception is correct. There's a reason that people like Josh didn't go over there- lack of options.
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josh also has ugly ass rings
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Josh was in the eyewalls if Haiyan and Patricia. He's smart even if a huge risk taker. He might get killed one day, but he has always admitted the risk. Still, he usually seeks out the safest concrete structure to record data and has years of experience. Hopefully he will be okay.
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I know people kind of idolize josh on here, but it is so dumb. It also encourages amateurs to try as well. Would any chaser drive into an ef3 tornado? That is essentially what they are doing here, adding it will last for hours, and surge. It is is extremely irresponsible.
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That’s a great place to put the O/U. I am not gonna answer until I know where josh is, tho.
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This. I'm no Josh but I have been in quite a few canes. The best way I can describe it is although the measured wind velocity may be the same a strengthing cane feels much more violent. It swings wildly and very quickly from less wind to more. It is almost like taking repeated punches from a professional fighter(don't ask me how I know that). A weakening cane may have the same amount of variety in wind speed but it feels much more smoothed out. It raises and lowers much slower than a strengthing cane.
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Highest observed sustained real reading from josh? O/U 90 kt?
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Josh is at Panama City Beach:
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Josh Morgerman stated he would be heading out today to chase Michael per his Twitter feed.
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Huh, that is interesting. I mean I do get the public safety argument. But it just feels a bit too far. Essentially, Hurricane chasing is illegal in this country. I wonder how Josh bypasses that law. Would be interesting to find out. Because it now seems like a common practice that if a Hurricane is coming to somewhere, it suddenly becomes illegal to so much as be there. You can't get a hotel, they close it. You can't hang out in a car, they will knock on your window and tell you to leave or else. Basically the only way is if you actually own property on location, even then, they are going to highly encourage you to get out. It just seems like a bit of a stretch to me to be able to arrest someone for such reasons. Feels like the government might be coming close to violating constitutional rights.
