yoda

18z GFS looks nice

12z GGEM, FWIW, still looks nice for the region as well... 2"-4"

Looks somewhat similar to the 18z Euro

That's 18z... 00z is just finished and looks decent at 84

Yes, I know that. My point is so what if the mean snowfall shows him getting 5 inches? Give me 2 and I am happy

Don't care... give me a 1-3/2-4 and I'm good even if he gets like 5 inches

But is that textbook?

With the 12z EURO looking like that... maybe some thunderstorms next weekend instead

Looks like a large cutter going to be coming for next weekend on the EURO... HP is moving out too quickly... but I wouldn't mind it if we can get the Day 4-5 event that the 12z EURO suggests

Looks like the 12z GGEM just about for the same period

Yeoman posts once in a while nowadays... haven't seen much of him posting tbh... Deck Pic will be back when there is a real threat

I wouldn't mind tonights 00z GGEM run. Get that 2nd storm a bit further south in its track and we'd all be happy

Wait, Ji is okay with 1-3 in December?

Would seem that the 12z GEFS and the 12z EURO OP runs today SUGGEST that Days 8-10 could be a threat window for our region for wintry precip

CAD still holding tough at 216 on 12z EURO at the 850mb level

I like that look on the 12z EURO at Day 8

Anybody out there in NW VA where the radar says its precipitating? Is that snow? I am guessing @WinterWxLuvr that's your area?

Hmmm... interesting Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 953 PM EST Tue Dec 3 2019 ANZ538-DCZ001-MDZ003>006-011-013-014-502>508-VAZ027>031-040- 052>054-501-502-505>507-WVZ050>053-055-041100- Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-District of Columbia- Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Central and Eastern Allegany-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Rappahannock- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier- Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- Hardy- Including the cities of Washington, Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, Cumberland, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Strasburg, Woodstock, Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Big Meadows, Romney, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, Shepherdstown, and Moorefield 953 PM EST Tue Dec 3 2019 ...A period of light snow is possible overnight... A weak disturbance will move across the region overnight. As it crosses the region, a period of light snow is possible across the District of Columbia, northern Virginia, central, northern and western Maryland, and the eastern Panhandle of West Virginia. With relatively warm road temperatures preceeding this event, limited impacts are expected on roads, but bridges and non-paved surfaces may become covered in a light coating of snow. Accumulations should be less than one inch where they do occur. Any snow should end by dawn Wednesday. $$ RCM

Usually in the PNS https://www.weather.gov/lwx/pnsmap?type=snow

What? Both WxUSAF and Bob said the EPS supports the OP. Cutters don't give us snow... usually very little. That 240 image clearly shows snow to ice

Lol

I remember the week and days leading up to that storm... I was supposed to be working and I pretty much kept toggling back and forth between the model pages, the Eastern forum, and something called work lol. Luckily most of the staff knew I was deep into being a weather nerd already and would ask things like how much snow was coming, when would it start, etc. My favorite memory of work that week was our IT director sending me a message when I was looking at the models saying, "Matt, the models will be there in an hour, your work, however, will still be there as well." It was hard to do work that week with the models showing run after run of heavy heavy snow for us

Gets a meh when its textbook for us? Wonder what would get a "nice" look from you. Yes, its 10 days out, but that look is a big storm look as Bob and others pointed out.

The Mapnificent Storm?

2 feet of snow or bust