yoda

You need northern stream interaction with this storm. On the 12z UKIE, as has been discussed above, there was none. Its 40 and rain as RJay described above. Too much northern stream, it gets crushed. Not enough, and its a nice warm system with cold rain. There is no real arctic or cold air present before the storm comes up the coast, no real HP in play either. So what Allsnow/RJay/PB-99 are saying are correct, you need a thread the needle type storm here if you want snow. And its even worse of a chance for me down south.

I tried deleting the post a second after I hit submit but yugo kept replying to it Once Yugi-Oh (or another poster) clicks reply to a post made above, it stays in the post even if you delete it seconds later

Upper 30s to near 40 degrees and raining at DCA at 114-120 for UKIE... total QPF for DCA is 0.25-0.30... more towards the Eastern Shore

Yeah, but its southern stream driven with little northern stream interaction is what I am seeing in the SNE thread... which def would suggest problems

I do like the SLP numbers lol... 950s

Known. Its MDecoy

Maybe we can get the severe thread jumping with this storm

Still snow/sleet here... everything white... accumulation close to an inch

Its the same person complaining about the advisory that posted the snow depth maps

Doug Hill? Bob Ryan (even though he retired/is gone)? Topper Shutt? A lot of good mets I can think of off the top of my head in the DC metro

Thanks and have a good day

Looks like 00z GFS is same... yay sleet

12z RGEM says its 24 degrees at DCA at 12z SAT with sub 30 degree temps deep into NC ETA: Might be too fast in getting rid of CAD as everyone is above freezing by 22z SAT

^ that's 18z

1. That is all.

I believe this allows the southern movement of the "accumulations" that we see on the TT maps... i know they are garbage in these types of situations, but you can see the clear south push comparing the 18z runs to the 00z runs on both the 00z NAM and the 00z 3km NAM

Technically he still needs 77 more goals after tonight

indeed it did... for now

DCA sits around 33 from 00z to 06z SUN as the precip is gone on 00z NAM

Finally taking his first loss tonight I see

I'd take my 2" and run on this GFS run I know much is probably sleet, but I wouldn't mind having some snow to ice

He's a warminsta weenie in the SNE forum... and used to change his avatar daily

Almost looks like we dryslot at 84 on 12z GFS lol

FWIW, seems like 12z GFS has a bit more of a south push than 06z... so maybe a bit better run for some of us in regards to frozen precip

Looks decent even into the i95 corridor tbh... not as bad as west of the BR... but 12z and 15z SAT temps at DCA are at 26 degrees