yoda

Kinda looks like the line is intensifying as it approaches DC metro... with maybe a slight bow?

Good morning everyone Severe Thunderstorm Warning MDC013-021-031-043-VAC043-069-107-WVC037-080830- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0030.200408T0743Z-200408T0830Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 343 AM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Washington County in north central Maryland... Southwestern Carroll County in north central Maryland... Western Montgomery County in central Maryland... Southern Frederick County in north central Maryland... Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Eastern Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Central Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Southern Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 430 AM EDT. * At 343 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Clover Hill to 6 miles southwest of Brunswick to near Berryville, moving southeast at 60 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Germantown, Frederick, Gaithersburg, Leesburg, South Riding, Damascus, Broadlands, Lansdowne, Lowes Island, Brambleton, Poolesville, Harry Grove Stadium, Ashburn, Montgomery Village, Sterling, North Potomac, Ballenger Creek, Countryside, Mount Airy and Purcellville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3941 7717 3935 7714 3935 7717 3934 7719 3925 7710 3903 7726 3906 7733 3898 7741 3891 7760 3894 7764 3899 7786 3920 7808 3927 7775 3950 7749 TIME...MOT...LOC 0743Z 304DEG 51KT 3944 7746 3924 7769 3919 7793 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH

New day 2 from SPC was quite meh unfortunately

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0304.html Mesoscale Discussion 0304 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 AM CDT Wed Apr 08 2020 Areas affected...Portions of southeastern OH...northern WV...southwestern PA...western MD...and far northern VA Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85... Valid 080552Z - 080715Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85 continues. SUMMARY...A line of strong to severe storms capable of producing mainly damaging winds will continue east-southeastward. Downstream watch issuance is possible. DISCUSSION...Storms have grown upscale across parts of southeastern OH into western PA, with mainly severe/damaging winds being reported, including a gust to 75 mph at the Pittsburgh International Airport. The airmass downstream of this ongoing convection is not particularly unstable given cooler low-level temperatures and less low-level moisture. With MUCAPE generally 500-1000 J/kg, storms may have a tendency to become slightly elevated with time, particularly with eastward extent. Still, given the well-organized nature of the line and strong outbound velocities noted on KPBZ radar, there appears to be a continued strong to damaging wind threat that may extend to the south/southeast of ongoing Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85. Accordingly, another watch may be needed across parts of southwestern PA into western MD and the eastern WV Panhandle. ..Gleason/Thompson.. 04/08/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...

Wow... impressive PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1140 PM EDT TUE APR 07 2020 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 1019 PM HAIL SPOTTSWOOD 37.95N 79.21W 04/07/2020 E1.00 INCH AUGUSTA VA 911 CALL CENTER HAIL ACCUMULATING 2 INCHES DEEP ON I-81 NEAR SPOTSWOOD CAUSED MULTIPLE ACCIDENTS AND PARTIALLY CLOSED THE HIGHWAY && EVENT NUMBER LWX2000890

LWX evening AFD update agrees with you

STWatch issued until 3AM for where the MCS is developing back in OH and MI - https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0084.html

0100 SPC OTLK mentions MCS complex rolling through overnight with large hail and damaging winds as a threat

LWX states spotter activation maybe needed overnight in their updated HWO Also zones have severe wording in them for overnight and tomorrow morning

Big hail core in the supercell in N WV right now

2000 SPC OTLK states that threat for severe hail and wind should increase as diurnal heating continues and references the MCD Eskimo Joe posted above

Looks like the sun is trying hard to come back out here

LWX afternoon AFD seems to think 2 more rounds to go... one this evening and one overnight

Hmmm... new Day 1 is 15 hail and 15 wind... all of LWX CWA is in SLGT... hatched hail is off in the Ohio Valley... but disco seems to imply it could get moved eastward some later today... also seems to imply a 1-2 punch for us - afternoon risk and then nocturnal threat

Which will likely be quite a while unfortunately... I miss thunderstorms

Trying again north of Richmond

Looks like CI trying hard NE of Farmville... but got smushed lol

Figured we should bump this thread since we are discussing drought conditions again already in the main thread lol

Um okay... that escalated quickly in the evening AFD

00z NAM still has some decent looking soundings at 21z tomorrow around the region

DCA sounding at 21z tomorrow per 18z NAM

@high risk Pretty decent sounding from the 18z NAM for 21z tomorrow at KIAD, no?

Afternoon AFD from LWX: